EPISODE · Jan 1, 2026 · 16 MIN
PM 101 | Ep 5: Prediction Market Trading
from Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports · host Prediction Markets HQ | Daily Sports Betting, Kalshi & Polymarket Data
Stop betting like a fan and start pricing like a pro. In this masterclass, David Price and Alex Mercer reveal why the 'Long Yes' bias is a constant tax on beginners and how successful traders exploit emotional mispricing to find a repeatable edge.Identifying and exploiting the 'Long Yes' bias in popular markets.Converting sportsbook odds to implied probability for +EV trades.The mechanics of cross-platform arbitrage and locking in profit.Strategies for news trading and capturing value during market latency.Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly. Contact: [email protected]"Nowhere Land"Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
What this episode covers
Stop betting like a fan and start pricing like a pro. In this masterclass, David Price and Alex Mercer reveal why the 'Long Yes' bias is a constant tax on beginners and how successful traders exploit emotional mispricing to find a repeatable edge.Identifying and exploiting the 'Long Yes' bias in popular markets.Converting sportsbook odds to implied probability for +EV trades.The mechanics of cross-platform arbitrage and locking in profit.Strategies for news trading and capturing value during market latency.Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly. Contact: [email protected]"Nowhere Land"Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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PM 101 | Ep 5: Prediction Market Trading
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