Politics with Paul Podcast #8 - How Do Election Forecasters Make Their Predictions?

The coverage of predictions of election results ramp up the closer we get to elections. Election forecasters, both individual and organizational, have their own formulas for how they rate the likelihood of a Democrat or a Republican of winning a given contest. Today's episode dives into a variety of the factors these forecasters use to make their prediction, including election history, polling, and other elections happening at the same time. Today's random question: If you could have an exotic animal as a pet that normally is not legally allowed, what would you choose and why?