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EPISODE · Nov 11, 2025 · 18 MIN

Pollsters vs. Predictors: Why 2028 May Be Decided by Wagers, Not Surveys

from The Smerconish Podcast · host Michael Smerconish

On Veterans Day, Michael asks: Which is a more reliable predictor of elections — traditional polls or betting markets? With new data from Vanderbilt showing gamblers outperformed pollsters in 2024, he wonders if polling as we know it is on the way out. Listen in and see if you agree, and vote at Smerconish.com, and please rate, comment, and review this podcast! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

What this episode covers

On Veterans Day, Michael asks: Which is a more reliable predictor of elections — traditional polls or betting markets? With new data from Vanderbilt showing gamblers outperformed pollsters in 2024, he wonders if polling as we know it is on the way out. Listen in and see if you agree, and vote at Smerconish.com, and please rate, comment, and review this podcast!

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Pollsters vs. Predictors: Why 2028 May Be Decided by Wagers, Not Surveys

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Frequently Asked Questions

How long is this episode of The Smerconish Podcast?

This episode is 18 minutes long.

When was this The Smerconish Podcast episode published?

This episode was published on November 11, 2025.

What is this episode about?

On Veterans Day, Michael asks: Which is a more reliable predictor of elections — traditional polls or betting markets? With new data from Vanderbilt showing gamblers outperformed pollsters in 2024, he wonders if polling as we know it is on the way...

Can I download this The Smerconish Podcast episode?

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