Pre-Trading Thoughts

The IMF is set to sign off on Egypt’s fourth review of its USD8 billion loan program when the Fund’s Executive Board meets on Monday, March 10. Indian plastic packaging manufacturer Flex PET opened its polyethylene terephthalate resin manufacturing plant with investments of USD175 million.Chinese textile manufacturer Zhejiang Cady Industry inaugurated its new USD100 million textile and ready-made garments factory in the Teda industrial zone in Ain Sokhna. French multinational Air Liquide officially opened its EUR80 million medical and industrial gas production factory in the Sokhna Industrial Zone.CBoard, a member of Saudi construction materials manufacturer conglomerate Beam, inaugurated the expansion of a cement board and wall manufacturing facility. India’s Abdos opened its USD30 million cosmetics manufacturing plant. The state is set to spend some EGP170 billion on wage and pension hikes during FY 2025-26, according to a Finance Ministry statement. The net foreign assets of the Egyptian banking sector, including the CBE, rose by USD3.5 billion in January to USD8.7 billion. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has lowered Egypt’s growth forecast for 2025 to 4.2%, down 0.3 percentage points from its previous estimates in September.Egypt has no plans to alter its tax regime in the near future, a senior government official said.The Finance Ministry has secured a USD500 million loan from Deutsche Bank and Bank ABC.EU Commissioner for the Mediterranean Dubravka Šuica is in Egypt today for high-level discussions on the New Pact for the Mediterranean and to ink a EUR90 million project, dubbed Egypt Food Resilience, with the government.The Sovereign Fund of Egypt has formed a committee to list all government companies for the purpose of adding them to the fund during the coming period.The government is reportedly considering imposing taxes on Egyptian companies that generate revenues from abroad, while avoiding double taxation.FWRY reported 4Q24 results. Net profit came in at EGP500 million (+119% YoY, +4.7% QoQ). In 2024, net profit recorded EGP1.606 billion (+125% YoY). FWRY is currently trading at 2025f P/E of 13.1x.ETEL’s BoD proposed distributing cash dividends of EGP1.50/share (subject to the general assembly’s approval), implying a DPO of 25.4% and a DY of 3.9%.GBCO reported attributable net profit recorded EGP1,135 million this quarter (+82.9% YoY, +52.0% QoQ). FY24 bottom line grew by 54.9% YoY to reach EGP2,928 million. GBCO is currently trading at a FY25 P/E of 4.3x.ORWE reported attributable net profit of EGP329 million in 4Q24 (-25.8% YoY, -46.5% QoQ), bringing FY24 bottom line to EGP2,192 million (+130.3% YoY). ORWE’s BoD approved cash dividends distribution of EGP1.60/share for FY24, implying a dividend yield of 6.5%. ORWE is currently trading at a FY25 P/E of 4.1x.POUL attributable net profit of EGP584 million in 4Q24, an increase of 24.0x YoY and a drop of 14.3% QoQ. This brought FY24 attributable net profit to EGP2,387 million (+108.0% YoY). POUL is currently trading at FY25 P/E of 4.3x. ESRS repurchased EGP21.6 billion worth of shares from shareholders opposed to the group’s voluntary EGX delisting. EMFD reported an increase of 177.5% y/y and 87.5% q/q in 4Q24 net profit to EGP5.1 billion, bringing FY24 net profit up 126.1% y/y to EGP15.4 billion.CICH 4Q24 net attributable profits post minority recorded EGP616.8 million (+79.4% q/q, +109.9% y/y), bringing FY24 bottom line to EGP2.2 billion (+114.6% y/y). CICH BoD proposed a cash dividend distribution of EGP0.70/share for FY24, implying a dividend yield of 11%. CICH is currently trading at P/B25 of 0.7x and P/E25 of 2.8x.