EPISODE · Mar 24, 2026 · 8 MIN
Private Credit Gates Slam Shut as Apollo and Ares Lock Exits on $10 Billion in Redemption Requests
from The Bitcoin Brief
Bitcoin Brief for Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Bitcoin at $70,344. Block height 942,008. The private credit unwind is no longer theoretical. Apollo Global capped redemptions from its $25 billion flagship fund at 5% after investors requested 11.2% withdrawals. This morning Ares Management followed with identical 5% gates after 11.6% redemption requests. Industry-wide, more than $10 billion in withdrawal demands have hit this quarter with firms honoring only about 70%. Goldman Sachs predicts $45-70 billion in outflows over the next two years. The contagion path runs from gated funds to suspect NAV marks to repriced CLO tranches to bank balance sheets to broader credit tightening. Mohamed El-Erian is comparing it to early 2008. We break down why the underlying illiquidity of private credit collateral is the structural flaw, and why Bitcoin's 24/7 global liquidity profile is the mirror opposite of everything going wrong in this $2 trillion asset class. Also covered: A YouTuber discovered that 90,000 AI-powered surveillance cameras deployed by Flock Safety across the United States were broadcasting live to the open internet with zero authentication. Within two minutes he could identify individuals, pull their medical history, debt-to-income ratios, and home addresses using commercial facial recognition. Flock has contracts with over 5,000 law enforcement agencies. Dusty Daemon, the inventor of splicing, confirmed that PayJoin is working toward integrating into lightning channel opens and splices. If shipped, every lightning channel operation becomes a coinjoin transaction, breaking the common input ownership heuristics that chain surveillance companies rely on to track UTXO ownership. Privacy becomes the default at the protocol level. Home sales crashed 18% in a single month, the worst since the 2008 crisis. Peter St Onge breaks down the mortgage rate trap: COVID-era buyers locked in at 2.6-3% can't afford to move when rates are approaching 7%. The Northeast fell 45%, Midwest 34%. Oil prices from the Iran conflict are pushing rates even higher. The Eurozone PMI dropped to a 10-month low as the Middle East conflict hits the real economy. At one point last week markets were pricing in four ECB rate hikes this year. Australian consumer confidence hit an all-time low. The war is creating a global stagflation impulse with no clean exit for central banks. NYDIG published a breakdown of Strategy's capital structure showing preferred equity liabilities led by STRC have surpassed $10 billion, overtaking convertible debt entirely. NYDIG frames STRC as being short a put on bitcoin asset coverage. The reflexive flywheel works until it doesn't. The ECB publicly admitted that dollar-denominated stablecoins threaten European monetary sovereignty. When central bankers call something a threat, it means it's working. Read the full written brief with all source links, on-chain data, and analysis at tftc.io/bitcoin-brief.
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Private Credit Gates Slam Shut as Apollo and Ares Lock Exits on $10 Billion in Redemption Requests
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