[Problem profile] “Improving decision making in key institutions” by The 80,000 Hours team

Governments and other important institutions frequently have to make complex, high-stakes decisions based on the judgement calls of just a handful of people. Narrated by AI. ---Outline:(00:15) Summary(00:38) Our overall view(02:33) What is this issue?(06:03) What parts of the problem seem most promising to work on?(06:45) Forecasting(12:17) Prediction aggregators and prediction markets(14:37) Decision-making science(15:34) Improving corporate governance at key private institutions(16:53) Improving how governments work(19:42) What are the major arguments against improving decision making being a pressing issue?(19:48) It's unclear what the best interventions are -- and some are not very neglected.(22:40) You might want to just work on a pressing issue more directly.(24:48) It's often difficult to get change in practice(26:10) There might be better ways to improve our ability to solve the world's problems(27:13) What can you do in this area?(28:04) 1. More rigorously testing existing techniques that seem promising(32:51) 2. Doing more fundamental research to identify new techniques(33:53) 3. Fostering adoption of the best proven techniques in high-impact institutions(38:12) 4. Directing more funding towards research in this area(39:17) Learn more(39:20) Top recommendations(40:09) Further recommendations The original text contained 9 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: September 25th, 2017 Last updated: March 25th, 2023 Source: https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/improving-institutional-decision-making --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.