Quantifying Deception & The Rays’ Fast Start

EPISODE · May 7, 2026 · 1H 1M

Quantifying Deception & The Rays’ Fast Start

from Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

Eno, Trevor, and DVR unveil Trevor’s new deception model, digging into how it works, what it’s designed to measure, and the challenges of quantifying deception. They also break down the current leaders in deception among starters and relievers, and reveal where listeners can access the model (Hint: coming soon to Discord!). Later, they bring back How I’d Pitch This Guy with a look at Junior Caminero before shifting to the Rays’ rotation, focusing on Shane McClanahan and Griffin Jax.Rundown:1:15 Quantifying Deception: From 2016 to 20268:39 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Starting Pitchers for 20269:30 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Relief Pitchers for 202615:10 Looking to the Future: More Precision From Impact of Hitter's Vision?23:15 Deception Model Coming Soon to Discord!23:51 The Rays' 24-12 Start: What's Working Thus Far?26:04 Is the League Pitching the Rays Wrong?36:44 How I'd Pitch This Guy: Junior Caminero42:33 Starkville Sneak Peek44:38 Knocking the Rust Off: Shane McClanahan49:46 Getting Out of Rehab Mode54:37 Expectations for Griffin Jax as a StarterEno's FanGraphs Blog Post: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-attempt-to-quantify-pitcher-deception/Follow DVR on Bluesky: @DVR.bsky.socialFollow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.socialFollow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.sociale-mail: [email protected] our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeSubscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisWith: Jed LowrieEditor: Jason Potere Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Quantifying Deception & The Rays’ Fast Start

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