Rajiv Sethi – Taking Bets on the Presidency

Order Glenn's memoir, LATE ADMISSIONS: CONFESSIONS OF A BLACK CONSERVATIVE. Available here or wherever you get your books: https://wwnorton.com/books/97803938813490:00 Rajiv’s report from the FIRE conference3:11 Roland Fryer’s keynote address13:26 Ta-Nehisi Coates’s humanist universalism17:25 “Tolstoy is the Tolstoy of the Zulus”18:50 Rajiv’s reading of Coates’s stand on “apartheid”31:55 The gap between election forecasting models and prediction markets36:52 The limits of models and markets39:59 Rajiv: The markets show us a balance between narratives about the election44:17 Is one crypto trader manipulating the prediction markets in favor of Trump?53:12 Rajiv: Prediction markets may have sent early signals about January 655:19 Rajiv’s family history with Kamala Harris57:45 The new prominence of Indian Americans in politics1:03:07 The axiom of antiessentialismRecorded October 27, 2024Links and ReadingsRajiv’s Substack, Imperfect InformationFoundation for Individual Rights and ExpressionLara Bazelon’s 2022 Atlantic essay, “The ACLU Has Lost Its Way”Glenn’s 2021 conversation with BazelonGlenn’s 2023 conversation with Erec SmithEugene Volokh on the Hamline University-Prophet Muhammad painting controversyTa-Nehisi Coates’s book, The MessageCoates’s 2010 Atlantic essay, “The Ghost of Bobby Lee”Ralph Wiley’s book, Dark Witness: When Black People Should Be Sacrificed (Again)Last week’s TGS debate about The MesssageOrlando Patterson’s book, Slavery and Social Death: A Comparative StudyGlenn’s book, The Anatomy of Racial InequalityGlenn’s memoir, Late Admissions: Confessions of a Black ConservativePolymarketRecorded October 27, 2024Links and ReadingsRajiv’s Substack, Imperfect InformationFoundation for Individual Rights and ExpressionLara Bazelon’s 2022 Atlantic essay, “The ACLU Has Lost Its Way”Glenn’s 2021 conversation with BazelonGlenn’s 2023 conversation with Erec SmithEugene Volokh on the Hamline University-Prophet Muhammad painting controversyTa-Nehisi Coates’s book, The MessageCoates’s 2010 Atlantic essay, “The Ghost of Bobby Lee”Ralph Wiley’s book, Dark Witness: When Black People Should Be Sacrificed (Again)Last week’s TGS debate about The MesssageOrlando Patterson’s book, Slavery and Social Death: A Comparative StudyGlenn’s book, The Anatomy of Racial InequalityGlenn’s memoir, Late Admissions: Confessions of a Black ConservativePolymarket This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit glennloury.substack.com/subscribe