Reasonable Probability of Death episode artwork

EPISODE · Aug 21, 2026 · 48 MIN

Reasonable Probability of Death

from JWSP · host Alex Midway and Eric Halsey

Episode Summary:Yes that is a real picture that the Department of Education put out and there's no way you can convince me that the guy in the blue doesn't look like Epstein. This week's "Who Said It" is one of the most heartbreaking things we've read on this show — and once you find out who said it and where, it reframes everything that follows about who's winning and who's losing this war.Tesla ticked up on a deal with a Swedish trucking company that chose them over their hometown hero — we have a beta dad analogy ready and a new stock pick to go with it. SpaceX dropped after a marketing professor said the shares are worth somewhere between $10 and $30, and we are very curious to see how Elon responds to that on social media.Russia launched another multi-hour overnight attack on Kyiv — missiles, drones, the works — because when you can't win on the battlefield, Soviet doctrine says you go after apartments. Meanwhile Ukraine's campaign against Russian oil infrastructure is showing up in the actual numbers now, and a waterborne drone off the coast of Romania just tried to take out a project that would make Europe energy independent by 2027. We have a theory about who sent it.We address the Fedorov situation and the protests in Kyiv honestly — because we don't just cover the good news — and we explain why one person's very quick pivot tells you everything about their actual motives.Pete Hegseth just disbanded the Army's drone warfare battalion — the one set up specifically to absorb lessons from Ukraine — and we have a theory about how he decides what to cut that involves Ctrl+F and one very specific search term. The US just hit $40 trillion in debt and we break down exactly how much of that belongs to one man in six years. Blueberries have been upgraded to "reasonable probability of death." Iran responded to Trump's new economic war threat with a statement so calm and so precise it should make every pro-war American very uncomfortable.Fox News figured out why progressive politicians keep winning — it's the thirst traps. An otter showed up in the Bronx River for the first time in a century. Karoline Leavitt is gone, and Mike Lindell wants a recount of a primary that only Republicans could have rigged. We end there, because nothing we write could top that.Volvo Electric TrucksOur electric truck rangeGot feedback? We want to hear it.

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Aug 21, 2026

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Episode Summary: Yes that is a real picture that the Department of Education put out and there's no way you can convince me that the guy in the blue doesn't look like Epstein. This week's "Who Said It" is one of the most heartbreaking things we've read on this show — and once you find out who said it and where, it reframes everything that follows about who's winning and who's losing this war. Tesla ticked up on a deal with a Swedish trucking company that chose them over their hometown h...

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Reasonable Probability of Death

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This episode was published on August 21, 2026.

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