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Mar 6, 2026 38 min

RenMac Off-Script: Crude Awakening

from RenMac Hosted by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick

RenMac breaks down how the Iran conflict and rising oil prices are colliding with an already softening labor market and late-cycle market dynamics. The team discusses the “Hamilton Trigger” for energy, February’s weak jobs report, why the Fed may struggle to cut rates amid supply shocks, and how inflation pressures are shifting the RenMac Market Cycle Clock. The team also explore cracks forming in credit, the vulnerability of crowded momentum trades in tech, housing gridlock as mortgage rates rise, and the political backdrop heading into the midterms.

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RenMac Off-Script: Crude Awakening

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This episode was published on March 6, 2026.

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