Resetting market expectations

Although it’s too early to say that corporate earnings have fallen off a cliff, Matt Orton, CFA, argues that estimates need to be revised downwards — even if they may not need to fall that much. He and Joey Del Guercio consider alternatives to calling a bottom for equities, ask whether the United States is ceding its importance in investor portfolios, and discuss the future path of interest rates, which may be one of the widest disagreements in the market. They also look at shifts in supply chains encouraged by U.S. tariffs, asking whether they will be temporary or part of a longer-term trend.