Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Why We Do Things, and Grabby Aliens | MTS Live

Robin Hanson joins MTS to discuss the Minnesota law criminalizing prediction markets and what drove it, his long-term vision for decision markets advising everything from corporate leadership to personal dating choices, and why sports gambling dominates trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. He also reflects on his broader intellectual work, including the Elephant in the Brain, grabby aliens, and the Age of Em.--https://x.com/robinhanson--MTS is a live news and interview show covering technology, business, politics, and culture as it happens.Follow MTS: X | ⁠https://twitter.com/MTSlive⁠YouTube | ⁠https://www.youtube.com/@mtsituation⁠Spotify | ⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/4HUNNmV1pjV7CW6Lphm1rM⁠ Apple | ⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mts/id1891088763⁠ Substack | ⁠https://mtslive.substack.com/⁠Interested in sponsoring the show? ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠--Brought to you by:Granola - The AI notepad. Try it once and never go back. https://granola.ai/mtsKong - The AI connectivity platform. Connect APIs, LLMs, agents, and systems with serious security and governance. https://konghq.comBlitzy - Autonomous software development for enterprise codebases. Ship 5x faster. https://blitzy.comMerge - OpenAI, Dropbox, and Ramp use Merge to get AI to production faster. https://merge.dev/mtsAdQuick - Make your brand a billboard. Out-of-home advertising as easy to scale as digital. https://adquick.comMacroscope - AI codebase understanding for engineering leaders. https://macroscope.com/mts--Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction(01:04) The Minnesota Prediction Market Ban(02:39) Convincing the Public Markets Aren't Gambling(04:16) Kalshi and Polymarket vs. the Real Vision(08:00) Decision Markets and Personal Life Choices(13:01) The Value of Sports Gambling(24:11) Robin's Deepest Insights(26:38) Age of Em and the Case for Futurism--Note: This podcast is not investment, legal, or tax advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies and securities discussed; do your own research before acting on anything you hear.