Schaftlein Report | Republicans poised for Big Election Day Wins

  1) Joe Biden is at 39% approval in the Reuters - Ipsos poll on Election Day. Mainstream Media polls have him in the low to mid 40's 1A) In the CNN summary poll of 5 accredited firms, the Biden approval sits at 40% and 54% disapprove. We believe this is accurate. 1B) The final Generic Ballot has the GOP +2. This is very good news! 2) Prognostications: 1A) Larry Sabato Crystal Ball Senate 51-49 House +24 237-198. Walker and Oz win. 1B) WSJ expects Republicans to pick up 17% of Black vote and north of 45% of Hispanic vote. In 2018 those numbers were 6% and 33% 1C) Real Clear Politics says Republicans +3 in Senate and +31 in House and +2 Governors 2) Johnson extends lead in Wisconsin to 6 points. Is Laxalt really up 5-6 in Nevada? 3) Arizona is tied and New Hampshire and Washington state are within are within 2 points 4) Oz picking up momentum in PA. is it enough to overtake the early Democratic vote lead? 5) Walker surges in Georgia. Can he hit 50% to win on election night or is a run off coming in December? 6) Budd in North Carolina and Vance in Ohio are poised to win by greater than 4 points each. 7) As we have been saying for a year, Inflation, Economy, Gas Prices, Crime and the Open Border ARE the Key issues. 7A) Democrats widely misread the electorate on Abortion, False Democracy Claims, Climate and Voting Rights 8) Schaftlein Report - Our projection is we will report on tomorrow's show that Republicans have won 50 Senate seats with Races in Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia still to be decided. Republicans will flip 21 House seats.