Serabi Gold (LSE:SRB) – The Playbook for Growing to 70,000–100,000oz While Returning Capital

Interview with Michael Hodgson, CEO of Serabi Gold PLCOur previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/serabi-gold-lsesrb-300-share-price-surge-underscores-brazil-focused-growth-strategy-7926Recording date: 5th February 2026Serabi Gold (LSE: SRB) has positioned itself as one of the sector's standout performers following a transformative 2025, with CEO Mike Ojenir outlining an ambitious yet fully-funded growth strategy in a recent investor update. The Brazilian-focused gold producer delivered record production of 44,000 ounces while growing cash reserves from $20 million to $54 million, despite investing $12 million in exploration—a testament to the company's exceptional cash generation capabilities.For 2026, Serabi has set guidance of 54,000-57,000 ounces, representing up to 30% growth, with longer-term targets of 70,000-80,000 ounces by 2027-2028 and potential to approach 100,000 ounces thereafter. This expansion roadmap is underpinned by the installation of a fourth ball mill at the Palito processing plant, scheduled for Q3 2026, and the probable restart of the previously shuttered Sao Chico mine, which has become economically viable at current gold prices above $4,000 per ounce.What distinguishes Serabi's growth story is its remarkable cost discipline and financial self-sufficiency. With 65% of costs derived from regulated inputs—including labor governed by predictable union agreements and government-subsidized diesel—the company maintains flat operating costs while capturing full margin expansion from elevated gold prices. Quarterly profits have surged from $6 million to a projected $13-14 million, enabling Serabi to fund all capital expenditures from cash flow without equity dilution or debt.The company has also committed to returning approximately 25% of 2025 free cash flow to shareholders through dividends or buybacks, balancing growth investment with shareholder returns. Meanwhile, a $24 million two-year exploration program aims to grow resources from 1 million to 1.6 million ounces, providing the foundation for sustainable production scaling.With permitting progress expected at the flagship Coringa project in 2026 and a debt-free balance sheet, Serabi exemplifies how established producers in stable jurisdictions can leverage operational excellence and favorable commodity prices to deliver compelling shareholder value without the execution risks of transformational M&A.View Serabi Gold's company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/serabi-goldSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com