🇩🇪 Sonntagsfrage — Wie Wahlumfragen funktionieren & was sie wirklich aussagen

Was ist die Sonntagsfrage? Jede Woche veröffentlichen acht Institute neue Wahlumfragen — Forsa, Infratest dimap, INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Allensbach, GMS, Ipsos und YouGov. Aber was genau wird da gemessen? Wie werden die Daten erhoben? Und warum ist die Sonntagsfrage keine Wahlprognose? In dieser Folge erklären wir das komplette System: Telefon vs. Online-Panel, Fehlertoleranz, Gewichtung und warum sich die Ergebnisse der Institute um bis zu drei Prozentpunkte unterscheiden können. Außerdem: Warum der Durchschnitt aller Institute aussagekräftiger ist als eine einzelne Umfrage. Themen: Sonntagsfrage, Wahlumfrage, Forsa, Infratest dimap, INSA, Fehlertoleranz, Stichprobe, Meinungsforschung, Bundestagswahl

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Apr 9, 2026

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🇩🇪 Sonntagsfrage — Wie Wahlumfragen funktionieren & was sie wirklich aussagen

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