SORRY SEC: Proof Houston, Arizona Will BLOW OUT Tennessee, Arkansas and John Calipari, Rick Barnes

Arizona: The Depth and Interior Lockdown The #1 Wildcats (34–2) enter San Jose as a 7.5-point favorite over Arkansas, and for good reason. While Darius Acuff Jr. has been the tournament's breakout star for the Hogs, Arizona’s interior defense is a "black hole" for Arkansas’ primary scoring method. The Razorbacks rank 50th nationally in two-point shot rate, but they are running into an Arizona wall that ranks 2nd in the country in opponent two-point percentage (43.7%). With Motiejus Krivas and Tobe Awaka (9.3 RPG) anchoring the paint, Arkansas will be forced to become a perimeter-reliant team—something they aren't equipped for against Arizona’s length. The analytics suggest Arizona’s +9.3 point margin against tournament teams and their superior rebounding (+7.0 margin) will simply exhaust a shorter Arkansas rotation. Houston: The "Home" Defensive Siege For #2 Houston, their clash with Illinois is effectively a home game at the Toyota Center. The Cougars’ path to victory is written in the "extra possession" column. Houston leads the Sweet 16 field in Points Per Possession Allowed (0.78) and ranks 12th nationally in offensive rebounding. The Illini rely heavily on three-point volume (top 15 in frequency), but Houston’s defense specializes in "shot-clock drainage," limiting opponents to just 31.4% from deep. Expect Joseph Tugler to neutralize David Mirkovic inside, while freshman star Kingston Flemings (16.4 PPG) dictates the pace. If Houston turns this into a low-possession "rock fight," their 65.5% win probability becomes an inevitability. Everydayer Club  If you never miss an episode, it’s time to make it official. Join the Locked On Everydayer Club and get ad-free audio, access to our members-only Discord, and more — all built for our most loyal fans. Click here to learn more and join your team’s community: https://lockedonpodcasts.com/everydayerclub     Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! 5-Hour ENERGY Have your cake & drink it too. Birthday cake-flavor is back, no fork needed. Vanilla-y cakey flavor, caffeinated kick, and no sugar. It's party time. Order Now at https://5-hourENERGY.com or Amazon. Mazda Like our players, we’re driven by the details. Highlights make the reel. But the work behind them makes it count.
The all-new Mazda CX-5. More to move every side of you. Coast Right now, Coast Pay is offering our listeners up to $2,000 credit when you get started at https://coastpay.com/LOCKEDONCOLLEGE. Term Apply. The Coast Visa®️ Commercial Credit Card is issued by Celtic Bank. All card accounts are subject to credit approval. TurboTax This year you’re getting a major upgrade — Intuit TurboTax now has in-person locations nationwide. Visit http://TurboTax.com/local to book your appointment today. Robinhood You’re no longer just a spectator. Play by play. You decide. Trade Every Play with Robinhood. Now available across the U.S. Download the Robinhood app now to begin. Futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC., a registered futures commission merchant and swap firm. SupplyHouse Visit https://SupplyHouse.com/tm to learn more about becoming a Trade Master. Use promo code S-H Five College for 5% off your first order at https://supplyhouse.com.  SupplyHouse. Real people. Real service.  Indeed Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast   Gametime Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONfor $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply. FanDuel Today's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. During the tournament FanDuel is offering$300 back in Bonus Bets every day for ten days. Visit https://FANDUEL.COMto get started — Play Your Game.   FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.