EPISODE · Sep 30, 2020 · 27 MIN
Special Episode: Presidential Election Predictions—Do They Really Work?
from How to Win a Campaign · host Joe Fuld, Martín Diego Garcia, TCW, The Campaign Workshop
If we had a crystal ball that could tell us exactly what the outcome of the presidential election will be, many of us would sleep a lot easier at night. But of course, we do not have a crystal ball, and instead we turn to myriad polls, models, and other predictors to try to tell what’s going to happen on election day. That’s why Joe and Martín spend this special episode breaking down the rationale behind some very wonky models as well as some very wacky ones. From looking at factors such as the performance of the economy to consumer trends like popularity of Trump Halloween masks to downright wacky predictors such as a Chinese mystic monkey, there is no shortage of ways to predict the presidency!ResourcesPresidential Election Predictions, Are They Accurate? | Predicting Elections 2020Wacky Ways to Make Presidential Election PredictionsConnect with us!If you have campaign questions or want to learn more, reach out to us using the contact information below.The Campaign Workshop: Twitter: @cmpwrkshpInstagram: @TheCampaignWorkshopEmail: [email protected] FuldTwitter: @joefuldInstagram: @joefuldMartín Diego GarciaTwitter: @gmartindiegoInstagram: @gmartindiegoPresented by The Campaign Workshop
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What this episode covers
Red and blue 7-11 coffee cups, generations-old cookie recipes, Halloween masks, the economy, and Geda, the Chinese mystic monkey, have all been used to predict the U.S. Presidential election. In this special episode, Joe and Martín dive into the world of election predictions, both academic ones as well as some wild and wacky ones, and pass judgement on the reliability of these predictions. Also tune in to find out former Second Lady Dr. Jill Biden’s favorite snack!
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Special Episode: Presidential Election Predictions—Do They Really Work?
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