State of the Race with Ryan McQuade of AwardsWatch - OBAA vs the Field - ORC 10/8/25

Ryan McQuade returns to discuss his film festival journeys, his love for One Battle After Another, and the state of the Oscars Race, especially as it pertains to OBAA, The Smashing Machine and other October films. Ryan McQuade’s favorite foods at Cannes, Telluride & AFI - 2:54 ON THE CLOCK: PTI STYLE PRESENTATIONS BY RYAN: 7:55 His 3 Minute Review of One Battle After Another - 8:28 A discussion of Modelos and white Michaels - 11:35 Review of The Smashing Machine: 3 Mins - 14:36 Smashing Machine’s box office flop & likely huge door budget - 17:32 How OBAA could lose Best Picture - 18:48 What other films could win Best Picture. Ryan talks the full field - 24:36 Hamnet Acting Campaign Strategies + Buckley as the Actress Favorite - 29:40 PERCENTAGE CHANCE: RYAN PREDICTS CHANCE OF NOM/WIN: OBAA to win Best Picture - 30:14 Leo to win Best Actor - 32:43 Emily Blunt & Teyana Taylor (+Chase Infiniti Talk) in Supporting Actress - 36:28 A quick Supporting Actor discussion re: Del Toro & Penn - 39:52 An official prediction on Chase Infiniti Nomination chances - 41:02 Benny Safdie for Nomination & PTA to Win Best Director - 42:58 A One Battle After Another Box Office Discussion - 46:01 The Rock for Lead Actor - 50:57 The Smashing Machine for MUAH - 55:27 Ryan talks other October movies: Anemone, Roofman, Springsteen & Blue Moon - 57:23 Ryan’s darkhorse Oscar Nom Predictions & Surefire Locks - 1:00:36 OUTRO: Make sure to follow all of Ryan McQuade’s work including his film festival movie reviews and the AwardsWatch Podcast (including Director Watch for his PTA series and series on many more great filmmakers) https://awardswatch.com/author/ryan-mcquade/ Follow RyanMcQuade77 on X https://x.com/ryanmcquade77 And you can also listen to him as a frequent guest on Pop Culture Confidential, where friend of the show - Christina Jeurling Birro is doing wonderful work. https://www.popcultureconfidential.com/