Stop Legislating Crystal Balls: Why Government Keeps Predicting the Future | Monologue Monday episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 9, 2026 · 1H 1M

Stop Legislating Crystal Balls: Why Government Keeps Predicting the Future | Monologue Monday

from Common Sense with Chad Law | Political Commentary · host Chad Law

Text the show! 🚗 One article about self-driving cars changed this entire episode.What began as a discussion about autonomous vehicles turned into a deep dive into one of the biggest questions facing America today:How should a free society govern technology it cannot predict?From Uber and Airbnb to drones, supersonic flight, and Ronald Reagan's decision to open GPS to the world, Chad explores why governments repeatedly regulate the future based on predictions instead of evidence—and what America's Founders understood about humility that we've gradually forgotten.This isn't an episode about technology.It's an episode about how free societies learn.In this episode:🚗 Self-driving cars🚕 Uber🏠 Airbnb🛴 Electric scooters✈️ Supersonic flight📡 GPS📜 The Constitution⚖️ The Five Questions for Governing New Technology🎙️ After Hours (Rumble Exclusive):Extended audience Q&A covering:• AI regulation• Asbestos and precaution• Occupational licensing• Markets vs. consumer protection• Congress and sunset clauses👇 Watch the full video and exclusive After Hours Q&A on Rumble.https://rumble.com/v7cgxly-stop-legislating-crystal-balls-why-government-keeps-predicting-the-future-m.html🇺🇸 Support Common Sense▶ Follow on Rumble📰 Subscribe on Substack📱 Follow on X & InstagramIf you enjoy long-form conversations that teach **how to think—not what to think—please Like, Follow, Comment and Share.Chapters00:00 – One Article Changed the Entire Episode02:55 – Self-Driving Cars Spark a Bigger Question07:51 – The 160-Year Cycle of Innovation & Regulation12:40 – The Red Flag Act and the First Flag Guy18:15 – Uber, Drones & Supersonic Flight23:52 – Technology Changes… Human Nature Doesn't27:50 – Why Human Incentives Never Change29:52 – The "Do Something" Bias in Politics31:45 – The Invisible Cost of Playing It Safe33:28 – Why Experts Keep Predicting the Wrong Things37:28 – The Founders Planned to Be Wrong39:23 – The Constitution as a Feedback Machine44:48 – Governing Innovation the Common Sense Way47:08 – Five Questions Every Citizen Should Ask50:48 – Why Learning Beats Prediction55:18 – Ronald Reagan, GPS & Trusting the American People58:51 – How America Drifted from Humility to Certainty

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Text the show! 🚗 One article about self-driving cars changed this entire episode. What began as a discussion about autonomous vehicles turned into a deep dive into one of the biggest questions facing America today: How should a free society govern technology it cannot predict? From Uber and Airbnb to drones, supersonic flight, and Ronald Reagan's decision to open GPS to the world, Chad explores why governments repeatedly regulate the future based on predictions instead of evidence—and what A...

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Stop Legislating Crystal Balls: Why Government Keeps Predicting the Future | Monologue Monday

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