Superintelligence Strategy: Deterrence, Nonproliferation, and Competitiveness

This expert strategy document addresses the national security implications of rapidly advancing artificial intelligence, particularly the anticipated emergence of superintelligence. It argues for a three-pronged framework: establishing Mutual Assured AI Malfunction (MAIM) for deterrence among major powers, implementing nonproliferation measures to prevent rogue actors from acquiring dangerous AI capabilities, and pursuing competitiveness through strategic investments and policies. The authors draw parallels with nuclear strategy, emphasizing the dual-use nature of AI and the need for proactive measures to mitigate catastrophic risks while harnessing AI's transformative potential. The paper outlines specific technical and policy recommendations within each of these strategic pillars.