Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez