The 2020 shake-up after South Carolina

Welcome to the lid from me the press. I'm Kerry Dan. Let's say that last Friday you suddenly I was gonna say dropped into a coma But honestly doesn't have to be that serious at all Let's say you went on vacation with no cell phone service or you know You were doing what many normal people do on weekends I just didn't look at your phone for a couple days in any of those scenarios if you were to have come back from that break Away from the news and plug back in for the first time this afternoon Well, you would be in for a surprise you could be a reasonably well-informed person and gone to bed on Friday night thinking You know Joe Biden's candidacy seems like it's on its last gasp He performed poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire He was a distant second in Nevada and polls last week showed he might not get a decisive win in South Carolina either But he did he won every county in the state on Saturday night He won black voters by more than 40 points and it was as the former vice president once famously said a big Yeah, really big deal because that win was basically the signal that a lot of Democratic Party forces that are not huge fans of Bernie Sanders We're waiting for that signal was okay Biden is our consensus pick to take on Sanders and then the president for those Democrats So two days before super Tuesday suddenly Pete Buttigieg dropped out And then one day before Amy Klobuchar dropped out and said she would be endorsing Biden all of a sudden We're in what sure feels like a two-man race with the major caveat that there's Mike Bloomberg out there too And no one really knows how he might do on super Tuesday There's something else complicating all of this by the way Which is that the race is now moving so fast that all public polling of super Tuesday states is now way out of dates And there were some states where there wasn't a whole lot of polling to begin with places like Arkansas and Oklahoma for example Where Mike Bloomberg thinks he can do really well We just have very little data and states where we do have data like California and Texas are a likely to see a lot of movement in the Final days and be there's been a lot of early voting So we're kind of walking into tomorrow's super Tuesday contests pretty blind We don't know how much this late-breaking consolidation for Biden will boost him in the delegate count We don't know exactly who might or might not hit that 15% viability threshold in any given state And we don't know how many early voters may have cast votes for essentially zombie candidates who have since dropped out of the race It's almost like I guess we're just gonna have to wait for voters to vote You know the old-fashioned way that's a live for us if you'd like to hear more of this free Oh, you're leaving you can always tell us on your favorite podcast app