The 3 Step Test to Spot a Bear Market BEFORE it Hits! episode artwork

EPISODE · Nov 18, 2025 · 22 MIN

The 3 Step Test to Spot a Bear Market BEFORE it Hits!

from How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast with OVTLYR Live · host Christopher M. Uhl, CMA

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.The market might be trying to tell us something, and honestly, it is kind of a big deal. The three step test just flipped bearish on the S&P 500, which means the trend officially turned down. Now does that automatically mean a crash is coming? Maybe. Could it snap right back up like nothing happened? Also maybe. Nobody here is pretending to predict the future. The goal is to read the trend as honestly as possible, and right now that trend is pointing down.Inside this video, we break down what actually triggered the shift. The 10 EMA slipped under the 20, price pushed under the 50, and suddenly the entire character of the market changed. That combo is the first early sign that momentum is fading and we might be entering stage three, the part where uptrends stop being friendly and start getting choppy. We revisit when this setup last appeared and how the market behaved afterward. Not to scare anyone, but to understand the difference between a healthy pullback and a genuine trend reversal.We also dive into real charts like SoFi, Palantir, PayPal, AMD and SPY. Some names are already deep in bearish trends. Others are holding up. A few look like they could tip either direction. And that is the exact reason why trend reading matters. You do not have to guess. You do not need to hope. You just need to recognize whether the market is working for you or against you.For quick reference, here are the big ideas we walk through in the video:✅ Why the 10 under 20 and price under 50 setup is the cleanest early warning✅ What stage three looks like on a real chart✅ How previous pullbacks played out once this setup appeared✅ When it makes sense to sit in cash and protect your account✅ Why mini trends form inside bigger bullish or bearish cyclesA lot of traders get used to nothing but green candles during long bull runs. That comfort can be a trap. When markets finally shift, they shift fast, and too many people convince themselves that stocks cannot go down. This video is the reality check. There is a huge difference between riding a confirmed uptrend and trying to buy every dip during a downtrend. The Covid crash and 2022 bear market made that painfully clear.You will see how the trend template keeps you objective. No guessing. No emotional decisions. When things line up bullishly, you participate. When they do not, you step aside and wait. Sitting in cash is not weakness. It is risk management. And honestly, it is one of the simplest ways to avoid blowing up your account when the market gets messy.Toward the end, we talk about the power of trading plans like Plan ETF, what compounding actually looks like during clean uptrends, and how OVTLYR members use these signals to stay on the right side of major moves. If the market decides to pull back 10 or even 20 percent, it would not be shocking. Big banks have already been warning about volatility. The important thing is knowing how to navigate it confidently.If you care about saving time, protecting your gains and avoiding unnecessary losses, this video is going to help you stay ahead of the curve instead of reacting after the damage is done.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today 👉 https://ovtlyr.comSubscribe for more real talk and real signals. No fluff, no noise. Just strategies that help you save time, make money, and start winning with less risk.👉 https://www.youtube.com/@ovtlyrdotcom#bearmarket #stockmarketnews #trendtrading #technicalanalysis #investing101 #marketcrash #SP500 #stocktrends #tradingtips #OVTLYR

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.The market might be trying to tell us something, and honestly, it is kind of a big deal. The three step test just flipped bearish on the S&P 500, which means the trend officially turned down. Now does that automatically mean a crash is coming? Maybe. Could it snap right back up like nothing happened? Also maybe. Nobody here is pretending to predict the future. The goal is to read the trend as honestly as possible, and right now that trend is pointing down.Inside this video, we break down what actually triggered the shift. The 10 EMA slipped under the 20, price pushed under the 50, and suddenly the entire character of the market changed. That combo is the first early sign that momentum is fading and we might be entering stage three, the part where uptrends stop being friendly and start getting choppy. We revisit when this setup last appeared and how the market behaved afterward. Not to scare anyone, but to understand the difference between a healthy pullback and a genuine trend reversal.We also dive into real charts like SoFi, Palantir, PayPal, AMD and SPY. Some names are already deep in bearish trends. Others are holding up. A few look like they could tip either direction. And that is the exact reason why trend reading matters. You do not have to guess. You do not need to hope. You just need to recognize whether the market is working for you or against you.For quick reference, here are the big ideas we walk through in the video:✅ Why the 10 under 20 and price under 50 setup is the cleanest early warning✅ What stage three looks like on a real chart✅ How previous pullbacks played out once this setup appeared✅ When it makes sense to sit in cash and protect your account✅ Why mini trends form inside bigger bullish or bearish cyclesA lot of traders get used to nothing but green candles during long bull runs. That comfort can be a trap. When markets finally shift, they shift fast, and too many people convince themselves that stocks cannot go down. This video is the reality check. There is a huge difference between riding a confirmed uptrend and trying to buy every dip during a downtrend. The Covid crash and 2022 bear market made that painfully clear.You will see how the trend template keeps you objective. No guessing. No emotional decisions. When things line up bullishly, you participate. When they do not, you step aside and wait. Sitting in cash is not weakness. It is risk management. And honestly, it is one of the simplest ways to avoid blowing up your account when the market gets messy.Toward the end, we talk about the power of trading plans like Plan ETF, what compounding actually looks like during clean uptrends, and how OVTLYR members use these signals to stay on the right side of major moves. If the market decides to pull back 10 or even 20 percent, it would not be shocking. Big banks have already been warning about volatility. The important thing is knowing how to navigate it confidently.If you care about saving time, protecting your gains and avoiding unnecessary losses, this video is going to help you stay ahead of the curve instead of reacting after the damage is done.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today 👉 https://ovtlyr.comSubscribe for more real talk and real signals. No fluff, no noise. Just strategies that help you save time, make money, and start winning with less risk.👉 https://www.youtube.com/@ovtlyrdotcom#bearmarket #stockmarketnews #trendtrading #technicalanalysis #investing101 #marketcrash #SP500 #stocktrends #tradingtips #OVTLYR

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The 3 Step Test to Spot a Bear Market BEFORE it Hits!

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This episode was published on November 18, 2025.

What is this episode about?

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.The market might be trying to tell us something, and honestly, it is kind of a big deal. The three step test just flipped bearish on the...

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