EPISODE · May 3, 2026 · 1H 7M
The AI Math Is Brutal – Is Half Your Portfolio Already Dead? + $POET's Wild Week (E130)
from Wall Street Wildlife Investing Podcast · host Krzysztof and Luke
Luke sold two stocks this week. Not because earnings disappointed or guidance missed — but because he ran the numbers on what AI actually does to software valuations, and the math got uncomfortable fast. Meanwhile, Krzysztof turned a 70% options loss into a breakeven exit... then watched the stock moon another 60%... then crater 50% — all in the same week. This is what investing in the AI era actually feels like.💀 Monkey's $POET call option went from genius to idiot to genius in 7 days — a masterclass in what NOT to do with options, and the one trading rule that could have saved him🎓 Badger breaks down the DCF concept most investors ignore: why a 5% annual "AI death probability" can slash a company's fair value by nearly 50% — and why that math should terrify SaaS investors🤖 "It's not that AI will build a better ServiceNow — it's that you won't NEED ServiceNow" — the Kodak fallacy hiding in plain sight across your portfolio🎯 Luke sold $CRM and $ZS this week — hear exactly why, and whether $CRWD is next on the chopping block🧠 The ostrich investor, anchoring bias, and why knowing what can go wrong is the most valuable skill in your arsenal right now🌴 Community portfolio 6-month check-in: $WISE up 23%, the overall portfolio down 12% — and why that's not the pointSources:King of the Jungle Spreadsheet: https://www.patreon.com/posts/150190962The Investor's Mirror (iOS App): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/investors-mirror/id6760048070Segments:00:00:00 Cold Open: AI Is Killing Companies — Not Replacing Them00:00:54 Intro + Luke Bought a Motorcycle (Investing Adjacent, We Promise)00:10:57 Monkey's $POET Options Debacle: From 70% Loss to Breakeven to... 50% Drop00:21:43 The SaaS Apocalypse: How AI Rewrites Software Valuations00:33:39 Why ServiceNow Might Not Need a Replacement — It Just Disappears00:41:34 Luke Sold $CRM and $ZS — Here's the Exact Reasoning00:54:52 Is $CRWD Next? The CrowdStrike Question00:57:32 Community Portfolio 6-Month Review: $WISE, $TTD, and What's Next**********If you want to see our furry faces, this podcast is also available on YouTube at youtube.com/@WallStreetWildlife?sub_confirmation=1**********SUPPORT THE SHOW AND BECOME A PATREON:wallstreetwildlife.com**********Follow us at:x.com/7LukeHallardx.com/7FlyingPlatypus**********Fiscal.AI is the Complete Stock Research Platform for fundamental investors. With its beautiful design and institutional-quality data, Fiscal AI is incredibly powerful and easy to use.Get 15% off any premium plan with:fiscal.ai/wildlife**********Monkey’s “Zen, Nietzsche, How to Live” Substack:firephilosophy.substack.com**********To use the same portfolio tracking tool as Luke, check-out:portseido.com/?fpr=lukehallard**********Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation**********Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?- Invest like seasoned pros with over 40 years in the game- Discover the world's leading companies- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst- Learn how to start investing- Essential investing principles to boost your returnsKeywords:$POET,$CRM,$ZS,$CRWD,$WISE,$TTD,SaaS apocalypse,AI disruption stocks,software valuation,DCF terminal value,options trading mistakes,AI death probability,ServiceNow AI risk,Salesforce disruption,Zscaler analysis,CrowdStrike AI,community portfolio,position sizing,anchoring bias,options psychology,retail investor mistakes,Kelly Criterion,compounder investing,growth stocks 2025,AI investing,$NU,$IREN,$NOW
What this episode covers
Luke sold two stocks this week. Not because earnings disappointed or guidance missed — but because he ran the numbers on what AI actually does to software valuations, and the math got uncomfortable fast. Meanwhile, Krzysztof turned a 70% options loss into a breakeven exit... then watched the stock moon another 60%... then crater 50% — all in the same week. This is what investing in the AI era actually feels like.💀 Monkey's $POET call option went from genius to idiot to genius in 7 days — a masterclass in what NOT to do with options, and the one trading rule that could have saved him🎓 Badger breaks down the DCF concept most investors ignore: why a 5% annual "AI death probability" can slash a company's fair value by nearly 50% — and why that math should terrify SaaS investors🤖 "It's not that AI will build a better ServiceNow — it's that you won't NEED ServiceNow" — the Kodak fallacy hiding in plain sight across your portfolio🎯 Luke sold $CRM and $ZS this week — hear exactly why, and whether $CRWD is next on the chopping block🧠 The ostrich investor, anchoring bias, and why knowing what can go wrong is the most valuable skill in your arsenal right now🌴 Community portfolio 6-month check-in: $WISE up 23%, the overall portfolio down 12% — and why that's not the pointSources:King of the Jungle Spreadsheet: https://www.patreon.com/posts/150190962The Investor's Mirror (iOS App): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/investors-mirror/id6760048070Segments:00:00:00 Cold Open: AI Is Killing Companies — Not Replacing Them00:00:54 Intro + Luke Bought a Motorcycle (Investing Adjacent, We Promise)00:10:57 Monkey's $POET Options Debacle: From 70% Loss to Breakeven to... 50% Drop00:21:43 The SaaS Apocalypse: How AI Rewrites Software Valuations00:33:39 Why ServiceNow Might Not Need a Replacement — It Just Disappears00:41:34 Luke Sold $CRM and $ZS — Here's the Exact Reasoning00:54:52 Is $CRWD Next? The CrowdStrike Question00:57:32 Community Portfolio 6-Month Review: $WISE, $TTD, and What's Next**********If you want to see our furry faces, this podcast is also available on YouTube at youtube.com/@WallStreetWildlife?sub_confirmation=1**********SUPPORT THE SHOW AND BECOME A PATREON:wallstreetwildlife.com**********Follow us at:x.com/7LukeHallardx.com/7FlyingPlatypus**********Fiscal.AI is the Complete Stock Research Platform for fundamental investors. With its beautiful design and institutional-quality data, Fiscal AI is incredibly powerful and easy to use.Get 15% off any premium plan with:fiscal.ai/wildlife**********Monkey’s “Zen, Nietzsche, How to Live” Substack:firephilosophy.substack.com**********To use the same portfolio tracking tool as Luke, check-out:portseido.com/?fpr=lukehallard**********Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation**********Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?- Invest like seasoned pros with over 40 years in the game- Discover the world's leading companies- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst- Learn how to start investing- Essential investing principles to boost your returnsKeywords:$POET,$CRM,$ZS,$CRWD,$WISE,$TTD,SaaS apocalypse,AI disruption stocks,software valuation,DCF terminal value,options trading mistakes,AI death probability,ServiceNow AI risk,Salesforce disruption,Zscaler analysis,CrowdStrike AI,community portfolio,position sizing,anchoring bias,options psychology,retail investor mistakes,Kelly Criterion,compounder investing,growth stocks 2025,AI investing,$NU,$IREN,$NOW
NOW PLAYING
The AI Math Is Brutal – Is Half Your Portfolio Already Dead? + $POET's Wild Week (E130)
No transcript for this episode yet
Similar Episodes
No similar episodes found.
Similar Podcasts
No similar podcasts found.