EPISODE · Jun 4, 2026 · 33 MIN
The Ecommerce Forecasting Mistake That Kills Growth
from Ecommerce: The Hammersley Brothers Ecommerce Podcast · host The Hammersley Brothers
This week on the Hammersley Brothers Ecommerce Podcast, we dive into one of the most overlooked parts of scaling an ecommerce business properly: stock forecasting. Most founders think forecasting is just spreadsheets and guesswork. In reality, it’s one of the biggest drivers of growth, cashflow, profitability, and momentum. In this episode, we discuss: Why stock forecasting feels like gambling for most ecommerce owners The hidden danger of understocking your best sellers Why running out of stock destroys your ROAS and growth How long lead times completely change your business model Why some brands intentionally choose lower margins for faster stock rotation The importance of focusing on hero products instead of too many SKUs How to improve your odds when ordering stock The relationship between stock levels, Meta ads, and Google Ads Why trending products can destroy forecasting models How to identify winning products before scaling harder The “yo-yo” effect that traps many ecommerce brands How great forecasting creates confidence to scale aggressively If you’ve ever struggled with stock, cashflow, forecasting, or scaling profitably, this episode will completely change how you think about ecommerce growth. P.S. Whenever you’re ready... here are 3 ways Ian and I can help you grow your ecommerce business: 1. Talk to us. Book a call with us and let's talk about accelerating your growth - https://go.hammersleybrothers.com/scheduleuk-ant 2. Grab a copy of our book - https://gohigh.hammersleybrothers.com/get-the-book 3. Join the Ultimate Guide To Ecommerce Facebook group and connect with e-commerce owners who are scaling too - https://www.facebook.com/groups/924567391291786
What this episode covers
This week on the Hammersley Brothers Ecommerce Podcast, we dive into one of the most overlooked parts of scaling an ecommerce business properly: stock forecasting.Most founders think forecasting is just spreadsheets and guesswork. In reality, it’s one of the biggest drivers of growth, cashflow, profitability, and momentum. In this episode, we discuss: Why stock forecasting feels like gambling for most ecommerce owners The hidden danger of understocking your best sellers Why running out of stock destroys your ROAS and growth How long lead times completely change your business model Why some brands intentionally choose lower margins for faster stock rotation The importance of focusing on hero products instead of too many SKUs How to improve your odds when ordering stock The relationship between stock levels, Meta ads, and Google Ads Why trending products can destroy forecasting models How to identify winning products before scaling harder The “yo-yo” effect that traps many ecommerce brands How great forecasting creates confidence to scale aggressively If you’ve ever struggled with stock, cashflow, forecasting, or scaling profitably, this episode will completely change how you think about ecommerce growth. P.S. Whenever you’re ready... here are 3 ways Ian and I can help you grow your ecommerce business: 1. Talk to us. Book a call with us and let's talk about accelerating your growth - https://go.hammersleybrothers.com/scheduleuk-ant 2. Grab a copy of our book - https://gohigh.hammersleybrothers.com/get-the-book 3. Join the Ultimate Guide To Ecommerce Facebook group and connect with e-commerce owners who are scaling too - https://www.facebook.com/groups/924567391291786
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The Ecommerce Forecasting Mistake That Kills Growth
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