The first domino just fell (the private credit crisis) + my 3 scenario for SP500 episode artwork

EPISODE · Feb 26, 2026 · 16 MIN

The first domino just fell (the private credit crisis) + my 3 scenario for SP500

from Invest Smart, Not Hard | Podcast with Nico de Bony (OPTI Strategies) · host optistrategies

📩 Get the Next Monthly Recap First (as well as notifications for new video/blog market alerts). Join my free mailing list: https://www.optistrategies.com/blogTIMESTAMPS0:00 - Introduction: Stage 2 of the private credit crisis0:40 - The 3 stages of a credit crisis explained1:51 - Blue Owl Capital: The permanent halt on redemptions & the PR spin4:38 - Bank unrealized losses and the private credit black box5:41 - Contagion risk and the 2008 Bear Stearns parallel6:53 - The Fed's private credit warning & the sudden Repo market spike8:25 - Stock market update: Nvidia earnings and the tech wall9:11 - Retail buys while "Smart Money" buys crash insurance (VIX & Puts)10:55 - The massive insider bets on Gold hitting $20,00012:32 - The Hindenburg Omen: A major warning signal flashes 6 times13:03 - My 3 S&P 500 scenarios: Best, Base, and Worst case14:45 - The real danger: A lost decade or a hyperinflation melt-upUSEFUL LINKS👉 Watch my FREE 30-min Masterclass on 5 Simple Strategies (using options) to manage risk, limit losses, and invest with confidence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4LfmAEzCQ0Two options for you if you want to master Stock Market Insurance (Put Options): 👉 Self-Paced Online Course : https://www.optistrategies.com/oc-1👉 1-on-1 Coaching : https://www.optistrategies.com/coachingThe source I forgot to list at 6m59s is a YouTube video from Eurodollar.University*Disclaimer*The information presented is provided for informational purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an inducement to buy, sell, or hold financial assets. The opinions expressed are general in nature and do not take into account the financial situation, objectives, or specific needs of any individual. Before making investment decisions, it is recommended to consult a financial advisor accredited by the financial market’s authority for personalized advice. Investing involves risks, including the risk of capital loss.

📩 Get the Next Monthly Recap First (as well as notifications for new video/blog market alerts). Join my free mailing list: https://www.optistrategies.com/blogTIMESTAMPS0:00 - Introduction: Stage 2 of the private credit crisis0:40 - The 3 stages of a credit crisis explained1:51 - Blue Owl Capital: The permanent halt on redemptions & the PR spin4:38 - Bank unrealized losses and the private credit black box5:41 - Contagion risk and the 2008 Bear Stearns parallel6:53 - The Fed's private credit warning & the sudden Repo market spike8:25 - Stock market update: Nvidia earnings and the tech wall9:11 - Retail buys while "Smart Money" buys crash insurance (VIX & Puts)10:55 - The massive insider bets on Gold hitting $20,00012:32 - The Hindenburg Omen: A major warning signal flashes 6 times13:03 - My 3 S&P 500 scenarios: Best, Base, and Worst case14:45 - The real danger: A lost decade or a hyperinflation melt-upUSEFUL LINKS👉 Watch my FREE 30-min Masterclass on 5 Simple Strategies (using options) to manage risk, limit losses, and invest with confidence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4LfmAEzCQ0Two options for you if you want to master Stock Market Insurance (Put Options): 👉 Self-Paced Online Course : https://www.optistrategies.com/oc-1👉 1-on-1 Coaching : https://www.optistrategies.com/coachingThe source I forgot to list at 6m59s is a YouTube video from Eurodollar.University*Disclaimer*The information presented is provided for informational purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an inducement to buy, sell, or hold financial assets. The opinions expressed are general in nature and do not take into account the financial situation, objectives, or specific needs of any individual. Before making investment decisions, it is recommended to consult a financial advisor accredited by the financial market’s authority for personalized advice. Investing involves risks, including the risk of capital loss.

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The first domino just fell (the private credit crisis) + my 3 scenario for SP500

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How long is this episode of Invest Smart, Not Hard | Podcast with Nico de Bony (OPTI Strategies)?

This episode is 16 minutes long.

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This episode was published on February 26, 2026.

What is this episode about?

📩 Get the Next Monthly Recap First (as well as notifications for new video/blog market alerts). Join my free mailing list: https://www.optistrategies.com/blogTIMESTAMPS0:00 - Introduction: Stage 2 of the private credit crisis0:40 - The 3 stages of...

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