EPISODE · May 5, 2026 · 40 MIN
THE INTEREST RATE TURN: Are we done with increases yet?
from Money on the Mic · host Fundd
Welcome back to Money on the Mic. In episode five, Darren and Brodie sit down on the day of an RBA meeting to discuss the immediate impact of interest rate hikes and the shifting tide of market sentiment in the Australian property sector.THE BREAKDOWNThis week, the team explores the "feathers in the wind" nature of economic forecasting, noting how quickly the national narrative flipped from predicting 2026 rate cuts to bracing for multiple hikes. Darren and Brodie debate what happens if we have finally hit the peak of the rate cycle and why waiting for the "perfect time" to buy often leads to missing the boat. They dive into why smart investors often act during periods of "good chaos" and high fear, capitalizing on reduced competition at open homes before the media narrative inevitably flips and triggers a fresh wave of FOMO.In this episode, we chat about:The RBA Meeting: Analyzing the 90% probability of a rate hike and what it means for the immediate future.The Sentiment Flip: How market expectations moved from three rate cuts to three rate rises in just a matter of months.Discussing the most hawkish big-bank projection of a 4.85% cash rate by August.Buyer Hesitation: Why sitting on the sidelines during budget season and rate cycles can be a strategic error.A look back at how bank predictions during COVID were off by as much as 65%.Migration Records: The fundamental impact of 3,000 migrants arriving per day and the resulting pressure on supply.The Winner's Circle: Why those who get their finance ready and act during uncertainty are positioned to flourish.CHAPTERS00:00 Intro: The RBA Context 01:40 Sentiment vs. Reality04:00 One Bank’s Hawkish Projection06:42 The End of Financial Year09:21 The "Once Bitten, Twice Shy" Buyer11:40 The Disagreement: FOMO14:40 Winners and Losers18:00 A History of Wrong Predictions21:00 Advice for Active Buyers23:35 The Long-Term View26:00 OutroCONNECT WITH FUNDDSubscribe and follow the podcast for weekly deep dives into the Australian lending landscape.Got a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-finance-aus/?viewAsMember=true This podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.All information is correct at the time of filming.
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THE INTEREST RATE TURN: Are we done with increases yet?
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