The K-Shaped Trap: Why All-Time Highs Aren’t Telling the Whole Story

In this episode, the team discusses the major marketreaction to news that Iran is allowing ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to plummet by over 10%. Despite a stock market rally toward all-time highs, the team examines a "bifurcated" K-shaped economy where falling consumer confidence, downward job revisions, and housing market friction suggest a more fragile underlying reality. They also take a deep dive into the systemic risks within private credit and the complex "puts and takes" of the AI revolution, warning that the current concentration of growth in a single sector may be masking broader economicweaknesses. This podcast is prepared and distributed by AMI Asset Management (AMI), an SEC-registered investmentadviser (registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training). The information contained herein, and the opinions expressed are those of AMI as of the date of writing, prepared solely for general informational and discussionpurposes. The information contained in this podcast has been compiled by AMI from sources believed to be reliable; however, AMI does not make any representation as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness and does notaccept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof. Such information and opinions are subject to change without notice due to changes in market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. References tospecific securities are not intended as recommendations of said securities. Please note that some of the securities mentioned may be held in an AMI strategy or in personal accounts. The reader should not assume that any investments in securities, sectors and markets identified or described were or will be profitable. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and future returns are not guaranteed. The investment strategies referenced may not be suitable or appropriate for all investors depending on their specificinvestment objectives and financial situation and potential investors should consult with their own financial professional before determining whether to invest in the strategy.