The Oil Shock That Is Reshaping US Inflation Expectations

Crude oil has surged past one hundred dollars a barrel, pushing Brent near one hundred and ten, while gasoline prices hold steady above four dollars. This episode dissects the immediate impact of this energy spike on core inflation metrics like the CPI and PCE. We explore why breakeven inflation rates remain flat at two point three seven percent despite the price shock, and what this divergence means for Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. Lucas and Luna break down the mechanics of how energy costs feed into the broader economy right now in September twenty twenty six. #OilPrices #InflationData #FederalReserve #EnergyEconomics #CPIReport #PCEIndex #BrentCrude #WTICrude #GasolinePrices #InterestRates #BreakevenInflation #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Macroeconomics #MonetaryPolicy #SupplyChainCosts #ConsumerSpending #EnergyTransition Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo