The One-Man Crash: Tariffs, Turmoil, and the Ghost of Black Monday | The New Barbarians #015

This week on The New Barbarians, Bill Mann and Mark Connors break down the sharpest two-day market decline since 2020 — and why it might be even more historically significant. From Black Monday in 1987 to today’s tariff-induced turmoil, we explore the anatomy of market meltdowns, past and present.We discuss:📉 The “one-man crash” and its unprecedented impact🧠 Why traditional quant models and LLMs missed this move🏛️ How policy, not panic, is now the primary market mover💥 Lessons from 2008, 2020, and the new Fed-dominated regime📊 What today's volatility tells us about the future of investing⚠️ Are hedge funds, risk parity, and passive portfolios still viable?Plus, we show how large language models (LLMs) can both help and hallucinate in volatile markets — and why disciplined research still wins.🔗 Follow Our Work:📜 Substack: Mark R. Connors - https://substack.com/@markrconnors📜 Harmonic Insights (Bill Mann & Chris Rosa) - https://www.harmoniqinsights.com/📜 SSRN for research papers - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2035436📜 SmartKarma - Chris Rosa -- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/christopher-rosa/research📜 SmartKarma - Bill Mann -- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/william-mann-88ce6ae0-716e-4511-98ee-65b1af2765ff/researchTwitter - The New Barbarians - https://x.com/thenewbarbpodTwitter - Mark Connors -- https://x.com/riskdimensions🌐 Podcast available on all major platforms!Chapters00:00 Market Turmoil: A Historical Perspective03:33 The Impact of Tariffs on the Economy06:34 Quantitative Analysis and Market Predictions09:57 The Role of AI in Financial Decision Making13:01 Understanding Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior16:09 The Future of Hedge Funds and Investment Strategies18:13 Navigating Volatility: Strategies for Investors21:21 The Importance of Staying Invested24:19 Final Thoughts on Market Trends and Predictions#thenewbarbarians #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #investing #digitalcurrency #crypto #investing #trading