EPISODE · Jun 19, 2026 · 9 MIN
The One Question That Predicts Employee Turnover
from Hiring & Firing with Fexingo: Recruitment, Performance, and Workforce Decisions · host Fexingo
For decades, recruiters have relied on gut feel, reference checks, and structured interviews to gauge how long a new hire will stick around. But a 2025 meta-analysis of 47 studies across industries found that a single question asked during the first screening call predicted 12-month retention with 71% accuracy — beating every other common hiring metric. In this episode of Hiring & Firing with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna break down the question, why it works, and how one logistics company used it to slash first-year turnover from 34% to 11% within two quarters. They also discuss the surprising reason most hiring managers resist asking it, and how you can implement it without overhauling your entire recruitment process. If you've ever hired someone who seemed perfect on paper but was gone within a year, this episode offers a concrete, evidence-based fix. #Retention #TurnoverPrediction #HiringMetrics #EmployeeRetention #RecruitmentStrategy #InterviewTechniques #PredictiveHiring #WorkforcePlanning #TalentAcquisition #HRMetrics #PeopleAnalytics #HiringScience #OneQuestion #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #HiringAndFiring #LucasAndLuna #RecruitmentTips Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
For decades, recruiters have relied on gut feel, reference checks, and structured interviews to gauge how long a new hire will stick around. But a 2025 meta-analysis of 47 studies across industries found that a single question asked during the first screening call predicted 12-month retention with 71% accuracy — beating every other common hiring metric. In this episode of Hiring & Firing with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna break down the question, why it works, and how one logistics company used it to slash first-year turnover from 34% to 11% within two quarters. They also discuss the surprising reason most hiring managers resist asking it, and how you can implement it without overhauling your entire recruitment process. If you've ever hired someone who seemed perfect on paper but was gone within a year, this episode offers a concrete, evidence-based fix. #Retention #TurnoverPrediction #HiringMetrics #EmployeeRetention #RecruitmentStrategy #InterviewTechniques #PredictiveHiring #WorkforcePlanning #TalentAcquisition #HRMetrics #PeopleAnalytics #HiringScience #OneQuestion #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #HiringAndFiring #LucasAndLuna #RecruitmentTips Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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The One Question That Predicts Employee Turnover
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