The Power Law Projects $500K Bitcoin By 2030 — Here's The Math episode artwork

EPISODE · May 26, 2026 · 1H 14M

The Power Law Projects $500K Bitcoin By 2030 — Here's The Math

from The Bitcoin Treasury Podcast · host bitcointreasuries

Matthew Mezinskis has been tracking Bitcoin's power law and global monetary base since 2018. He's back with a chart showing 90% of all Bitcoin price history is higher than today — and another showing exactly when Saylor's 10% interest model hits a mathematical wall. He covers the power law end-of-year range ($85K–$185K), why the four year cycle may finally break in 2025, why nation state adoption fireworks start around 2035, and the biggest long-term risk no one is talking about — institutions centralizing enough BTC to fork regular holders off the network. Follow Matthew: https://twitter.com/@1basemoney | https://porkopolis.io CHAPTERS: 00:00 Cold Open 00:43 Did Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Die? 10:08 BTC Power Law Chart 16:54 Schelling Points In Bitcoin 24:50 Bitcoin Supply Shock 36:05 Bitcoin's Next Cycle Catalyst 44:54 Bitcoin's Role In USD Hegemony 52:37 Michael Saylor's Gambit 1:04:41 Economic Node Centralization Threat 1:13:20 Where To Follow Matthew Mezinskis 1:13:41 Stay Orange 🏛️ Institutional custody & OTC at bit.ly/bitGo 🔒 Secure your Bitcoin with COLDCARD — use code 6BT for 6% off at bit.ly/coinkiteStore 🏦 Borrow against your BTC from 8.49% at bit.ly/archlending 💼 Bitcoin executive recruitment at bit.ly/XCEio ⚡️ Bitcoin yield without leaving custody at bit.ly/hemiXYZ 📊 Track every Bitcoin treasury company at bitcointreasuries.net ⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research. 🟠 Stay Orange.

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The Power Law Projects $500K Bitcoin By 2030 — Here's The Math

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