The Predictive Enterprise and the Future of Agentic Commerce | Kasey Lobaugh, C Futurist Consumer Industry @ Deloitte

In this episode of Retailgentic, Deloitte’s Chief Futurist Kasey Lobaugh joins us to explore the future of agentic commerce. Kasey has spent nearly three decades advising global retailers, brands, and manufacturers. He launched Deloitte Digital, now a multibillion-dollar business, and today leads Deloitte’s Future of the Consumer Industry platform. Known for coining the “great bifurcation” of consumers, Kasey helps executives anticipate disruptive forces and chart strategy amid seismic change.Scot and Kasey unpack the forces reshaping commerce and the role of AI:Six forces shaping the consumer industryThe great bifurcation of value vs. convenience shoppersRise of predictive enterprisesFragmentation and shifting demographicsAgentic AI and digital services growthDeclining Google traffic and new discovery modelsWhy “hopping the cost curve” may be essentialHighlights00:02:00 – Meet Kasey Lobaugh, Deloitte’s Chief Futurist for the consumer industry00:05:00 – The six forces shaping the future: consumer, culture, tech, industry, climate, and politics00:10:30 – Why growth feels constrained: demographics, barriers to entry, and shifting spend00:15:00 – The new bifurcation: asset owners vs. providers of labor00:20:00 – From mass retail to hyper-relevance powered by AI00:23:00 – The predictive enterprise: moving beyond insights to compute-led foresight00:25:30 – Surprising predictive attributes: why buying a cat can forecast retail behavior00:29:30 – Women and wealth: a dramatic shift by 203000:34:00 – The decline of search and rise of GenAI discovery00:40:00 – Retailers in the age of ChatGPT checkout00:46:00 – AI isn’t blockchain or VR: why adoption curves look different00:50:00 – Creativity unlocked: from AI-generated music to new consumer products00:54:00 – Hopping cost curves: why efficiency alone won’t win the AI era00:57:00 – Closing thoughts: racing to abundance, not the bottom🧠 Want to stay ahead in AI commerce? Subscribe and follow along:📰 Subscribe to the free Substack: retailgentic.ai📺 Watch episodes on YouTube: youtube.com/@retailgentic🎧 Listen wherever you get your podcasts: Spotify, Apple, etc.