EPISODE · Aug 19, 2024 · 17 MIN
The REAL Economic Data Was Just Released, It's Not Good
from Eurodollar University · host Jeff Snider
Revisions are a normal part of high frequency data. Constant, near-exclusive downward revisions are not. Rewrites should be more evenly distributed which means these stats are overstating the economy. Plus, the problem is spreading hitting retail sales and IP as well as payrolls. While everyone went nuts over retail sales, the problem with July's number isn't just the likely downward revision.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg Fed’s Goolsbee Says He’s Growing More Concerned About Employmenthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-14/fed-s-goolsbee-says-he-s-growing-more-concerned-about-employmentBloomberg Manufacturers Axe Products as a Factory Slowdown Lingershttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-16/rockwell-rok-xylem-xyl-axe-products-as-factory-slowdown-deepenshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
What this episode covers
Revisions are a normal part of high frequency data. Constant, near-exclusive downward revisions are not. Rewrites should be more evenly distributed which means these stats are overstating the economy. Plus, the problem is spreading hitting retail sales and IP as well as payrolls. While everyone went nuts over retail sales, the problem with July's number isn't just the likely downward revision.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg Fed’s Goolsbee Says He’s Growing More Concerned About Employmenthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-14/fed-s-goolsbee-says-he-s-growing-more-concerned-about-employmentBloomberg Manufacturers Axe Products as a Factory Slowdown Lingershttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-16/rockwell-rok-xylem-xyl-axe-products-as-factory-slowdown-deepenshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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The REAL Economic Data Was Just Released, It's Not Good
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