EPISODE · Jun 17, 2026 · 8 MIN
The Recession Signal Hidden in Rising Job Openings
from Recession Watch with Fexingo: Economic Cycles, Indicators, and What Slowdowns Mean · host Fexingo
Episode 57 of Recession Watch with Fexingo examines an unusual recession indicator: rising job openings. With the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million openings in April 2026, up from 6.9 million in March, Lucas and Luna explore why a tight labor market can actually precede a downturn. They discuss the 'labor market churn' phenomenon from past cycles, the role of energy cost shocks from the Iran conflict, and how the Fed's response creates a lag that blinds forecasters. Using specific historical parallels, they argue that the market's current rally (S&P 500 at 7,511) may be ignoring this structural risk. A must-listen for anyone watching the yield curve inversion and unemployment divergence. #RecessionSignal #LaborMarket #JOLTS #JobOpenings #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #RecessionWatch #FederalReserve #YieldCurve #Inflation #EnergyCosts #IranConflict #SP500 #Unemployment #HiringSlowdown #EconomicIndicators #LaborChurn Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
Episode 57 of Recession Watch with Fexingo examines an unusual recession indicator: rising job openings. With the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million openings in April 2026, up from 6.9 million in March, Lucas and Luna explore why a tight labor market can actually precede a downturn. They discuss the 'labor market churn' phenomenon from past cycles, the role of energy cost shocks from the Iran conflict, and how the Fed's response creates a lag that blinds forecasters. Using specific historical parallels, they argue that the market's current rally (S&P 500 at 7,511) may be ignoring this structural risk. A must-listen for anyone watching the yield curve inversion and unemployment divergence. #RecessionSignal #LaborMarket #JOLTS #JobOpenings #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #RecessionWatch #FederalReserve #YieldCurve #Inflation #EnergyCosts #IranConflict #SP500 #Unemployment #HiringSlowdown #EconomicIndicators #LaborChurn Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
NOW PLAYING
The Recession Signal Hidden in Rising Job Openings
No transcript for this episode yet
Similar Episodes
Mar 26, 2026 ·1m
Mar 19, 2026 ·34m
Feb 18, 2026 ·11m
Feb 11, 2026 ·45m