EPISODE · Jun 17, 2026 · 8 MIN
The Recession Signal Hidden in Rising Job Openings
from Recession Watch with Fexingo: Economic Cycles, Indicators, and What Slowdowns Mean · host Fexingo
Episode 57 of Recession Watch with Fexingo examines an unusual recession indicator: rising job openings. With the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million openings in April 2026, up from 6.9 million in March, Lucas and Luna explore why a tight labor market can actually precede a downturn. They discuss the 'labor market churn' phenomenon from past cycles, the role of energy cost shocks from the Iran conflict, and how the Fed's response creates a lag that blinds forecasters. Using specific historical parallels, they argue that the market's current rally (S&P 500 at 7,511) may be ignoring this structural risk. A must-listen for anyone watching the yield curve inversion and unemployment divergence. #RecessionSignal #LaborMarket #JOLTS #JobOpenings #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #RecessionWatch #FederalReserve #YieldCurve #Inflation #EnergyCosts #IranConflict #SP500 #Unemployment #HiringSlowdown #EconomicIndicators #LaborChurn Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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The Recession Signal Hidden in Rising Job Openings
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