The secret to finding stocks you can hold for 20+ years episode artwork

EPISODE · Sep 13, 2024 · 48 MIN

The secret to finding stocks you can hold for 20+ years

from The Rules of Investing · host Livewire Markets

While Warren Buffett's favourite holding time may be forever, the average holding period for a typical investor is now just 5.5 months. In a world where news, analysis and investment ideas are readily available at our fingertips, investors have quickly forgotten the benefits of long-term compounding and instead are focused on the next great stock, driven likely by their fear of missing out.   We've all succumbed to it, there's no point denying it. How many of us jumped on the buy-now-pay-later trend, the lithium trend, the uranium trend, and now, the AI trend, as stocks soared to stratospheric heights? How many of us have attempted to hold on for dear life (HODL) as some of these companies crashed back to Earth?   So, how can you identify the companies that continue to win over the long term? And by long term, I don't mean five-plus years, but 20.   In this episode of The Rules of Investing, Janus Henderson's Josh Cummings outlines what makes a winning long-term stock - a process that has helped the team top the league tables for their consistent outperformance over the last five and 10 years - and provides a few examples.We also take a deep dive into artificial intelligence - and why Cummings believes AI will become even larger, more pervasive, and more impactful on our lives than we could ever conceive of today.   https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/the-secret-to-finding-stocks-you-can-hold-for-20-years   Timecodes 0:00 - Intro 2:16 - The secret to consistent long-term outperformance 3:30 - What the team got right and wrong over the last 12 months 4:38 - The impact of AI on mega-cap tech companies 7:19 - Is there too much "faith" in the AI theme? 9:48 - Is this the death of value investing? 11:58 - What it's like on the ground in the US right now 15:14 - Impact of cumulative inflation on businesses 18:13 - Nvidia's antitrust charges 20:42 - Factors that can help investors identify consistent winners 22:58 - Celebrity CEOs and red flags 25:20 - Should you really HODL? 26:58 - Smaller companies employing disruptive innovation 31:13 - Lessons from the team's meeting with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 33:49 - Innovation is a scale game - why the big are only going to get bigger 35:01 - What could go wrong with AI (i.e. are we in for an iRobot scenario) 40:22 - Two things investors are getting wrong today 42:36 - Why you should invest in what you know (and trust your gut) 46:45 - One stock Josh Cummings would own if the market closed for 5 years

While Warren Buffett's favourite holding time may be forever, the average holding period for a typical investor is now just 5.5 months. In a world where news, analysis and investment ideas are readily available at our fingertips, investors have quickly forgotten the benefits of long-term compounding and instead are focused on the next great stock, driven likely by their fear of missing out.   We've all succumbed to it, there's no point denying it. How many of us jumped on the buy-now-pay-later trend, the lithium trend, the uranium trend, and now, the AI trend, as stocks soared to stratospheric heights? How many of us have attempted to hold on for dear life (HODL) as some of these companies crashed back to Earth?   So, how can you identify the companies that continue to win over the long term? And by long term, I don't mean five-plus years, but 20.   In this episode of The Rules of Investing, Janus Henderson's Josh Cummings outlines what makes a winning long-term stock - a process that has helped the team top the league tables for their consistent outperformance over the last five and 10 years - and provides a few examples.We also take a deep dive into artificial intelligence - and why Cummings believes AI will become even larger, more pervasive, and more impactful on our lives than we could ever conceive of today.   https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/the-secret-to-finding-stocks-you-can-hold-for-20-years   Timecodes0:00 - Intro2:16 - The secret to consistent long-term outperformance3:30 - What the team got right and wrong over the last 12 months4:38 - The impact of AI on mega-cap tech companies7:19 - Is there too much "faith" in the AI theme?9:48 - Is this the death of value investing?11:58 - What it's like on the ground in the US right now15:14 - Impact of cumulative inflation on businesses18:13 - Nvidia's antitrust charges20:42 - Factors that can help investors identify consistent winners22:58 - Celebrity CEOs and red flags25:20 - Should you really HODL?26:58 - Smaller companies employing disruptive innovation31:13 - Lessons from the team's meeting with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman33:49 - Innovation is a scale game - why the big are only going to get bigger35:01 - What could go wrong with AI (i.e. are we in for an iRobot scenario)40:22 - Two things investors are getting wrong today42:36 - Why you should invest in what you know (and trust your gut)46:45 - One stock Josh Cummings would own if the market closed for 5 years

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The secret to finding stocks you can hold for 20+ years

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This episode was published on September 13, 2024.

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While Warren Buffett's favourite holding time may be forever, the average holding period for a typical investor is now just 5.5 months. In a world where news, analysis and investment ideas are readily available at our fingertips, investors...

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