The Small Business Recession Signal the Data Is Missing

Lucas and Luna explore a blind spot in recession forecasting: small business cash flow. While headline indicators like GDP growth and unemployment look solid, data from payment processors and invoice platforms tells a different story. They discuss why small firms are the canary in the coalmine, how late payments are piling up even as big company earnings hold up, and why the Fed's focus on big-ticket inflation might miss the real stress building in Main Street America. Grounded in recent JOLTS data showing job openings dipping below 7 million and a new NFIB survey on owner optimism, this episode offers a fresh lens on the disconnect between macro data and micro reality. #SmallBusiness #RecessionIndicators #CashFlow #MainStreet #NFIB #JOLTS #LaborMarket #EconomicData #FedPolicy #Inflation #ConsumerSentiment #BusinessOptimism #LatePayments #EconomicCycles #Podcast #RecessionWatch #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo