“The Three AI Pills” by Zvi

Sincere disagreements about AI are usually disagreements about future AI capabilities. There are roughly four positions people take. Two are reasonable. Two are not. I distinguish these via the Three AI Pills. You can take zero, one, two or three. Three Pills The three pills are, roughly, taking each of the following three things seriously: AI pilled. AI exists and can do the things it can already do. AGI pilled. AI will be able to do a lot more of the things. ASI pilled. AI will be able to do approximately all the things better than you, within our natural lifetimes. I am ASI pilled. A large percentage of employees of the frontier labs are ASI pilled. The labs themselves are ASI pilled. The Unpill People I see unpilled people. Where do I see them? Everywhere. The majority of people have not taken the first pill. Most people have no idea what frontier AIs can do for them. They are unaware of coding agents. They have used only ChatGPT, for harmless trifles, and they hold years old memories of its failings. They mock any failure [...] ---Outline:(00:29) Three Pills(01:09) The Unpill People(02:18) The AI Pill(04:28) Stuck At The First Pill(05:32) The AGI Pill(07:06) The Need To Be Prepared(08:57) The ASI Pill(10:33) And Then Nothing Much Changes For You(12:38) Intelligence Denialism(14:01) Superintelligence Versus Omniscience and Omnipotence(16:53) Persuasion Persuasion (A Worked Example)(21:42) Things AI Could Probably Do But Are Not Required For Being Pilled(24:17) Life Comes At You Increasingly Fast(25:41) Is It Reasonable To Not Be AGI Pilled?(26:06) Is It Reasonable To Only Be AGI Pilled? --- First published: August 5th, 2026 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fcYrqEw8kbLMa7orw/the-three-ai-pills --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.