Stanford's even the Bears presented by Allstate get protected from mayhem this year when you switch and save with Allstate The underdog is how to Stay for Steve and the bear Ah, yes a home team getting points. What's better than that? Welcome in week four. Stanford's even the bear podcast bear good morning.
How are we doing? Good. Good morning. No, we're doing good and looking at the Sleep for this week seems like the most difficult week of the season and let me get one thing out of the way as well before we Just I want to address one thing before we get going here Because obviously there's a lot of people out there who are extremely disappointed and it seems to be my fault That we're not going to Kansas this week for all day.
I think anybody who like is great my timeline over the last couple of weeks I could probably figure out that Kansas is where I wanted to go this weekend And I think any kind of always said that anytime we can take the show to anywhere that we've never been or haven't been in a while That's always created our best shows and look you got to go three and oh do versus three and oh Kansas We want you to get the opportunity to potentially do that again So all I can do is just put a list together and make suggestion as to saying here's where I think we should go and my suggestion was Overwritten overruled by people who have much more of a say and things than me. So we're gonna go to not so only Shall be great my disappointed. We're not in Lawrence sure but it is what it is Won't be the last time you've been overruled and it's not the first time so they're just I was all in favor of that moving to I was gonna boo you but I understand it is not your call And for that was to a balance would have been a great spot to like that would have my number two choice. Yes again We know there very good Let's start We're doing this Thursday morning.
I keep staring at I didn't put in the comments I didn't think we put Thursday games in but tonight real quick Virginia text the only side you could play right? Yes, absolutely. I don't I don't fully trust their offense So I don't know if I can get there especially as a team that appears to have it in office Anyways, what's reaching out to stop many people now? Mm-hmm At least you know that they can score points are but but I agree tonight and that game Virginia Tech would be the only side that I think you could play And just my mind involved in this West Virginia laying a short number on the road is always a dangerous thing I don't care What the year is if you have that team involved in that guy the number go ahead and do it I am not going to do it I will say a line that reeks tonight and I'm staying away if I was gonna play it would be Georgia State always three Catching two at home against Coastal Carolina now the teams that these guys have both played I think are totally different in in in in comparing them when you look at Georgia State, you know starts a year in Columbia against South Carolina gets a couple of punts blocked They were in that game watching that tape back They lose the Carolina 35 28 hope you had seven and a half there then they go out and probably the craziest score of all last week Was absolutely losing the Charlotte who was just can take it to the woods shed and every game they played So I thought it was it was pretty telling and that's a game I'm staying away from tonight I think Georgia State wins the game, but I'm not doubting Chad well in McCall I've talked about how much I love McCall on this podcast, you know 12 point win Which was ugly early on against Buffalo last week four point winning against Gardner web and then they get that win against army And week one maybe they're still feeling those lumps from the army game Which was a real real physical game, but that's that's a scary line and I would have to side with the Panthers If I were to take a side of that one yeah, I would do I actually thought about putting Georgia State in the column But but again, you got to wonder where they're they're in their minds are but they might actually might be in a good spot You'll lose a game last week that you probably should have won against an opponent You probably should have been and now you get a chance to play one of the best teams in your league back Remember a couple of years ago.
I do that 2020 run. I love Georgia State at home as an underdog against Coastal Carolina And it was 51 nothing because it went out on beat So it's the first this is the first meeting in Atlanta since then I think the the public view most people view coastal as the side is still familiar With the call and shadow and that's what they know and they kind of Looking to what Georgia State has done this year and playing a couple of power five teams in addition to the loss to Charlotte Like I don't know it feels like Georgia State is the right side But by game time I might might might be I might be holding a Georgia State ticket in my hand Okay, interesting line tomorrow night as Virginia's now kitchen nine in the dome against Syracuse I'm I'm on ESPN calm and I am seeing Syracuse still not ranked. I don't like these one lost teams ranked this early No, my opinion's there. I know you don't it's not that's not right nine and a half I see it on can't can't it's not right?
Oh well in state or The stat about was who first three no team at the top 20 roadwind that hasn't been ranked Yeah, they got the chance to we will get to those. There's no talk for bias, right? No, exactly We got we got we gotta keep Miami ranked with those wins over those wins over Southern Miss and The no touching out outing last week in calls station got gotta get them at 25 I keep hitting the ranking to and we got to keep them. Mm-hmm.
They didn't go on the road and get a win without their That's true top quarterback. I think that's gonna be heard from down the road here I know I know we I went back and watch a Tennessee film will get to when we talk Tennessee But I think I still think that has a lot of potential to be a thorn in the side with the capability of the other teams and having big seasons in the ACC, but the reason I'm not taking Virginia plus the points is I do think the world of an I the old Virginia court office coordinator who's got Syracuse now And I think he's gonna have a plan to slice and dice that Virginia defense when I go back and I turned on Virginia last week It's old Dominion I don't it just feels like they're going through the motions and then they go down and then Armstrong gets the ball goes right down The field sets them up for a field goal and they gotta walk off field goal gets old Dominion So I think the Virginia offense has been one of the major disappointments when you look at the ACC this year And I don't like the mix of them going to the dome against the Syracuse offense And you see what Syracuse did against Purdue's defense and then you see what Syracuse did against Louisville That's it. That's a scary spot and it's a lot of points And that's why I'm laying I thought it was gonna be around touchdown I think it would have been if Syracuse didn't pull out that game last week in incredible fashion So that game I'll be watching for sure, but that's that's a stay away from me with Virginia Syracuse Yeah, it would be Virginia or past for me in this game More than a touchdown just do you wonder? You wonder about sir, you know, obviously cool game that they probably shouldn't have won last week But they didn't win the game they come back and they got the win that's a sign of it a little bit improving maturing team That's that's confident with what an I has done for Schrader and Tucker in the running game and kind of defense which he's been he's been okay I mean they win this game and they're gonna be undefeated hosting I think it's a state in a couple weeks So it's a big opportunity for them.
This feels a little rich though. It could be a spot where Against their their former coordinator there arms strong and that often says show up a little bit But it's just fascinating how he has not been the same guy that that he's been the previous couple of years this year I don't know if it's a System thing with what Tony Elliott trying to run or not, but it's clear there's something going on there Yeah, the offensive line loss of guys and you see the kid now playing for SC rotating I think it's he's a left tackle, but it's it's a weird dynamic And I'm I expect Virginia to play a lot better than they've looked but I don't think it's enough I think Syracuse is legit and they got a chance, you know, looking at the schedule moving ahead before we get into set the other games I I don't want to I want to take care of force But I can't lay 24 when the over-under's 46 and a half Nevada is in the conversation Control the ball just what just a long five long five long touchdown drivers and 35 nothing That's the problems how fast are they gonna get to the number like that's got to be 24 nothing at the half And if it's not and if Nevada has any hand the board with a flute play You're up against it because now you know our air force is gonna have a lead and we're gonna more want to sit on it So it could be a maybe a first half of air force Let's get to our picks that we submitted in the column on the trucks actually Yes, man calm and then we'll get into the slate because there's plenty of games that might I didn't pull the trigger on the Other games I wanted and of course they all won so my record on the column is not great. That's how it goes We did yeah exactly So, you know the over in the Tennessee game the over in Ohio State game was over at halftime Kansas came through all that good stuff. So we gave you those at the end I'll do that same thing at the end too, but we already have our picks submitted free at span calm we get those in Wednesday night.
I got mine in late. I would say early early Thursday morning, but I'll go first you mentioned it It's Kansas. It's Duke. I can't get off the answers here I know it's probably the wrong side and all the money's coming in on Kansas and how impressive they've been but I again I look at the teams they've played bear and the quality of opponents I think especially seeing what Northwestern's look like I don't know what to do actually was thinking about taking them this week Because it's I think it's a do or die they have to win this game against my own.
I think my annual high was quarterback is out But that's a conversation for later But I just Duke all the credits to them. They're already over there when total I believe and they have been impressive quarterback I had no idea what to expect from because I had never seen either guy and you put the temple game on week one They look great, but this is about Kansas This is a spot where light bulb has a chance to block out all the noise that offense is versatile I know Daniels gets all the credit He's number one in qbr and college football quarterbacks But I just think this team is a machine on offense They're the highest ranked team in the country And last week they got all 14 nothing in a blink and it's they got to leave in in minutes I know there was a weather delay in there But they I just feel like the versatility that offense is something that Duke hasn't seen and I'm not sure the right of For I do believe in elk. Oh, he's he's proven to jump in out the gate here and having to see him ready for the start of season But it's down to seven now. I'll take Kansas and lay a seven Yeah, I Don't really have a feeling on the Kansas would be the side that I would play in the game I really I I'm gonna say away just just in case That the money the money is right there But I usually like hopping on these favorites where you see such a move like that around the week is yet It's some point I think Duke is going to have a harder road moving ahead once they start playing some more difficult teams and they have so far So I would play Kansas if I did have to play the game I saw you in the mr.
Fortenborough on up besides here. Yeah, you're curious to see what happens Another game that I'm on this week and I know a lot of people probably will be crazy It's a crazy for laying this type of number with total solo I like I might as a seven and a half against Rutgers I laid the big number last week and I was refreshing my score stream way way too late into the evening after the 11 delays Because I would mine on early on I would contest it was like I was like I just know He did I need Iowa to cover and have this game be complete. It's the game They did finish the game and they did score to cover which was great But I think people still like Storyline that person that pops into people's head is how bad I was all this is yeah Well, that might be true there, but they did get a couple of pieces back last week and it did help them some I think did the best unit on the field is not and workers offenses No, it's not a great shit. You watch that record step.
Okay last week and I mean that was a Just awful to put yourself through and now you're asking that offense to score on Iowa But like this could be like twenty to seven or something like that and could be being under and be a cover for Iowa But I think records can have a ton of trouble scoring points against Iowa I like I like the Hawkeyes a lot of people grabbing the points north of a touchdown which might end up being correct But yeah, I like I want to stop it's a really interesting game to me I know people are gonna look at the numbers and be like how can you watch that because it's got to happen for Iowa? Whether it's something clicking or taking more shots downfield or guys just making plays and executing on third downs The didn't that's what's the problem here at the defense has been incredible And that's what I thought they were gonna be before the season. They're always good But I thought this group with 31 in the middle like he's a difference maker and he's been fantastic So watching Rutgers last week data. There's no plan Offensively, you know, they're going wildcat I want to say they stopped temple on three fourth downs two of them in plus territory one of them before the half I think they lost yardage and missed a field goal before the half they get a defensive touchdown So it's it's a weird spot.
I feel like Chianos got something up his sleeve here to to let out I don't know what that is because I've watched the team play multiple times now But it is a weird number and it does stream taken I do believe 34 and a half so low as total since 2015 Even though I saw last year I believe Iowa Wisconsin was 35 and that ended up being a 27 7 final if my math is correct on that one new from this press oh blend wellness into your coffee routine with a coffee plus range infused with functional benefits Choose a coffee love with added B vitamins like coffee plus B12 to help support immune function and coffee plus B6 to keep your day Moving for go with the flow and choose ginseng delight our new double espresso with ginseng extract whatever lies ahead Don't change your morning. Let your morning change you discover coffee plus on espresso calm When you're a mid-sized business you need every competitive advantage you can get like an AI solution that works for you Not against you SAP grow is built with AI embedded at its core working across every system and it's ready to go from day one So you can hit the ground running bring it with SAP grow AI cloud ERP for any size business All right other pick I have It's a weird game every year. It's it's Arkansas and it's an M And I know Arkansas is lasting the country and past defense I just don't think a and M is capable of taking advantage of it with how bad they've looked offensively They they got the win last week credit to him ugly They got it done But when I look on the other side I think Arkansas has been as oppressive because I didn't know what to think you lose a guy like treeline and in the overturn They've had but KJ has been awesome and rocket Sanders got a gear that not a lot of guys have And I still think if if a number were to take advantage of the insufficiencies of the Arkansas past defense I think Arkansas has the goods to outscore them And when I say about I just remember like Christian Kirk having a monster game in this game being a high-scoring game When he was there and then last year it was only 20 to 10 You know weird shades of red in that building all over the place with these two teams colors But I I'm what I could see Arkansas being a pick them or maybe even one point favorite the way the money swayed Like this in North Carolina We'll talk about what their gaming has another name but right now I think I'll take the points with Arkansas catch it too I Try to get the best way to say this I agree with what you are saying with Arkansas being a very attractive underdog Mm-hmm, but I was surprised extremely surprised that they even were an underdog Like after you've seen that AM off and it's up close in person last week with back shots and still throwing our plants up there and Their defense is legit and really good But at the same time why are they favoring this game? I think Arkansas is going to be the trendiest of trendiest underdogs this week See the numbers come down to one and a half or so I might be sitting here in a position come Saturday Where I'm gonna wait and see if this number maybe drops to a pick them or maybe even flip stood Arkansas being favored I think I think A&M's the right side here.
I hate to I hate to differ with you The number the number is screaming A&M here, okay, very it's exactly what I thought I just watching stuff I can't take I should say I have to take Arkansas in this spot. Other column pick for you How about the Mexico State minus four and a half? Yes, why good I can get to my notes Perfect you jump in whenever you want me. Obviously, it's the only just look in game of the week on paper No doubt with these two teams and it's we'll have to find it somewhere on the dish on yes on Saturday afternoon from life from Muscruces But I think it's a good spot for in Mexico State I mean they've been blown out by Minnesota in Wisconsin and clearly they were done in by all the turnovers that they had against Nevada But what Hawaii they haven't been competitive at all against FBS teams and they were even just really not impressive beaten Do came last week.
I mean you got a wonder to me always early in the year But two weeks ago you're a Michigan fly there all the way back then you're in there But all the way back again. I don't know I think that stuff that I don't think Hawaii is very good at all Not like the next of the state is but I would think Jerry kill can figure out something to be Hawaii by more than four and a half What's so true? I am not one of those that jumps early in the week at a game But I grabbed New Mexico State it was two and a half on Monday. I think yeah Monday was two and a half I got and Just some of the numbers David Hale posted again this morning as he always does just great stuff If you don't read David on ESPN economy just has so much interesting stuff these two quarterbacks combined for one touchdown pass and 15 Interceptions this year Hawaii Hawaii's offense Okay, Hawaii's offense averages 15 points per game and that's where the win over Duquesne last week on the island, New Mexico State You mentioned Wisconsin, Minnesota.
I think these words seven last week shout out against Minnesota They're averaging eight points per game. The line is now four and a half to Mexico State 53 and a half I was also looking at that on there. So I am I'm on there It's a PM Eastern Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces find it where you can I will be have that On the phone somewhere watching I have to see a couple snaps of that game half to it has got all the makings of Something it's so ugly. It's beautiful to me Dialed into what's going on it After last week I feel very un-American in my next election and that's James Madison Appalachian State Don't let them hear you say that they I got drilled on on social media all week But after they obviously the darling I still think they got to be kicking themselves for that Carolina game But when you look at it and what they bring to the table There is Sal and both sides of line of scrimmage as there is is a team in the Sunbell, but I look at the opportunity of James Madison here They've been worthy of taking this step to this kind of program for years now You think about teams that have made this jump and when they have the right guy when they do it They just keep going forward I think a coastal with Chadwell and Signeti has just done a good job of building this roster They haven't played really anybody so I think they're gonna be fresh and I just I think they have the goods to hang around in this game I don't expect a high scoring game I just think James Madison with a mindset coming in the ultimate underdog against a team that you can't put high enough on a pedestal Right now and that's your benchmark like how are we gonna do against this team that's been the talk of the country in our league?
Let alone how do we match up? I'll take James Madison plus the seven Yeah, I the question that I would be asking myself is I mean if you're up I should say like how do you the last couple of weeks the the emotion and the energy that you have spent? The win in a Kyle field and then you're dead in the water and you come back like we'll game days there It's the biggest day in school history in terms of the scene and and you get that type of win like that at some point I mean how much is left in the tank? It's a tricky spot for them.
It would be it would be James Madison or pass for me and I alluded to it in passing in a joke But like I don't know how Wisconsin keeps close with the Iowa State I really don't I'm away in the 18. Okay, I have a ton of respect for Jimmy Leonard and that defense But I just don't see how their offense is going to keep up in this game With with Ohio State and So many different ways to score even if Henderson's that 100% my Williams is fine receivers are now back I don't trust ground Mertz against the legitimate power five team To generate my 12th offense. I'm gonna lay it here with the book guys The one thing I was thinking about in this game And it could be totally wrong after seeing Ohio State last week Is if you get a juice number with Wisconsin in the first half Because if they do have something where they you know get a turnover or something and they can bleed clock That's that's the only background because you don't have a prayer if this thing is two three scores at halftime You you got no chance. I don't think so that that's the one thing I was thinking about with that game Uh, my other pick I hate it, but I had to put it in there It has a lot to do with last week, but it's Texas Tech and at home catching six and a half against Texas I know Texas is getting more healthy Texas Tech goes on the road out gains n c state for turnovers Obviously if you turn the ball over for four times you cannot expect to win let alone no cover So I think Texas Tech is more buttoned up on offense.
I think it's a big spot for kiddley against Texas column plays I thought utsa had a really good game plan and went about it the right way They just don't have the big play capabilities and you saw that with p-shot I mean good god when he gets in the o it's like he's just I don't say gear, but like he's just in his Overdrive gear as soon as he gets it just a fantastic player and I look at Texas Tech and not saying they're gonna win I just think they they thrive off that crowd. I've been there for this game It's a different vibe and I just feel like Texas Tech has the goods to keep it close. I'll take that set close points Oh, always three out first actually, right? Yes.
I like that. It's a lot in this game. Oh, it's well Yeah, okay You hit on a plane a lot of is completely different animal than Texas Tech playing on the road Give Texas though a ton of credit last week. That was a gut a gunny win Against utsa, but now your road favorite and a spot that you've trouble before text defense is actually played pretty well this year Is well With Smith at quarterback receiving beat the Houston there.
I don't know. I think I think six and a half is too many It wouldn't surprise me either if the rate rate is one outright Speaking of too many you had the guts to put it in there. I did it. I have it circled four times here The boys from the cow Going to Lexington.
Yep, your thoughts. Look ahead spot for Kentucky's I like Total look ahead spot for Kentucky and northern Illinois. I think it's capable of scoring some boys So if you're telling me that northern Illinois can score 14 Which I think they probably can with Lombardi And some in the back that they have you're laying almost four touchdowns and you can score 14 if you're in northern Illinois I think you're in and there's no further. They're not gonna go into him and win the game but Well, I think it's hard to ask Kentucky to win this game by more than 26 points Yeah, and you go back you think northern Illinois would be better on defense give it, you know, 20 up 20 14 I think it was against banding in the third quarter.
Yep, and end up losing giving up 38 They hung with Tulsa, but gave up 38 to Tulsa So that's the one that ended up scare me still have a day to put it in I might join you with that maybe we have two matches That's a scary thought. I don't know if you want me on to the same side of two-year picks That's what I have in there. I have four in the column right now. Do you have anything else?
Do you have a hold your nose that you? Absolutely Let me guess oh I got another I got another hold you nose absolutely The University of Connecticut 39 at NC State. Oh, they're terrible. Don't get me wrong Yeah, they are absolutely awful But at the same time all NC State has heard about all off-season Cleansing Cleansing Cleansing Cleansing Cleansing Cleansing.
What do they have next week Cleansing? This is a this is a clear Stock for me where you're gonna see NC State's artists play Half maybe two and a half quarters get the bench and don't risk anybody of note getting hurt next week Maybe we can get a touchdown from ucon and 45 seven would be a winner. Okay Like it by the way, you see you see you see he's at the five and a half Wow I know some people that will like you Oregon State even more now getting less points, but that's just me Uh, that is Let's just get it. You mentioned it when I watch these teams play back It's pretty eye-opening how crisp that USC offense has been and it sucked.
It sucked to see Did I talk about suck to see the USC offense? No, no, no, no to see hanger get hurt in the half like I hope It was terrible because because we we had just left I guess that would have been college station Right before half time and then by the time I got my Wi-Fi back or whatever I just I see all the tweets about hanger getting hurt and I'm like well, there's no state tickets are dead But I hope I hope he is okay because that that's the type of injury that can kind of linger for a while Yeah, and I think they have a buy this week and then they go to red blood at the red But you got next week so I think that's a good two weeks off for mr Hanger But when I think about sc and how they're able to spread you out and then Caleb just he's just gotten watching back like pre-snap He gets them in the right play every single time he missed two touchdown throws on reads that I don't know if he just wanted to get the first down or he just had something predetermined in his mind Going back and watch that first drive if you see it He missed one tomorrow and he missed one to the tight end But I think Oregon State has the team speed you need to hang around and give sc fits You've pointed out all all season sc plus 10 now in the turnovers offense hasn't turned it over once I think that's gonna change I just being being being a razor stadium It's gonna be under construction the place is gonna be Okay Yeah, that's fall Whether whether it's not gonna be a factor which I think helps us I think and we were asked yesterday on daily wager who we were rather take given the given the points on the road in the pack 12 Oregon Or sc we both said sc and that's just due to the fact of whom I get that quarterback for both those teams Oregon sc I will take Caleb Williams over bow nicks on the road in any circumstance. I don't think that you have to be a genius to figure that one out So I need to trick you spot for sc although I think a lot of people do and or like I said the team speed if you haven't seen them They they have it talking a couple guys under staff. They got a couple of 10 500 guys So if they get it in space look out and that's what you need I you're gonna need to be able to you know hang with that and I thought Fresno State I never gonna get there But I thought that over was definitely gonna come in if hanger state healthy So a huge spot for chance Nolan and a real real big spot for ses defense because now you've got three games on tape You know where you could attack them.
I think Oregon State has the goods there Five and a half to complete I thought it was gonna go the other way I thought it was gonna get to seven seven and a half with people's love for Caleb and Lincoln Riley So that that that surprises me and I think that tells you how much money is coming in there So it's a stay away from me, but I'll definitely be watching this game It's my probably my favorite game of the weekend if it's not Oregon Wazoo Yes I think the start is obviously key. I mean ses He has just come out and blitz people on the first that 18 drives 12 touchdowns in the first half So they come out and score early does Oregon State have the ability to stick with that running game stick with tight ends Can they stay in touch to be able to not start pressing so Really looking forward to watching that one. That's a separate afternoon. Absolutely New from this press.
Oh blend wellness into your coffee routine with a coffee plus range infused with functional benefits Choose a coffee you love with added B vitamins like coffee plus B12 to help support immune function And coffee plus B6 to keep your day moving or go with the flow and choose ginseng delight Our new double espresso with ginseng extract whatever lies ahead don't change your morning Let your morning change you discover coffee plus on espresso calm Okay, when I sell my business, I want the best tax investment advice I want to help my kids and I want to get back to the community Ooh, then it's the vacation of a lifetime I wonder if my out of office has a forever setter An IG private wealth advisor creates the clarity you need with plans that harmonize your business Your family and your dreams get financial advice that puts you at the center find your advisor at id private wealth calm Bear before we move on there's one quick thing I want to mention ESPN and partnership with Peyton Manning's old my productions presents against all odds with cousin sal Jimmy Kimmel live personality cousin sal and his three childhood friends Loving Lee known as the degenerate trifecta breakdown the biggest gambling events of the week in their top picks for the games That's against all odds with cousin sal listen where you are listening to this podcast Alright, let's start early saturday because there's a game in there that I think we're gonna learn something about at the michigan They're laying 17 to maryland 64 and a half is a number I had that circle, but not gonna do it Marlton maryland will test that defense. Yes absolutely Who knows if WLB is one of the michigan they will absolutely get there And if if Ohio State's gonna be laying 18 and a half that first half of Ohio State should be around 11 right So that's how I was thinking marymichigan first half and probably looking at nine I don't think it'll be 10 But when I was thinking about michigan first half because I know they're gonna have a game plan SMU we'll talk to them with TCU. I watched SMU in maryland SMU's office 96 plays 41st downs up and down the field and turnovers ended up being the fact I don't think michigan is gonna turn the ball over and I think they're gonna run the ball that much more I was I was thinking about michigan first half, but your thoughts. I think it's a big step in step in uh Lock here for maryland to prove they have they've been awful against michigan state pence state, Ohio state michigan and Pour them all those teams are in their division And I don't get lost here where it was that not a people in Maryland for real and then I just yeah went sideways really quickly So you're right they they need a good performance there to show that they're more than just this okay Put up a bunch of points against them inferior defenses and hope you get to six and six type of deal Can they go there and win?
I don't think they can but uh hanging around yeah would be a good would be a good a good result I think for maryland. I'm sure they don't believe that I think they can go in there anyway, but I think if you get military They're probably they'll be like, you know, we go in there and compete maybe we fight 10 Okay, that's that's always will number one rock jared for maryland get your eyes on him wide receiver. He's an NFL player He's phenomenal. Uh, I expect him to have a big day So that's what I was thinking in that game.
I do want to see michigan's defense against the speed of maryland's offense Lane seven on the road at winston's sale against wake forest 13 in a row for dabbo That over under 56. I can't get last year's game out of my mind knowing that that was the time to get clemson And wake forest just couldn't do it whether it was the offensive line getting blown up. I believe uh, I haven't written down there yet wake forest came in that game averaging 44 points a game 500 yards of offense They ended up only running the ball for 36 yards against that clemson d and that's the issue is clemson Can bring those four guys every time and that totally messes up that that long mesh that harpman likes to do with the running back So he could read the linebackers I think clumps could drop guys and that makes him hold on to the ball more and I just hate the match up for wake 13 in a row Uh for dabbo against wake. I have to lean clemson in this game.
Uh, we saw about the office was last year and this game last year Was the most points clumps in scoring against the power five defense they scored 48 they won the game 48 27 So I lean clumps. I don't love it again. They got it's he stayed next week But this is enough for dabbo to get his team's attention going on the road early noon game I expect clemson to come out and run the football. I think they had two 100 yards rushes against wake last year So that's why i lean clemson in this game I can't I get it but I can't get there just yet with lumps I understand people are people are all the points at the scene There's like the final scores And you're not realizing that the two sbs teams they played this year too bad at the s team By the way, georgia tech and losing an attack first half your scores for retouchions and one came on a five-yard drive after a block plant Whether it's the offensive line whether it's dej there's something still early in games when they're still trying to figure things out That that's problematic Are they going to play someone eventually who can capitalize on that when they face a team that's got a good defense and and offense That's more than garbage like way for us.
It's good Like are they going to be able to get some things going this week against clemson and clearly the clmson defensive line is Had their way with wake forest defense. I was rather last couple of years We'll see if we can get off to a good start home and hang around. I wouldn't play this one I just I get it. I get what people see clemson and think that they might be on the improve now and getting back to the ways that they've been But I'm still they were stuck.
I would still be holding them. I wouldn't be bullish or bear It's like I don't wait and see what happens by the way you see the early weather next week for Nancy state clenson game hurricane probably dropping the storm potentially moving through Either like wait a day before maybe or day of the game be interesting. Oh, see what happens Just does very interesting. What do you think that numbers gonna be clmson nancy state assuming both win this week?
Six a half Really? I don't think it's high at all. I was thinking eight I think it's less than a touchdown. Okay Good to know I can't wait for that game as long as they take care of us this year But that's I'm with you.
I see I just I feel like lumps has found a left tackle on the offensive line I think that kids the real deal and I think the issue I have is just clump like You mentioned it. What is it? I love their running backs love them like that mafid doesn't even get talked about I think that could be a starter anywhere else and obviously will's done a good job And I think they're gonna get those guys in space and I think wait for his defense especially last week It probably let down spot against liberty with their backup or back with liberty went up and down the field So I feel like clmson's gonna be all right offensively and maybe this is a thing that does get them going But it's it's pretty obvious too. DJ's the guy also they're they're all in on DJ So I would not expect much club next at all.
Yeah, I thought this one game. I thought you were gonna have I thought you were gonna have central michigan plus 28 in state college this week I thought about it. I can say it's like I don't know how they're not ranked in top 10 I have them for they they have two true winnings against power five teams Singleton now and the bats they finally have game breaking running back to the first time Since segwan Which would have been very steady according to bring an hour for a little change of pace Yeah, really good defense madness and a really good job so far there I'm shocked that they're not ranked higher than they are Does seem like a little bit of potential like down spot for Penn State off the big win at Auburn last week I don't know. Maybe maybe I could get there by then.
Okay I mean such a situation is bad though. That was yeah I mean it was too good offense is Oklahoma State and South I think South watch I watched out Alabama UCLA last week I was impressed with South Alabama now what everyone's gonna say is Why did South Alabama try that fake field ball people don't realize too? UCLA's fumbled the ball after strawberry name was in I thought I touched down They fumbled they come out we reviewed on the inch line and they fumbled a snap and they don't get points there That turned the whole game around because UCLA would have taken a lead there and it's a totally different game So I do I like the over actually in that Penn State game Because I think that's that's gonna be what but here's the deal is I love the way this Penn State team is constructed Because when you look at what's ahead I love the talent they have on the back end I love border. I love king and those guys are difference makers And that's what you need when you're gonna have to hold up for 60 minutes against teams They're gonna throw the ball like Ohio State And I still think Michigan posed a lot of problems I think Michigan has more teams for you than people realize on the edge So I just I really like Penn State.
I have them in the playoff right now. Therefore I have I have cleanser behind them I have I have wolverines behind them And I'm just happy to do that my nittany lines are back and we're ready this year bear I actually bet Penn State to win a big 10 this week Nine to one I got 10 to one nice I still think Ohio State's the best team but you can for the scenario like 2016 where you're dealing with maybe Penn State Ohio State and even Michigan maybe they're involved in a three-way tie and Ohio State would be Michigan in the last game of the year would that be enough to like vault them up in the I don't know But I think there's there's a chance Ohio State goes to Penn State and Penn State gives them a ton of problems Maybe pulls the upset so look it's more of a little bit of a hedge against the uh the Ohio State ticket that I have so Attend to one the numbers only gonna only gonna get worse from here because this was definitely the uh, but we got there's no last one East is there They exist actually okay I'm gonna go to drive the drug I was able to play that the that Harley with Alabama to win the west Georgia to win the east Ohio State to win east so that they had division odds up so let's see if they're uh, they're still up right now me and team futures Conference where? Yeah, division division where I'm not up anymore. Yeah, that's what I thought.
I thought that we got All right, as we go down to sleight Missouri Auburn You mentioned south Alabama too. I tried to bet them to win the sun belt. Oh, I heard Earlier earlier in the week in it. There's people that are out for you I'm clearly on a list of that particular site I'm scaling a lot of things that belong to them.
So okay, and then I could be able to get those back Tcu minus two against SMU. Oh, I hate this game. I love the game. Yes, agree it agreed All right, let's get to it.
You'll be there florida plus 10 and a half. I think now at Tennessee Our gambling lines go back to how far 19th our database goes back to the 1978 Split and Tennessee has never been a double digit favor to before and this is the biggest they've ever been also I think the biggest prior was like 2012. They were given five. Does that sound right?
Yeah, we saw our own touchdown. Yeah, I think we I was there for that game too. Um, bad comeback does the old uh Derek Doolie days when I look at Tennessee in Florida I I go back to the Tennessee game because that that's an impressive win going to pit I understand but they go down 10 nothing And then it's 17 seven then they take the lead and then there's no points in that game in third court And I wonder if florida Can can just hang around enough how they're gonna do that? I think the offensive line has been better than I thought it was gonna be so they're gonna have to run the ball But how are we gonna see Anthony Richardson running the ball like we did in week one or we're gonna see the last two weeks Like is there a quarterback situation where it's that bad behind him?
They're scared because if they are and he's not gonna be part of that run game I don't think they have a chance in this game. Well, that's that's at least what I think florida fans and those with more of a rose Rose-colored glass outlook on florida thinks that they've kind of just been trying to save them With some of the questionable play calling against but why would you be doing that against an sece team in Kentucky when You're out to win that game like you're not looking I would understand it against South Florida if they had beaten Kentucky is like okay We need to really manage this and not subject him to a lot of it But like against Kentucky like you need to to win that game and turnovers are a problem And but again, I think with a young quarterback like this and then young team You're gonna get a lot of high variance games with that some games are gonna be he's gonna play incredible Some games you're gonna get no touchdowns two interceptions and fumble and what 40% depletion or what What the Kentucky player referred to the mass hot dog water I have a hard time. I would play Tennessee. I had to play the game But but again, I wouldn't go too crazy with the because you don't know the health of Telling them and they're running back you would soon.
Yeah, they're both gonna be okay and play But if they come after 7 and they're not in the lineup That's a massive problem for the Tennessee offense, but I had to play the game I would lay the points with Tennessee, but I certainly can understand those who Would want to take a florida double-digit login against a team that they have beaten 16 to less 17 years Yeah, and the aspirations for Tennessee know what they were before the year The returning players on the roster and the schedule that left ahead like this is the one you have to get With all at five straight 16 to 17 losing to them Like this is the monkey on your back You have to get it off before you even think about kentuki and georgia and albama on your schedule You have to get this done. So I do expect a big effort from Tennessee And I'm sure there's people out there that that know the game Haven't really watched these teams and just see florida catch a 10 and a half and they're blindly bent florida like no doubt They're bent their bent florida like they don't care. They've seen enough in their life Give me florida plus all those points. I'm not gonna do that.
I'm with you my office pools I'll be laying points with Tennessee. I have a question. Would you rather lay one and a half with North Carolina at home or take three points at home with sparti Well, when the North Carolina noted a line came out the other day. I was like, all right, you know This guy's gonna get back to North Carolina being favored And you know it's gonna be and now it has That that always worries me when The osmakers pull open one side favored and it's actually a You can sense this unanimous opinion that the other side is gonna be back to favored so that that would work me But at the same time It looks like North Carolina's the right side.
I mean, I'm probably not going to play it because there's some other games you can play There's no names at the top of problems, but the carolines is so bad. Yeah, you know, maybe it's a North Carolina team total because I don't know but I'd probably take Michigan State only because I kind of expected that to happen last week in Seattle. Yeah, and now you come home You might get I haven't seen this as a read if he's gonna be there all been building out It's a big problem. I think it's a wide receiver position from Minnesota.
I'll see if the guys would be separated I probably would take Michigan State just because you're getting You're getting the three Omen Bell out Michigan State coming off of an embarrassing loss Uh, that would probably be the way I would go. Okay, even though even though I think Minnesota might be the best team in the west That's my point here is if there's no way I hate to say it if Minnesota doesn't win this game They're not winning the west. You have to win this game and I believe it opened as a pick and they take all the money So that's why they're given three actually actually has to open Michigan State minus one and a half So there you go. I said forever.
I think I think the world of PJ Fleck is a coach This is a game where you have to have your team ready And I love I bring him the running back from Minnesota local kid here from good council here in the DMV And he is not afraid of any he'll go up the middle outside catch the ball Love what he brings to the table. I expect him to have a big day And when I look at Michigan State watching him back into Washington like I love the kid eight D lineman From Georgia, but then like the guys they have in space And you know we know about the struggles against the past last year But the limerax is just not Michigan State guys to me And that's what you know, I thought they got exposed against Washington I could see Minnesota as much as they like to run the ball trying to you know do some things where they put some pressure and on That back in the Michigan State defense. So I think it's a tricky spot. I wanted to put Minnesota in there I still might but I like Minnesota in that game and I like Carolina Uh coming off of bi-week I still think they should be getting down back and last year I Think he had double-dated catches against against Notre Dame in this game But I just think about Drew Pine on the road did not play well.
We also at last week It's a big deal here and can Notre Dame run the ball and keep North Carolina's offense off the field That's what it's come down to. I know it sounds basic, but that's where it comes down to I do still have confidence in Notre Dame to be able to be a formidable opponent people talking about three wins and all this like stop They have enough talent the defensive come around I think all that stuff is coachable whether it's missing run assignments and just fitting on a run and being better on the back end That that's right. Like they get beat on a on an easy pass in the red zone for the first touchdown from Cal last week So I think Carolina goes to four known this game. I would take care of line in this game How sick would you be if your will Cox was not game last week?
The off-side's gone the field goal the hail mary like all that stuff goes against you and you're still that close That's that's a tough one tough one to overcome. It is Why is Indiana getting 16 and a half points? Because they're the luckiest team in the country so far this year You know, I guess it's probably the word but I forget Volcanaly or it was like it's not like when wins over expectations on that they're like 1.6 wings over what like the numbers suggest that they should have these are the results of the game and since it's already still good Yeah, that's it just it feels like it's I'm with you and my whole downward spiral It's caused because of that Illinois Indiana game first running like it really has like that needed to go one and oh to start it And that just totally backfired looking at other games. What else you what else catches your eye in the night?
Say that interests you like Wisconsin Ohio State has zero interest to me. I'm sorry It has zero interest to me as well because I think it's gonna blow up Um, what what about Arizona State Utah? I could you like what do you think about that game? It's only going up.
Yeah, Utah was my winner. I still think I understand, you know All that's going around where Arizona State and shout out for the guy that broke the story and all those people just taking the video and running with it Like the ad and the president meet coach Edwards after every game in the end zone and then people see it for the first time I think he got fired right there like I'm so happy that he came back out and said it didn't happen there They met the next morning like stuff like that drives me nuts online. Anyway, exactly I think everybody's a journalist. Yeah, exactly.
What is it? They'd rather be first than right? Um I can't go against Utah. I think they got to go in there my winner last week and when we have this few winners I stay loyal to my teams that's who get me wins.
So I I think they can name the score I really do I think the office is going and the defense is only getting better By the way speaking of Utah the teammate beat last week. How bad is San Diego State that home underdog that's weak against Toledo? Be careful that that line reeks. Oh, it totally It's the first time like in a regular game Third dog at home in a pot nine power five.
Yeah, like in a long but Scary. I mean, it's amazing how far that team is falling. Yeah, and it was quick Very quick. How bad is fi you get 31 from western Kentucky?
If I use that whole It was really bad That number jumped off. I was like 31 Uh, you like and I you do you think this is a good spot for Stanford or you still be wearing stuff But I was about the ankle weights on the defensive side of the ball I was I'm so mad at myself because last week I love Penn State and I didn't have the guts to take him out And this week I was going to give Stanford but the only difference bigger they have Speed wise is EJ Smith and he's not playing and that's that's a huge deal for me with that Stanford office The office looks great. Uh running that wake forest west offense But I just the way wet Washington spread Michigan stayed out and diced them up in that secondary like Stanford Just doesn't have guys on defense and that's what worries me like I think they're gonna score What's that number 62 63 63 and a half? 63 and a half like I totally think Washington scored 40 I really do so I was actually thinking about the over.
I think Stanford's the right side I just can't do it. I mean I touched 14. I saw and now it's what 13 and a half 13 and a half I think the right 14th is that point 14 teachers and you look at what Washington did last week And a monster monster game next week in Rose Bowl against against the brewing so on a Friday night. I think yes Friday night late huge crowd expected Huge at the Rose Bowl.
Uh, I think Stanford's the only side you play in that I just I I'm biased. I mean people are throwing out killing the boys numbers against against the number two as a head coach It's crazy. He's like 70% So it's a dangerous pile. I said I think they're scores I just don't see their defense holding up that that's the issue and I know everybody's talked about their offense being bad the last couple Years and it has been but I feel like when mikey throwing the ball around Plus I I give I give Washington way more points in my opinion when they're at home than other people do because I know how good that place could be And it's been a house of horse or Stanford.
There hasn't been much success up there at all in the program's history So it's it's interesting of course that games are gonna get over at three in the morning Sunday morning. So that'll set the week off great with not getting any sleep. Ah, so There's a couple stinky lines. I thought with smaller school teams Arkansas state three and all against the number catcher five and a half against old you Should rice be a 17 and a half point dog against you, sir It's it's a scary thing because it's total contrast of styles and I looked at rice They the turnovers against sc just totally through that game on a wack and houston has been a major disappointment I didn't buy into it.
They were they're gonna be the chance of the american this year I just didn't think the consistency was there but their o-line is not good when you look at the teams I got sanitone. Oh got pressure against them. Kansas did whatever they wanted and I'm not even talking about the defensive side So if rice could hold the ball, but kaffree's brothers a legit playmaker You had double digit catches last week. I believe in that win.
So I would Can houston throw it over the top of rice? I still think that's that's possible. So Yeah, I would take rice plus a 17 and a half Marshall lane three and a half at troy that that's kind of stinky Lautec plus 13 after south alabama goes to the rose bowl I thought I would see a little bit more from lautec offensively, but I probably would take the points there Oklahoma Oklahoma roll this week with the unappcente alert down to 12 I think they look really good man. You know, I love doing gabra with the defense last week I know that's that's what I wanted to see more last week was their defense knowing nebrasca has some potential on offense They were they were nasty.
I In case they muck it up. That's the whole thing. I I don't know. I lost was brutal last week to two lane.
They just was going through the motions Which you know, which you don't think you're gonna get from a climate team, but there is this game this week. I would I think I think I think Oklahoma. I think I would too In the game of names. I have no idea Both teams It is what it is man.
That's we know that Campbell's record and these calls up games has not been good They finally did get the win against Iowa And toss up type number I can't wait to watch this game. Yeah I will say this to start a country like I did for that number out there about Campbell and the games decided with the spreader within three three and a half Uh, people I haven't 12 in the 17 games and I'll pour that record is but there is one maybe actionable bit of information there 14 of the last 15 games or the Iowa state has been involved in a game where the spread was we're gonna have either way 14 of the 15 about under so that would seem to be Maybe not maybe not just a trend but a lot more indicative of the game plan and the style of game that night Campbell and Iowa state are gonna play Close to the best hanging there So we will see and obviously I think a randa will be very comfortable with the lower score of game as well So uh, first these 46 is out there So that was actually 146 something and then 45 and I have everywhere else Yeah, just looking at Iowa statement like deckers just throwing the ball 105 times in three games That's a ton of me and that's but on top of it That's what I think Iowa state has to do to win these you know Baylor's gonna be good against the run and they're gonna take it away You know they're gonna do it they went to BYU lost an overtime They held BYU to like two yards of carry so kid and that's the thing when it's been was put on perity last year He's just didn't execute and then calling it with the fumbles against Iowa Like this is a perfect chance to wipe that away I'd still think hutch is just a stud at wide receiver So what's Baylor gonna do there and again? I want to see shape and be better on the road I mean look at the defense Baylor allowed in 14 points a game and Iowa state alone at nine But obviously the competition is not there right what I would say on the offensive side I all I want you to do is make sure you tell your researchers not to feed the talent this weekend if I was state where to win It's not an upset there Wait, but last year I would say no gain of a 200 yards and gave away. Yes.
Yeah, that was in waco Yeah, I would take a shot. I would stay here. I'm big spot for deckers I want to see what he brings to the forefront. You might have said it before earlier bear Oregon lay in six and a half at wazoo I would have to take wazoo.
That was a really impressive win last week It's an awful team at spot that they could have been completely flat There do you guys have played very well war didn't have the turnover size week And I just can't trust or assume that you're going to get that type of offensive performance from Oregon and bonix Two weeks in a row especially going on the road here to a place where they have struggled in the past I would think worth taking a wazoo in this game. Yeah, it's a It's a different dynamic. I'll tell you that with these two teams Because I think wazoo is right there on the coast They got that way in that Wisconsin now do you follow it up against a hated rival That's what I want to see and I think it's a big spot for landing because if he goes here and doesn't win That's I mean all the good you got out of last week. That's I'm starting to think Oregon, but I just I can't do it with bonix.
He has been my crit that I oh my lord I just going back through his through his career. It's like they win I had the other sequat they lose. I had him I have the under he goes crazy. I have the over he plays like poo.
It's it's every way so good for him Always sticking it to me. I appreciate that 40 and a half of bama bandi You wouldn't bet that game. I wasn't no no All right big my capy recap. I'm taking Kansas minus the points I'm taking Arkansas plus the points.
I'm taking James Madison plus the points and I'm taking Texas tech plus the points bear you Three favorites three dogs three favorites. Iowa New Mexico state in Ohio state three dogs northern, Illinois You can't and Texas tech I could be joining in there with northern Illinois for sure And possibly a couple totals I might put in the column that might be Penn State over in the lsu New Mexico over Those are possibilities that one's low. I just feel like you get out of hand early just like it did against us I'm not saying mexico is southern. I'm not saying that.
I'm just I have a feeling there's gonna be points there All right bear enjoy cleveland and Knoxville and columbus And get some good meals for you. You all you getting yield tomorrow Yield steakhouse actually on Friday. I don't I don't think so Okay, I have to figure it out get that back room at yield love that place. Yeah, I know that's where we were The last time that we had gone there.
Yeah, I don't know what the point is tomorrow night. See okay No lots of milk lots of counseling is waiting for us in clubs though, which is good. There we go Very good. All right, my man travel safe everyone.
We'll talk to you next week Good luck with everything if you need anything hit us up on twitter actress Felica at Stanford Steve 82 again Our official picks are on the chalk section of ESPN calm that'll do it bear take us away You can listen to follow to Stanford Steve in the bear podcast We ever you listen to podcast plus don't miss more from Stanford Steve on ESPN sports and with Scott van Pelt and check out the bear on college game Day on ESPN What does a sunny getaway with air Canada sound like Signing Jamaica moves to its own rhythm real comes alive long after the sun goes down Philippines slows everything down And just when you think you've heard it all there's sunny lemah However, you imagine your sunny escape air Canada can take you there book hot fairs and vacation packages today nice travels