Time to Talk about Recession

This week Brian gets down to business and talks about the likelihood of a recession this year. Not all recessions are created equal. Previous downturns in the U.S. were prompted by various shocks, with the most recent recession started by health and government-induced shutdowns. Other recessions started in the corporate sector, whereas some started from commodity shocks. The next one could start from geopolitical tensions. Nonetheless, we think the current business and consumer environments are safe from near-term recession risks.

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Cold Funk - Funkorama by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license. Source. Tracking ID: 1-05271721

This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the view s or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or w ill yield positiv e outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. 

References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment and does not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. 

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All information is believed to be from reliable sources; how ever, LPL Financial makes no representation as to its completenes s or accuracy. 

The U.S. Institute for Supply Managers (ISM) manufacturing index is an economic indicator derived from monthly surveys of private sector companies, and is intended to show the economic health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. A PMI of more than 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, a reading below 50 indicates contraction, and a reading of 50 indicates no change. 

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Services) is based on surveys of more than 400 non-manufacturing firms’ purchasing and supply executives. 

All index data fromFactSet.

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