Trump Thought Europe Had No Leverage. He Was Wrong. episode artwork

EPISODE · Jan 20, 2026 · 16 MIN

Trump Thought Europe Had No Leverage. He Was Wrong.

from Kernow Damo

Donald Trump has tied tariffs on allies to taking Greenland — but the assumption that Europe has no leverage isn't actually true... Right, so Donald Trump has announced tariffs on European allies because they won’t agree to him taking Greenland, with a 10% levy next month and 25% after that on eight NATO states, explicitly tied to whether opposition stops. That move removes a basic assumption people were still relying on, which is that NATO disputes stay in the lane of diplomacy and trade rows don’t get stapled to territorial demands. You can’t negotiate with this tangerine tyrant. Once tariffs are being used as punishment for saying no to annexation-by-invoice, the idea that this is just noise, or bluster, or something that can be smoothed out with polite phone calls, stops being available. And the confidence that underpins a lot of commentary right now, that the US can do this without consequence because nobody has leverage that actually bites, starts to look very thin very quickly. Because this doesn’t stop at Greenland, and it doesn’t depend on missiles or troops. It depends on money, confidence, and habits everyone’s been treating as immovable because nobody has been talking about it. There is another option available to other nations and its time they started considering it. Right, so Donald Trump has announced he is putting tariffs on European allies because they are refusing to go along with his demand to “buy” Greenland. He has set out a 10% tariff from 1 February and a 25% tariff from 1 June on eight states, including here in the UK, and he has explicitly tied the escalation to whether countries stop opposing the United States taking control of Greenland, as if territorial acquisition is a bargaining chip in a trade negotiation and as if the rest of NATO exists to be billed for its own obedience. The whole thing is dressed up as a tough-guy move, but it is coercion with a receipt attached. Keir Starmer has responded in a way that tells you exactly what the UK government is trying to preserve though. He has called the tariff threats “completely wrong”, but he has ruled out retaliatory tariffs, and he has insisted the right approach is “calm discussion between allies”, which is what you say when you want to sound like you are taking a stand while also making sure nothing material happens that could upset the sick joke that is the ‘special. relationship. Right, so Donald Trump's announcement of tariffs on European allies over Greenland highlights a concerning shift in international relations. This move, directly linking trade disputes to territorial demands, challenges basic diplomatic assumptions and creates new global trade tensions.

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Trump Thought Europe Had No Leverage. He Was Wrong.

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