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Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, and happy Labor Day! Ladies and gentlemen, degenerates, gamblers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers fans, fans of the NFL Shield, NFL Betters, fantasy football players, anybody I might have left out 4 and 1! Welcome in to episode number 118 of the Talking the Line Podcast, and as always, thank you so much for taking a few moments out of your day to come and kick it with the crew. On this beautiful September 6th, 2021.
If you're watching live, you saw me almost say August there, got to get into September, we're now the second official week in here, so let's get after it, but before we do. Three days away from the start of the NFL season, we have loads to talk about, please take a few moments too. Smash that subscribe button on whatever platform you are currently ingesting the TTL pod on. If you are watching on YouTube, you might as well hit that notification bell over there as well, so you never miss the start of a live show, or any additional TTL crew content dropping.
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Last, but certainly not least, head on over to this episode's description where you will locate the talking align link tree. Within that link tree, you will find all of the TTL crews, social platforms, our additional content, and the talkinallign.com website so you can consume all of that. However, and whenever you please. Ladies and gentlemen and beautiful people all over joining us today, I am your humble host, Colton, cold 45 Soroka, and I can't thank you enough.
For choosing to stop by the talking align podcast, as always give us your support, you're following and get some stone cold analysis, info, insights and everything in between. We have a loaded NFL special edition season preview on tap for you today, but I keep saying we, I keep saying crew, I keep saying us. I haven't yet brought in the second half of talking align sports media, the man that sits to my left on every episode of the talking align podcast, the cohost of the TTL pod. Now the cohost of the wise words pod, the resident cheese head himself, the man, the myth, the degenerate gambling legend, Mr.
Riley, R. Max, Maggasm. Barnard, how you doing over there today pal? My man, who could be better on this fine Labor Day after a beautiful weekend of college football, little bit more on the deck tonight, and of course NFL football is in the, it's in the sights on the horizon.
We can't wait and you know we're dancing over here. I can't help myself from dancing in just in the middle of my day, just thinking about it because it's going to be electric and there's a certain team that we're talking about today that's going to be playing on this Thursday night, my friend. Oh, you best believe it and that is the Tampa Bay cue, Gronk and Nears will now no longer cue because a cue ship Lee has looks like retired from the NFL, but he is helping out on the side down there in Tampa Bay, a little coaching. But yeah, we got a load to talk about today, but before we do, coming off of a beautiful, beautiful weekend of college football, we had the college football special edition on Friday pretty much gave out picks for every single dog on play and every single game.
We're pretty well overall Friday. We weren't really solid yesterday. We weren't really solid and Saturday was kind of a wheel spin today. So our guest on Wise Words actually told me something very wise and you guys will hear it soon, but he said, never chase your losses.
You're only one day away from going for no. And Mano Man, is that the truth? Every single time we get to talk to somebody new, it just refines those betting skills just a little bit more and makes us just that much better. So we can't wait to bring Wise Words to you and we have plenty of other announcements and updates to get to here at the end of the show.
So make sure you stick around. We'll have our Max sidebar, some banter, a little bit of additional back and forth some updates. And then as always, I got you covered with my motivation minutes. It is quote of the month time.
You better be ready. This one is hot and heavy and we got a couple different perspectives coming on this one. So make sure you stay tuned all the way to the end. You need a little extra inspiration motivation.
Get you started on this Labor Day week. All that being said, let's get into today's season. You know what? Today's team of the day, ladies and gentlemen, I know you saw the title.
I know you saw the man the mid the legend Tom Brady on the YouTube thumbnail. If you did click on there, but let's get things straight. So all on the same page today's team of the day, the Tampa Bay, Buck and Nears. Now, there's an awful lot of people that do believe that they are going to see Tom Brady Bruce Arians and that whole squad back in the Super Bowl again this year and hoisting that Lombardi trophy.
If you do follow us on Twitter, you saw the beautiful Lombardi toss there as our gift of the day. But we got loads to talk about. We'll have the full team breakdown. We'll have the full schedule predictions.
We'll have the full season betting preview and then we'll give you our best fantasy advice and start stash or pass. So four loaded sections coming at you today and it's time to get into section number one of the day, the entire team breakdown for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now, all that being said, we're going to kick it off as we always do. I got offensive losses and Mags will have offensive additions.
We'll go through the entire offense, give you some 2020 numbers and our 2021 outlook and predictions. We'll do the same for the defense, talk a little bit about the coaching staff and then we'll get into the schedule in the second segment. So let's dive deep into this one now. First things first, ladies and gentlemen, the key losses for Tampa Bay Buccaneers going into 2021 here.
They didn't really let all too many guys go. As you know, they have officially returned all 22 starters that we saw in Super Bowl 55 on herdove in this era of NFL. So absolutely crazy that they were able to do that. But that all being said, they did let a few guys go.
Anthony Eau Claire, tight end, Joe Hagg, Wright Guard, or a Watford Wright Guard, the aforementioned AQ Shipley Center, but he still is helping out down there in Tampa Bay. Kenyon Barnard, Lachon McCoy, and TJ Logan all running backs. Obviously, you know some of the names in there, but those are all running backs. They let go.
My partner tell you some of the key additions that they brought in. But overall, I don't think that they're going to hurt too much offensively, but they necessarily didn't bring in all too many key pieces. What do you think as far as the key additions to your intempo bay? Yeah, as you mentioned, not really anything to write home about here.
Geo Bernard, I guess, as far as names go, is the biggest one, but he's probably going to be buried in this depth chart for a decent running back room here. Out of the draft, they pick up second round quarterback, potentially the heir apparent to an out Tom Brady's throne here in Tampa Bay. Kyle Trask out of Florida. Third round offensive tackle Robert Hansey out of Notre Dame, and then fourth round wide receiver J.
Lon Darden out of North Texas. That about does it for the offensive side of the ball here, partner. Nothing crazy to write home about it as I mentioned. Yeah, there's not going to be much crazy on the defensive side either.
As far as losses and additions go, this was not the team that really made any move. Not whatsoever, and obviously you can kind of deduct that knowing that they brought back all 22 guys. That all being said, let's talk a little bit about some 2020 numbers before we dive into 2021 here. As far as the offense goes, they average 60 yards per play.
They rush the ball 38.22% of their plays and passed on 61.78, completion percentage across the board, 64.27%. Their third down conversion was a little bit less than you'd actually think, 44.35%. But there's a key reason that I'll tell you in just a second, and in the red zone, 64.56%. So not bad, you would love to see him keep it right around there.
As far as that third down goes, they need to really improve not running the ball so much on early downs this year. It was one of the key pieces that Warren Sharp really, really dug into, and hey, they cannot afford to do that. If there's anywhere they need to improve it as they're massively, because that third down conversion percentage so low, because they had one of the longest second yards to go in the league, close to some of the bad teams that we talked about in the past. So they really need to correct that this year.
And honestly, in my opinion, they got a little bit lucky last year in some spots. And you see the bright shining Tom Brady and the Super Bowl, and they did everything. And we'll talk about it over the course of the show. There was a lot of spots that they got lucky in and afforded them the opportunity to even be in the Super Bowl.
That all being said, like I said about 15 times a day, let's move into 2021 back from the past into the future. Projected week one starters Thursday coming right up, offensive side of the ball starting with the offensive line. They got Tristan Worfs, Ali Marpet, Ryan Jensen, Alex Kappa and Donovan Smith either on the right on the left, sometimes blocking mostly in this offense, catching passes. You got Mr.
Rob Gronkowski looks like he'll be getting to start, but OJ Howard coming back and also competing for receptions, Mr. Cameron Brake. So they do have a very solid tight end room once again here in 2021. So as wide receivers go, same classic names, you know him, Antonio Brown, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
We'll talk about them plenty when we get into the fantasy section of the show today. And then as far as running backs go, you have Leonard Fortnett and Ronald Jones. And then skip these two guys, but the fourth and fifth guy projected on the wide receiver depth chart. The little speedster still gives my man nightmares from time to time.
I'll eat all of that. Mr. Scottie Miller, you know the name. If you used to watch the Bucks and Packers game last year, you know the name.
And then Tyler Johnson also looks like he'll be coming in as well. And then you know him, the goat, Tom Brady don't even need to stay a Blaine Gabbard behind him and then Kyle Trask in from Florida behind him. So hey, if I was Blaine Gabbard and Kyle Trask, I would be loving my life right now, learning from the goat and having no problems or issues in the world. Now, as far as this offense goes, my opinion, I think it's still going to be really dominant.
I think that they need to improve upon that early rushing on early downs. Obviously, that is a very, very critical thing for them. They need to pass more early downs. They need to be less predictable as an offense.
And if Bruce Arians can really start opening up that passing game with Tom Brady knowing the offense in full now and not going up to the line and kind of imagining what's going to happen, he knows it like the back of his hand now. He's got no problems with his knee. He might be 44, but I don't give a damn what you think. For a time, it is not a factor for that man.
So I think this offense is going to produce once again here. We'll talk about it more in fantasy, but I think it's going to be hard to kind of target what guy actually does produce. And I think that is their main focus is to kind of lead away from some of that predictability. They spread it out all over the field.
Right. That's my thoughts in general. What are you thinking about the Bucks offense here in 2021? Yeah, I really can't add too much here, partner.
I mean, the one thing you talked about as far as a third down efficiency and putting themselves in those long, third down, second down situations. Not only were they running on first down way too often that their efficiency running the ball when they did wasn't that good. So a one way or another, either their running efficiency needs to pick up or they need to just get away from that altogether because I mean, we know the names now for net and Ronald Jones. We're not obviously took up, took himself up a level in the playoffs and that was less of an issue play off.
We have Lenny. So I kind of, I don't really have any expectations as him turning himself into regular season, any of a sudden. So, and I do like Ronald Jones quite a bit. So I'm interested to see who gets the bulk of the workload there if it's closer to a 50 50 split.
But overall, I mean, obviously it's hard to be pessimistic about this offense. It's really just how high are they going to, you know, allow their ceiling to be here with those early down. And what we're going to see from that. So obviously I'm optimistic here.
I love this receiving core, the tight end core as well. So it's really going to be, you know, Windows all father time come to pick off Tom Brady. And I don't think it's going to be this year much like he mentioned, partner. I don't think it's going to be this year either.
But let's see what the guys at SFA have to say key rankings courtesy of them. As always, the quarterback room comes ranked as the third best unit in the league. So obviously they have plenty of faith that Tom Brady still continues to produce at age 44 offensive line, third best unit in the league as well. So actually a little bit surprising there were some of the losses, but obviously they have enough faith that they can continue to produce and keep Tom protected in that running game going.
Running backs a 23rd unit in the league. So they definitely do leave a little bit to be desired. There is no regular season, Lenny, as we know of, right? And Ronald Jones is solid, but he depends on some of those big burst plays rather than just consistently five, six, seven yards receivers.
Namaste, even question here, number one unit in the league. I mean, as far as depth goes, as far as capabilities go, I have no arguments with that whatsoever. This offense, I mean, three of the four units that they rank are coming inside the top three. So that's pretty damn good.
I think they continue to produce here in 2021. I don't know. I know you would think that they were really healthy. You'd see regression there.
Oh, they just got so lucky you're going to see regression there. I don't think we see it. And I think the big part is that Tom Brady didn't know that playbook that well last year, and they are coming in like his 10th year in New England now. That's the vibes that I've been on.
And not to mention, you mentioned it already. His knee was an actual problem last year that he kind of swept under the rug. So, you know, maybe we see kind of similar as far as healing from it, kind of compared to what he was as far as dealing with the injury. Maybe it's kind of similar slowing him down.
So, but I mean, fuck it's a hundred percent healthy then. Good grief. We've got a long season coming for the rest of the league here. You best believe it, my friend.
Well, that's enough for the offense. We'll break it all down even further as we go over the course of the show. And then obviously in fantasy, we are obviously going to give you our best fantasy advice. So stick around for that too.
Don't worry. Defense though. Slip the script. He losses defensively.
As always, my partner kicks things off on this side of the ball. What do we got going into 2021? I know they just let a boatload of guys go. My friend, I do not have one single name of note to talk about right now because all of the guys did they technically let some guys go?
Sure. But those guys either didn't play in 2020 or I can count on two hands how many snaps they played in 2020. They returned so many depth guys. I seriously do not write one single guy down because they are that irrelevant.
All the guys that they even let go have been cut from the teams that they went to. So these guys are completely irrelevant. This defense in my opinion is quite positive. It's going to be scary here.
Oh, it's going to be very scary. It's going to be one of the better ones in the league. And before I get into the key additions, really not anything to note there, either. I totally forgot.
Hey, happy Labor Day. Cheers to you. Cheers to you over there. If you're sipping on that black elixir of the gods, take a nice swig and let's get back after it.
Ooh, child. Child please. That Joe is running good this morning. All right.
Here we go back into a key losses or key additions for the defense. I apologize. Nothing really to note here either. Joseph Jones, linebacker and Antonio Hamilton, defensive back out of a free agency.
In the draft, they added a few guys who actually look like they might be some solid depth pieces here to make that defense even more dominant. They added Joe Tyrone, defensive end out of Washington, KJ Britt, linebacker out of Auburn, Chris Wilcox, defensive back out of BYU, and Grant Stewart, linebacker out of Houston. Now, if you know this Buccaneers team at all, and if you know any of those names at all, you know the serious depth that they just added to the pieces that really didn't need them. They were already good.
And I think that they had to keep pieces that they really need here if they were to do anything. Yeah, I mean Joe Tyrone coming in, not having to shoulder that much of a load here and you're one, just learning from these guys on this defensive line while also being a great depth piece is scary to me, man. Oh, absolutely. I could not agree more.
Now, I do have some opinions on that as well as well as this defense in general, but before we dive into that, 20, 20 key numbers from the defense. They allowed opponents to average 5.1 yards per play, so pretty damn solid there. Pwn it completion percentage. You'd like to see it come down a little bit, but they didn't allow an enormous amount of either air yards or yards after the catch, even with this 66.96 completion percent.
Pwn it third down, very solid. Keep it right here, boys. 41.25% and then in the red zone, not too bad. Sub 60, 59.38%.
So if you get that even closer to 50, sign me up for backing this bucks defense every dog on week and is one of the best fantasy defenses in the league. But hey, I won't get ahead of myself. We got the fourth segment to cover all of that. Back to the projected week one starters.
Holy shit, it's week one, ladies and gentlemen. This is only three days away, so it looks like the defense will be exactly the same. J, P, P, Jason, Pierre Paul on the left side of the line. Vida Vida next to him on the inside, who turned into one of the most dominant interior pass-rushers last year.
He got injured. Obviously, it showed widely when he got injured. And I think that he comes and picks up right where he left off in 2020. The Domicong 2, obviously that probably just set chills down your spine because it did mine as well as a Bears fan, playing him on the Lions back in the day.
Never liked to face the Domicong and unfortunately for my Bears, we are going to have to do that this year. Not to cut in, but he is the third person on this defensive line that scares me the most. That's how scary this D line is. Absolutely.
And then right next to him, Shaq Barrett. So his defensive line should have no problem generating any type of pressure and they should return right to their form. And I suggest if you are a quarterback facing them, you run in the opposite direction as fast as you can. And oh, little kicker, this defensive line is only facing four quarterbacks that they faced last year that are veterans.
All the other ones are rookies or have been with their team for one year. I think they are going to be dominant, but rounding out the front seven, you got Levante David. Don't even need to talk about him. And you really don't even need to talk about Devon White either.
Both those guys named Speak for themselves. And Devon White, even being young in the league, he is still speaking volumes. He needs to improve a little bit in coverage. But what he lacks in coverage, he more than makes up for in blitzing and sheer football ability.
He is an athlete. As far as the secondary goes, you have Jamel Dean on the left side next to Sean Murphy Bunting in the slot. Then Garleton Davis on the opposite side of them, you got Jordan Whitehead Strong Safety kind of plays in the box and out from time to time. And then Antoine Winfield, Jr.
2019 rookie came in and has absolutely dominated since. He is a dog in the free safety position and also can come up in the box from time to time to time to. I have no concerns about this defense at all. And I really don't have anything that I need to write home about.
Is there anything that I missed part? No, as far as concerns, I mean, to nitpick, the secondary is not as dominant as a front seven, but because of how dominant that front seven is, it doesn't matter. I feel like I might be able to play cornerback and I might look okay in this and I didn't play defensive football when I was playing football. Maybe a little off.
You know what I'm trying to say here. You understand what I'm trying to say as far as how good I think this front seven is. And you mentioned it as far as that's the biggest thing for this defense. Maybe not the biggest thing, but this is a reason why I think they're going to look like the potentially best defenses in the league is the inexperienced or, you know, new system that the A's quarterbacks are playing are.
I mean, they play Matt Ryan's wife. That's one of the more experienced situations, but it's still kind of a new coaching staff. And Josh Allen is really the other one. All these other guys.
I mean, Matt Stafford, new system. Dak Prescott. I guess you could conclude into that. But he only played five starts last year.
And then the other guys, Jalen Hurts, potentially Justin Fields, James Winston, Carson Wentz, Sam Arnold, Zach Wilson. So I think this defense is going to cause headaches upon headaches every single week for these quarterbacks, except for maybe a couple. And even then it's probably going to be that quarterback stuff is game that they play. So I am through the roof on this defense partner, especially this front seven sounds like you're about on the same page as I am.
I have no questions, comments or concerns on this team. Let's see if the guys over at SFA do key rankings. Go to see them before we wrap up the full team breakdown. Front seven comes in ranked as the number one unit in the league.
No question about it. I have no arguments or no qualms with that whatsoever. Secondary eighth ranked unit in the league. I think that number is just a little bit better because of how good this right seven is.
But I think that they can continue to improve and solidify themselves as a top 10 secondary. Now, talked all about the defense. Let's briefly touch on the coaching staff returning all for their third full season together. You have VA, Bruce Arians, Byron left, which and why am I blanking?
Todd Bowles. Why am I blanking on Todd Bowles? I was trying to say Todd Bowles. Yeah, definitely never leave out Todd Bowles.
He will ratchet up a defense on your ass. The moment you forget about him. I actually thought that Todd Bowles and Byron left, which were potentially going to be out of town and go get themselves head coaching jobs and what they've done. They obviously don't think the magic is over yet.
They want to melt this a little bit longer. They chose to stick around. They chose to keep hanging out as OC and DC under VA right now. And I think that is a brilliant move by the both of them because, hey, even if they don't get the Super Bowl this year, maybe Tom Place till he's 46 and at least get one.
Yeah, I think they'll stick around until until that magic. They think is going because Todd Bowles. I mean, he was on the Jets and it was, you know, the Jets. So that's why I think he was ruined over there.
So if he gets another chance, I think he's going to make the most of it. You know, it was the Jets. It was the Jets. All right.
That's the offense defense and full coaching staff. Obviously, you know what? We always go down rabbit holes during the whole course. Yeah.
Show. So we'll be covering them plenty more in full and especially when we get to the betting preview. We got Thursdays came to. Tuesdays came to discuss ladies and gentlemen.
We have the opening lines compared to what they're at now. Yep. So that all being said, let's move into the second segment of the day, the entire schedule breakdown and our full predictions. Okay.
Everybody's got to know it first week nine by week. We thought I was going to drop some crazy information. Just a week nine by week. That's it.
That's all I wanted to say. It is a negated by week though. The team that play is also on a by week. All right.
Well, we will definitely cover that too once we get to the end of it and with the rest and prep. But I appreciate you being on top of all there. As always, we won't go week by week. We'll say that for the betting preview when I dish out the weekly lines, weekly totals, all that in between.
So let's start things off. With our full predictions here. First things first, the division NFC South partner. I'll just kick things off here today, my friend.
How do you think the Tampa Bay Bucks fair in the NFC South here in 2021? I think they clean up here, my friend. They suffered two losses to the Saints last year. And I think these Falcons and Panthers are going to be improved, but not quite improved enough to be competing with this Tampa Bay squad.
So I'm going to say one way or another, give me five and one out of the end of the South. And you know, I think they clean up the Falcons twice here. I believe they should clean up the Panthers twice and maybe the Saints figure out a way to win one. However, they do play the Panthers in week 18.
And I do 16. Yep, in 16. But my point with 18 is I do think they'll have the division locked up by that point. So they'll be able to rest some guys there.
So I'm going to say whether it's the Saints just straight up beating them, which I'm kind of leaning off of that or the Panthers get in week 18. I'm going to say five and one one way or another here. Five and one one way or the other. All right.
Well, as for me, I'm kind of singing the same tune, but not as close. I do think they split with the Saints. I think we get one. James Swintz didn't revit.
Oh, there you go. One James Swintz didn't revit. Game. It has to happen.
And the Saints win that game in the playoffs last year. If Joe Cook doesn't fumble that football. Okay. Period.
Period. Panthers. I will also give them a split against the Panthers. Okay.
I think that week 16, week 18 deal. Fuck. They might even have the whole division tied up in week 16. They might be looking by him at that point.
And I don't know. They finished with the Panthers twice in the Jets. Week 16, 17 and 18. Like you think they give a fuck about those games?
So I think one of those games are going to drive time. Brady cares about winning football. I ain't asking that. But that being said, I think they handily take care of the Falcons.
Yeah. You know, the one time they play in Atlanta is week 13. They're still favored. I'm not really too worried about it.
We'll talk about it a little bit more in depth, but I think they clean house there. So I'll give them a four and two in the NFC South with the split to the Panthers. All right. All right.
So actually I got to put you in parentheses and giving away my trade secrets here. So everybody knows how I keep track everything. All right. Eight main.
It doesn't matter fucking anyway. I can't do math half the time. So eight main games outside of their division. They got the AFC East and the NFC East patented by TTL media.
Each AFC East part of kick it off once again. What are you feeling here? Out of the I'm sorry. You say AFC or AFC.
Okay. I will go. I'm kind of saying the same tune on all of these. I am going to go one where another three and one out of the AFC East that Bill's game is in Tampa.
So that might be a tough one. But then you also got a lot of the other two games. I'm going to go to the in New England with a little bill. Bella check Tom Brady rivalry going on here.
So I don't know which one it's going to be. I want to talk myself into the Patriots that Tampa Bay Bills game is going to be a hell of a game. So I think they they clean up against the dolphins and jets and then they split between the pads and bills. So give me three and one.
All right. Oh, this just popped into my head. If you needed to question my fandom at all, we don't even play until Sunday night. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm already rocking the shoes.
Hey, shout out Mama Bear for the shoes ahead of the season. We got some good fucking luck coming in here. I don't think you got Packers flip flops. Packer socks.
Who's who's fan? I mean right now. I'm not on. All right.
That'll be instant. Hey, you know for fucking Sunday. What are we talking about? You can tell that it is going to be a fun Bears Packer season going on.
Oh, you fucking wish. Just wait. No, I'm not going to wish that. I'm sorry.
I was going to wish something really, really bad. Not that we do that. Okay, so back to the fucking prediction. Sorry for the rabbit hole.
Hey, I see East. Ladies and gentlemen, uh, I do I'm going to go three and one. I do think that the Patriots are the game that they lose. I do not see Bill Belichick allowing Tom Brady and Bruce Arians to beat him two years ago.
He has full bag of tricks. He's pulling out. He's gone deep into that. Oh, it's only in week four and he's got that game about triple circled and he's been circled it since he picked up Hunter Henry and John Newsmith in free agency just to say, Hey, Tom, I got two more Titans that are badass.
Now, how you hear about them? I think that's how it happens. So three and one for me. Yeah.
Yeah. Don't. I got two new Titans. We're going to open down the field on you.
Everybody's just do your job. Everybody's just do your job. That's all you have to do. Just do your job.
Like 80% Bill Belichick. 20% coach Joe. I still got coach. All right.
Into the NFC. We are getting going here. All right. Into NFC East predictions.
As far as it goes from me, I don't think they have any problem with the G. ounce. They have no problem with the E glaze and I do not believe they have any problem with the star on Thursday night. I'm still kicking around, taking them at the minus seven and a half.
I do think that's where I'm leaning just because I don't think I think that press got in that the offense. They're going to spin the wheels a little bit more than we're anticipating here to start because this this this box defense has no no flaws in whatsoever and no question marks in whatsoever. So I got him three and then the football team is intriguing to me. I always am interested in what is the football team going to do.
That game is in Washington in week 10. So it is a very, very good possibility that Washington can pull something out of their ass a little fits magic at the very end of it. You know, one way or another and hell. Maybe it is Thursday night and the Cowboys shocked the world.
I'll two give him three and one again out of the NFC East. I can't add too much air. You and I are singing almost an identical tune. I am leaning towards in Washington.
The football team getting that win because I think their defense is also pretty damn dominant. They gave him some trouble in that wild card last year. And if it wasn't he wasn't a man and I'm so even bad. So I'm leaning towards that one with an extra little caveat.
Kind of like you said, maybe the Cowboys have something I am not picking the Cowboys to win that game, but it wouldn't shock me. I don't think so I will also say three and one definitely not picking the Cowboys, but I could see it happening. Okay. Real quick, then and then and then Bob Salah has just announced that slot receiver James Jameson Crowder is on the COVID list.
He is trying to test back negative to be able to make the week one game here, but very big hit for Zach Wilson in one of his dominant slot receivers. And they do like a line of stories. They're going to be very interesting game there. So already with the storyline.
So a little bit of something. Think about there. Da na na na na back to the predictions and welcome back to the talking line podcast. The final three games that the Buccaneers have are the Colts, the Bears and the Rams.
I am actually really, really interested in the Colts. We'll talk about this more in the betting preview, but this is their lone pick up of the entire season. It's played in Indianapolis. It's late in the year.
It's week 12. It is after their buy, but are they a pick up right? That makes no sense to me. So, with them being a pick up, I feel like the books know something we don't and maybe Carson Winces Rock and Enroll and maybe the boys are chugging by that time.
I'll give it to the Colts as crazy as that sounds just because why the hell is it a pick up? That doesn't make sense. The Bears get to win over the Bears and they are one in one now. And then as far as the Rams go, that is their lone game.
They are an underdog on the season. It's only by a point, but I could very easily see in them right in the high horse here week one week two. We're cruising in and then they come and get smacked right in the mouth. Okay.
Week three and so Phi stadium. So one way or another, just because I'm very, very interested in those those outside three of two of the three are where it's a pick them and their dogs. So I say one way or another. They got to go one in two in those games just because of how the books have it priced.
That's my betting knowledge. Fair enough. I, yeah, as far as the Bears are concerned, I'm going to give them the win over the Bears. They in Tampa Bay, they're going to want that.
They're going to want that. They're going to want that. They're not going to let them. If it was in Chicago, again, maybe I could see it getting money, but that was my reason.
Yeah. Out in Tampa. No, thank you for the Bears. I'm giving them win to the Rams in what is that week three.
Um, what's that? Continue on. It was nothing in regards to you. Okay.
As far as the Rams. I'm giving the Rams win there. Rams actually got him last year in week 11 in the year. And week 11 in Tampa Bay.
And now with Matt Stanford, I'm going to get the Rams at one in LA in a week three that one gets the Colts as far as what you said. It also has me concerned. Maybe this Colts defense has the right recipe for this Tampa Bay offense, but I'm going to pick the bucks in this one. I, you know, maybe by that time, it's a line.
It's kind of similar and it's a little fishy. Maybe I'll change my tune, but as of right now, I as much as when they're healthy. I like this Colts offensive line, this Tampa Bay defensive line. I think it's going to be given Carson Went some nightmares leading up to it.
And I think the bucks get that win. So give me two and one out of these three as well. All right. Two and one.
So five, eight and three is 11 12. 13 and let me make sure five, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11. So then okay, four. Oh, okay.
Doki, let me make sure I did this one more time. Five, six, eight, and three is 11 and two is 13. Okay. So a little bit more convincing on the side of my partner.
But if you're rocking with me, we got a lot to discuss here and we'll talk about it more in the betting preview here very shortly. But if you're rocking with me, the box is going 11 and six in 2021. If you're with my partner, the box is going 13 and four in 2021. So one way or another.
If you're a little bit less on there. In the division, then, hey, maybe they do go 11 and six. Maybe they write it 12. I don't know.
It's kind of there were a couple of games that we definitely talked about it like I should win. So with the Him being 13, maybe in 11 and the season went total being at 11 and a half. We got a lot to talk about as we get into the betting preview. So stick around for that.
But there's our full season predictions for the Tampa Bay booking years. Let's keep this proverbial train. That is the TTO pod. Just steam it on down the tracks with the third or for the thing the day, the pirate ship, the old Tampa man.
Keep your pirate ship looting over the wide open sea. Yarn. Never mind. Train on the tracks.
Train on the tracks. Train on the tracks. Oh, forgot to key rest and prep. We talked about that.
Getting real quick courtesy over the guys at SFA as always. They have two games where their opponent has over a week to prepare and then three games where their opponent has less than a week to prepare. So nice little one differential there. The Buccaneers have two games where they press play.
Where they play on a rest disadvantage and then four games where they play on a rest advantage. So plus two differential there as well. And then they do play two short week road games and they play one game off a road Sunday night or Monday night football game. So a little bit something to think about.
I know you got your eyes locked on those games. What do we got for? Yes, as far as that short road one kind of pushing maybe to the side of that Colts one. That is one of the short week road games.
They're home on Monday night against the Giants. Giants actually gave him some trouble last year. But this one's in Tampa. But more importantly, they go to India on that short road week.
So maybe I'm leaning more towards the Colts in that one now. Maybe you're looking at that one. Maybe Max comes over and he goes 12 and four. And we got 12 and five.
I apologize. I can't do math worth a damn while we're live on the show. But you all know that at this point, if you're part of the TTL faithful, but 12 and five, 11 and six, that makes it even more interesting. Those are the two actual rest disadvantages.
The Giants on Monday night off the Giants by and then going into that short road week versus the Colts. OK, so now you officially know everything going on for the schedule. Let's get into third, second of the day, the entire season betting preview. You got that right, ladies and gentlemen.
We are back to cashing gridiron tickets. We had a hell of a weekend as far as college football goes. I don't know why all of a sudden I had just been getting kicked in the nuts repeatedly this entire MLB season. And the last two days I've decided to bet MLB, I've missed one out of six players on both days.
So two out of 12. I don't really understand where it's coming from. But hey, if we're going into the playoffs and I'm cashing tickets on them, let's keep it rocking and rolling. But we're here to cash gridiron tickets.
Mainly today, discuss how many tickets we're going to be cashing on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now, before we do all of that, and before we go week by week and give you everything, we got to go back to 2020 real quick. We got to discuss how they were against the number. How did they do against the game total?
What in general was this team when it came to profitability? Well, I'm so glad you asked because I'm here to tell you first things first. In 2020, the Buccaneers had an average line of 4.8, actually exactly similar to the team we covered on Thursday, the Seattle Seahawks. You might wonder why in the world did my paper just fly out of nowhere?
It's because we got a nice fan rock and rolling. The wonderful, wonderful landlords of the TTL production studios decided it was a great time to shut off the HVAC unit. So just so we don't sweat our absolute dicks off, we have done so. So thank you very much, guys, for that.
We really, really appreciate it. I hope you're watching out there maybe at some point in time. Thank you so much. Back to 2021.
Thanks so much. Thank you so much. I appreciate it down to 2021. They are favored by an average of 5.6 points.
I already told you a little bit of this, but they're favored in 15 games, and they are dogs in one game. And then they have that pick them that we talked about a lot now against the Colts in week 12, coming out of their buy. And then in 2020, as far as against the number goes, let me get just a quickie sip of water. Oh, yeah, didn't do a little break in between there.
So 2020 against the number, the Buccaneers were 9 and 6 with an 11 and 5 straight up record. They were 7 and 5, ATS as a favorite, and 2 and 1, ATS as a dog. At home, they were 5 and 2, ATS with a 5 and 3 straight up record, 3 and 2, ATS as a home favorite, and 2 and 0 against the number as a home dog. On the road, not very good against the number, break even 4 and 4, ATS.
But they did have a 6 and 2 straight up record. We'll see if that holds firm this year. Fans coming on back into the stadium. And we saw it in week one at college football, home field advantage matters.
And it doesn't damn near matter as much in college football as it does in NFL. Because there's a lot of stadiums that are nowhere near as big as the NFL stadiums, and they are still pumping out decibels. Mainly, my Charlotte Winter overdue, on South Friday. Yeah, that atmosphere was a wild one.
It was bananas. Like, I just had to get a quick jab for that. TPLE. You were jabbing me left and right on Friday.
So I had to get one in here on Monday's show. That all being said, they were 4 and 3 on the road as a favorite 0 and 1 on the road as a dog. So something to think about there is, too, maybe that Colts game and that Rams game are the games to target. As far as game totals go, they had an average line in 2020, up 15, 49 and a half.
They've ticked it up a point, then being the books in 2021, 250 and a half. As far as 2020 records go, it went 8 and 7 overall over under. They were 4 and 3 to the under at home and 5 and 3 to the over on the road. Now as far as a favorite and as a dog, these numbers do include playoffs.
They were 9 and 5 to the over as a favorite. And 4 and 2 to the under as an underdog. You know I love him. You know he loves him.
I know you love him, too. A good old fashioned Sunday teaser, baby. You better keep adding the books. Oh yeah.
Your teasers, ladies and gentlemen, 6, 7 and 10 point teasers, respectively, 12 and 4, 13 and 2, and 15 and 1 for the box. So no question, you need another extra leg add to that 10 pointer, get it into that plus money poly section, as I always say. Make sure you add them all 10, 10 minutes. Most definitely.
All right. That does it. Everything from 2020, everything you need to know about. Let's move back into 2021 and talk about the weekly lines.
Now we gave you our prediction. So I think a lot of these two, as we go through them and talk about them, they're going to either solidify our positioning or might even make us change our opinion just a little bit here. So that all being said, week one, this Thursday, three days away, start of the NFL season. They are now 7 and 1 half point favorites against the Dallas Cowboys.
They opened up as 6 and 1 half point favorites. So key numbers are very important. Might have been good to lock them in very early on. And maybe the Cowboys keep this right at seven points.
Week two, they come in as 9 and 1 half point favorites. Sound of minus eight. Down to minus eight point favorites against the Falcons. And week two, very interesting there.
Week three, we already talked about that. That is where they are. Underdogs against the Rams in LA. Only by a point though.
Week four, they're laying three and a half on the road to the Patriots. Give me the Patriots plus three and a half and their money line. I love every bit of it. Week five, they are back home.
They welcome in the Miami Dolphins. So nothing crazy there as far as welcoming opponents either across the country or whatever the case might be. But they are laying seven and a half points against the Dolphins. So a little interesting there without a lot of people are on the Dolphins.
Week six, laying another touchdown and a half against the Eagles on the road. Then they come back to Tampa Bay, laying a touchdown and a field goal, 10 points to the Bears. Bared out. Week eight, they're laying two and a half points on the road to the Saints.
And week nine, they got their buy. Nice breather and we get back into 10. They are laying a touchdown on the road to the football team. Give me every bit of those seven points.
And I might just be crazy enough to hammer in the damn money line because I predicted they win it. I think that is way too many points for as good as I predict this Washington football team. Defense to be. And oh, we might just have a pick from the first guest of wise words in regards to this Washington football team.
So stay tuned for a clip coming out on Twitter and all of our other social media is here very, very soon. Now week 11, they're also laying a touchdown and a field goal to the Giants. I would take that minus 10 in that spot. Week 12 though, the pick them against the Colts.
Give me the Colts. I think I think they get that winner winner chicken dinner. Week 13, laying four and a half on the road in ATL. And then week 13, they're laying four against the Bills in Tampa Bay.
Week 15, they're laying a touchdown this time against the Saints in Tampa Bay. Week 16, they're laying six and a half on the road to the Panthers. Week 17, they are giving eight and a half to the Jets in New York. And then week 18, they come back home to Tampa Bay, close out their season as six and a half points favorites against the Panthers.
Now overall, I told you a few spots that I'm very interested in fading them already. Looking ahead that week for a new England matchup and the week 10, the Washington matchup, the week three, LA matchup and the week 12, Indianapolis matchup. Those will be my four that stick out the most for me. Outside of that, I think the Bucks are going to be really, really, really profitable against the number again.
However, in some of these tighter games, Atlanta four and a half, Buffalo minus four, New Orleans minus two and a half, you're going to have to really think about it. And maybe even the touchdown spreads, you know, Saints minus a touchdown. You look at the Dolphins minus seven and a half. I mean, some of these teams that they're getting a touchdown against are very, very scrappy.
They have more than enough opportunity to keep it within a field goal. So I think you're going to have to be tentative. I think you're really going to have to do your research. I think you're going to have to tune into the talking line podcast on Monday through Friday, 10 to 11, 30 AM might be 11 to get our best bets of the day and catch tickets on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Maybe the team that they're playing either way. I think it's going to have to take specific spots, but you know where I'm sitting. I love the Rams. I love the Patriots.
I love the football team and I love the Colts. If you're in a specific way, you're leaning anything jumping off the board of you. Yeah. I mean, as far as I'm honestly not sure if we're going to see, I think we might see a profitable ATS number, but I could see it being, you know, a eight and nine type ATS season and, you know, still winning 12, 13 games.
And the reason I say that the average line ticked up and it's those ones that are now minus seven and a half that really have me concerned, there's going to be certain spots where they absolutely destroy whoever it is they're playing. There's also going to be some games that are unexpectedly close and there going to be some trap spots for these books to pick up some money on the public Cameron in the books because they think they're going to absolutely destroy teams. I mean, you look at last year's schedule, they lost to your bears. They only beat the Giants in New York by two.
They beat the Falcons in Atlanta by four. So some of these road games where they're over, you know, touchdown or more. I think there's going to be a few more spots where I'm picking off those games that might be closer than people expect as opposed to laying the seven and a half points. Like that dolphins game, you know, it is in my eyes.
Excuse me, it isn't Tampa Bay, but that's not a far travel by any means for the dolphins. So with that being said, maybe I think, you know, the Giants and the Eagles, I think they should smoke them, but I don't know. So I'm going to be really tentative on some touchdown spreads here. What do you got?
Head coach of the Houston Texans, David Coley has announced a week one starter. It is going to be Tyrod Taylor. So the Deshaun Watson saga rages on. Dena, Dena, Dena, Dena.
Do we talk about it? Quick rabbit hole. Do we talk about their actual online depth chart where it's Tyrod Taylor. I'm blanking on who their backup is.
Nobody third and then just others Deshaun Watson. Okay. So very interesting as what is going to happen in Houston, but that is way too messy of a rabbit hole for us to go any deeper in. So we're going to climb on back out and stick with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against some of their lines.
Now, as far as game totals go, my friends, I think this will be an over team. I really think it will be, but it's going to take some specific spots. You know, I wasn't arrested in the over at first this Thursday's game. Our 52 is what it opened at down to 51 and a half now lost the hook.
And the overs getting the big money. So that reverse line movement definitely scares me a little bit and seems to me. It seems way too damn easy. And I think this box defense is going to do enough to limit the Cowboys.
And I think that the box offense spins the wheels a little bit to kind of start things off. I don't want to say that they're going to be how they were at the start of last season, but sure still, I think they're going to spin the wheels just a tiny bit here to start the season until we get that cohesion and rock and rolling back again. So I would say I might take the under on Thursday, take a look at my best bets. I haven't officially locked it in.