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We hope you enjoy. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, ladies and gentlemen, degenerates, gamblers! Tennessee Titans fans, fans of the NFL Shield, NFL football bettors, fantasy football players, anybody I might have left out. For and what?
Welcome in to episode number 119 of the Talking the Line podcast, and the second to last NFL special edition. And as always, thank you so much for taking a few moments out of your day to come and kick it with the crew on this beautiful September 7th, 2021. Now we have loads to talk about in regards to the Tennessee Titans and beyond, and before we do all of that, you know the drill, please take a few moments too. Smash that subscribe button on whatever platform you are currently ingesting the TTL pod on if you are watching on YouTube.
You might as well hit that notification bell over there as well, so you never miss the start of a live show or any additional TTL content dropping, wise words dropping on Wednesday this Wednesday, September the 8th after the live show is over, our new show connecting you with the best and brightest personalities in the sports gambling industry. We'll talk about that later on in the show, but if you are listening to the audio version, and you didn't see me just point at you on YouTube, make sure you hit that subscribe button there as well as we always do release the audio after every live show is complete. Next item up on the docket, you can be so kind, you can find it in your heart. You got a couple extra seconds to do so hit that like button, leave us a comment, leave us a rating, jump on over yonder in the live chat.
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However, and whenever you please. Ladies and gentlemen and beautiful gambling people, everybody in between joining us on today's show. I am your humble host, Colton, cold45, stroke and once again, thank you so much for choosing to stop by the talking the line podcast. Hang out with me and my partner for about the next hour, hour and a half or so.
Get you some knowledge, insights and analysis from every different angle. Now I've mentioned my partner a few times, I mentioned the crew a few times. So without further ado, it's time to bring in that man, the resident cheese head himself and also the resident south cider. You can see one of those rocked across his chest today if you are watching on YouTube, but that being said, you see where my heart lies.
We're in the windy city, I don't go across state lines, it's time to bear the fuck down. You know where I'm coming baby, you know what I'm doing. I gotta get a little extra hype before I bring that cheese head in. Ladies and gentlemen, the man, the myth, the degenerate gambling legend himself, Mr.
Riley, R. Maggison. Partner, how you doing over the today, pal? My man, it is Tuesday, I can not be much better out here.
I mean, if you want to get hype on your bears here in the first week of September, get out of the way, you're gonna need all of this, you know, this little action here because, you know, the hype is going to slowly dwindle as the season goes along for you. So be my guest, my friend, I'll save my excitement for come January, December, January, the real football months of the year. So, yeah, that's where I'm at today. Subtle jabs from my co-host and partner, the great Riley Maggison.
Well, hey, welcome into the show partner. Good to have you here on my left as always. Before we get things started, my guy, the black elixir of the gods, just flowing beautifully this morning. Cheers to you, beautiful people out there.
If you're sipping on your Joe, quick sip, and let's get on with it. Oh! Oh! Whoo!
Chaplies! Okay, that's a good couple of Joe. I'm gonna have to come back to that a couple more times here within the next few minutes. But before I do, loaded Joe coming at you.
I know you saw the title, Tennessee Titans season preview. We got plenty to discuss, lots of new things, entirely new offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator. They still got vrames in there, so we gotta talk about that. New offensive and defensive editions, plenty to talk about there.
We got a lot to get into with the schedule, so that'll be everything on the second segment of the day. We'll talk about everything betting wise as far as the futures market, their weekly value. We are only two days away from the start of the NFL season. Ladies and gentlemen, I am having a very hard time containing my excitement.
So, over the course of this show, I have still a lot of burst of time to time. My apologies in advance. However, that all being said, once we get through all of the betting preview, we will dive into our best fantasy advice for Second of the Day, start stash or pass. We actually had our fantasy league draft last night that we always talk about on the show.
We had our dynasty, we switched it to dynasty yesterday, and let me tell you an electrifying sweat and cleanse of the season. Had an opportunity to get my man Justin Fields, keep your crown over there. I doubt it and pulled the bonehead move, had two quarterbacks in my queue, and I ended up taking a make or make field instead of Justin Fields. So, I'll admit to it, now everybody in the league knows that you're watching that I've fooped up.
But hey, either way, you're in here to hear about our dynasty league, maybe a little later on in the show, when we might have some pointers on how we drafted, because I do believe set up dynasty wise, both me and you did very, very solidly. I think so, my man. So, we'll have plenty of advice on that fourth and final segment of the day, and then obviously we got our max side bar. He's gotta give us a little bit of tightens updates.
Who knows what all he's got to dish out today. We'll have a little bit of banter and then some updates as far as the rest of the week. And then also wise words coming out tomorrow, our new show first episode. If you've seen it on Twitter, featuring the legendary Joe Domingo, cannot wait to bring this to you guys.
You are absolutely gonna love it. We had loads of laughs, got loads of knowledge and everything in between. I'm telling you right now, it is nothing like any other interview show you've seen in this industry, and you are going to want to tune in. That is not just me hyping this up for no reason in particular.
I keep watching it because I keep seeing things that I missed the first time, and it is so much fun. We can't wait to keep doing it. So, Wednesday, first episode, drop in, but we'll talk about it at the end of the show. And then, got my motivation minutes for you.
If you are a fan of my motivation minutes at the end of every episode of the pod, you might have heard this one before. We're gonna go a little bit quicker. I did this in the past and went section by section by section. I'm bringing back my five-piece.
Been a while since I talked about them, and it's always nice to get a little bit of a reminder and a little fresh perspective on them, if you will. So, you need a little bit of extra inspiration motivation. Stick around for my motivation minutes into the show. No other gambling show on the market does it, ladies and gentlemen.
So, that all being said. So, make sure we're really on the same page. I know you saw the title, no show everything, but let's get it up on the screen, so we're all together. Ladies and gentlemen, NFL fans, everybody in between.
Today's team of the day is the Tennessee Titans. Loads to talk about. Please get your coffee ready. I hope you have your paper and pen on you as well, because this is going to get very intense.
We are going to have lots of information. So, get ready, strap in, and let's dive into the first segment of today's loaded Titans Preview with the full team breakdown. My friends, oh, right. So, as always, we'll start offensively.
We'll do Key Losses' editions, 2020 numbers, give you some overall outlooks and projections from us and then courtesy the guys over at SFA, what their real rankings are. Then we'll flip it over to defensive side, talk about coaching staff, and we'll dive into the second segment of the day. So, let's get things started here. Offensively, my friends, first things first.
I kick it off with some offensive losses. Now, a few names here to note, but also a lot of names that you, much like you said yesterday with a team returning almost all of their starters, some of these guys really don't matter. Now, guys to note, Adam Humphreys and Corey Davis, both wide receivers. Obviously Corey Davis being on the higher end of that spectrum, but two guys still that do limit a little bit of the depth there in the wide receiver room, but obviously with one of the big additions in the off season, my partner will tell you about, I think they'll be just fine.
They also let go, Khalifa Raymond, never really any big production he showed flash this time to time, but not a big name to write home about. Big name to write home about John Newsmith. And, you know, I think he has plenty of success in New England. The jury's still out as to if it's actually going to be him or Hunter Henry who's getting the bulk of the workload.
We'll talk about that. I'm sure a little bit of it will probably come up when we talk about the tight end because I do think they're still tight end value here with this offense. They also let me cool, prove it, go tight end. Deontae Foreman running back.
I haven't actually ever heard of this guy. Us, Sonora's Perry, I think that's how you say it, but it's spelled like Cinerise, but I know that can't be right. So, I'm going to say Sonora's Perry running back. Dennis Kelly, right tackle, Isaiah Wilson, right tackle, Marshall Newhouse, left tackle, and kickers of people too, yes, whole Steven Gaskowski.
They let him walk. Right. They did bring somebody back in. So, that all being said, barter, hit us with the key additions for the offense going into 2020.
Alrighty. So, I will say you mentioned John Newsmith out of town. They kept a tight end search in house this year. They have no tight end additions that I'm about to tell you about.
They did however make the big old splash in the offices of Mr. Julio Jones coming in via trade with the Atlanta Falcons. He is obviously going to be week one starter for the wide receiver room. Wide receiver too.
Yes, sir, aside from AJ Brown. They also brought in Josh Reynolds to fill some of the depth that my partner mentioned that they lost from LA. He's going to be pretty important in depth piece for them because with those losses that my partner mentioned, a little bit of a concern as far as their depth in this room. They did bring in Kendall Lamb at the left tackle position.
And then on the draft they did all right that he went second round off in the tackle of Dylan Redunz, North Dakota State, and then more wide receivers. They actually cut their fourth round pick, Des Fitzpatrick out of Louisville. He is not on their depth chart right now, but they did keep around six round wide receiver, Racey McMapp out of LSU. So, interesting.
You never, if you're a fan of the Titans, you never like to see a fourth round pick getting cut because that's basically just a giant virtual waste of a borderline value will pick there. But nonetheless, no tight ends brought in. I'm a little, you said there's some value. There might be.
I'm a little concerned as far as the depth at that position, but they obviously went pretty heavy on the offensive side of the ball with a couple big names here. So interesting additions here, I would say. Interesting to say the least and we have plenty to talk about when we give you our outlooks there. But thank you, bud.
Let's talk about some 2020 numbers before we dive into 2021 here. Now we all know how high powered this offense can be at times and they are ultra efficient when they need to be average 6.1 yards per play last year. They rusted ball on 50.28% of their plays passed on 49.72% of their plays shouldn't be a surprise to you at all with King Henry on that roster. And we should percentage across the board.
It was it would have all been 10. He had no ever time. He got injured. So 65.36 across the board for him.
Third down conversion rate was at a 45.36 clip and then red zone scoring was at a 74.24 clip. So obviously that third down you want to see that improve a lot of teams that we talked about too. It's that early down running and they get themselves into issues. But how can you not?
The teams that have those stud receivers running back. Yeah. And how can you not? You be dumb not to continue to feed the rock to him, but that is kind of what plays into that little bit less than average third down conversion rate there.
Back to 2021 projected starters here starting with the offensive line. You got Kendall Lamb, Nate Davis, Ben Jones, Roger Saffold and Taylor Luan coming back after that ACL injury last year. Always as I say to the left to the right, maybe going for passes, maybe blocking. I'm actually pretty high on Anthony Firkser here.
I'll talk about him here in just a little bit. But I really, really think that he has a solid opportunity to fill the hole that is John Newsmith's departure. As far as the wide receivers go, they got the aforementioned AJ Brown, Josh Reynolds. I was a big fan of Josh Reynolds in LA and I think he's a very solid slot piece for them as well as my man got him as my wide receiver to him.
I think he does have a very good year because hey, if defenses want to stack the box against the Titans, go right on ahead because they will rip the cover off of your entire team with either AJ. If you cover AJ, it's going to be Julio. If you cover Julio, it's going to be Josh. All three of those guys have burners.
But then you mentioned it. They have Nate Westbrook and then they did cut Fitzpatrick. So Fitzpatrick's out of town, but they also kept around Racy McMeth. So they kept the handful receivers.
Interesting choice there. But yeah, crowded depth room, but pass Josh Reynolds. I'm a little concerned. Yeah.
Most definitely. And then the aforementioned there can be RB1 and then Darrington Evans RB2. Obviously don't have a boatload of depth behind him. So you never like to say this, but Derrick Henry has been very, very, very, very, very healthy and he's gotten north.
He got like 1400 touches in high school from right now loud and he's just continued to do so. I saw a GIF, not a GIF, but just a picture of his high school stats yesterday. And I was just, oh my gosh. So he's carried that on into the NFL at some point in time.
I think maybe we see a week or two here. We've got an ankle tweak or a knee tweak or something. I mean, they just workhorse him. I mean, more than average.
It's insane. So I think we see something there and they might struggle in that department because they don't have very much depth at the running back room. And then wrapping it up with quarterback Ryan Tana Thrill. You know the name and then they picked up Logan Woodside out of the draft.
And they also have Matt Barkley. So kind of a mixed bag of what you think there as far as quarterback, but I think Tana Hill is very successful. Now I won't go too much deeper into the offense because I have some kind of opinions once we get into the coaching staff is what we might see. Okay.
But part of anything I missed there, anything I left out as far as your out looks for offense here in 2021. Yeah, I would say the offensive line. Obviously the left side's looking pretty solid. There's just a little concern as far as the overall health and depth of this offensive line.
If they suffer a few more injuries, they could be in some trouble. But overall, I think my biggest concern is really the depth behind these top three receivers. You know, I love these three receivers. No question about it.
I have AJ Brown on one of my other fantasy teams. You got Julio Jones. And if Julio Jones can stay healthy, you know, people will talk about his decline in Atlanta. It was really the health.
When he was out on the field, it was no issue whatsoever. He was still putting up numbers when he was out there. So I, as long as they're healthy, I have a lot of optimism for this offense once again. I guess my biggest concerns are really the health.
You mentioned Eric Henry. I am not going to call for an injury, but 1500 yards season, 2000 yards season with no issues. Could see some regression. I mean, he could still have an amazing season and we're still talking about some steep regression here.
So overall, I've got a lot of optimism, but you know, there's still a little lot of time to miss coming from me here. One final thing I will add before we kick it over to the defensive side of the ball. I'm glad you mentioned Julio there in Atlanta. When he did produce, the best year that he produced was in 2016.
This is actually courtesy of Warren Sharp. This man does some of the best shit on the planet, but that was the only time that the Falcons had an elite running game. Yep, every other year the running game was subpar. What are the Titans have?
They've got a pretty damn good running back here. So I think Julio Jones is just going to be just fine. I don't know how much longer he stays in the league. I think at least two, three, four years, maybe a little bit more.
He is getting miles on the tire. The injuries are definitely a concern, but man, I'm back on Julio. He's finally got an offense that I think can utilize him to his potential. So that does it.
Oh, actually, Key rankings courtesy of that aforementioned guy. Our guys over at SFA, Sharp football analysis, go to back room comes in ranked right at the 10th unit in the league offensive line. Obviously a lot of that depth playing into this ranking 19th in the league running back six in the league. That might obviously seem a little bit higher than you were expecting, but no depth whatsoever.
I just talked about it there. And then receiver six in the league. I think that they can definitely crack the top three. The more I look at it.
I just see this team being very, very successful, but new OC Todd downing has to do things and has to be has to improve upon a few. Talk about that in just a second. Moving on into the defensive side of the ball, my friends. Those are all key rankings courtesy of FSA.
SFA. Parter, if you could be so kind, kick things off your defensive league with the losses. Alrighty. So there are a handful guys that you will know.
Obviously they've still got some solid guys on this defense, but I'll kick it off here with Adri Jackson played only three games last year, but he did spend four seasons with Titans was a former first round pick. So he's out of town. Diguan Jones played 16 games, spent seven seasons in Tennessee. He is also out of town.
Desmond King actually the tight and straight for him mid season. Only played nine games and then they let him walk after that season. Jade Vian Clowney, kind of a mercenary these days. They had him for eight games last year.
Now he's out of town once again as well. Malcolm Butler, 16 games, a little bit disappointing stretch he had there after what he did in New England. He's out of town. Darren Bates, linebacker 13 games, Jack Crawford, interior defensive line.
Kenny Bicaro is the other name that you'll probably recognize. He played 13 games three seasons here in Tennessee. He's actually still a free agent. So if things are going poorly for the secondary, maybe they drag Kenny Bicaro off the street and fit him in if he knows the system well.
And then Wil Compton's the other guy, 12 games at linebacker, another depth position there. So a lot of depth guys here. A lot of guys that you will know, but we're kind of declining on their careers here, partner. Absolutely.
I don't think you go to say that any better. Definitely the guys that are, hey, why are they letting them go? Right. Kind of back towards the end here.
Hey, you guys might have saw me looking around there. Bit of a word of advice. I forgot my pen. So here after I get through some rankings and stuff and we get through a different time to grab my pen.
Now word of advice. Wise man once told me you always carry two pens on you every single day, every single moment of the day. You want to know why one for me to sign and one for you. Never have you lost both of them.
I'm bringing up right now. But you got the words of advice. I'll have two pens in a minute. Let's get into with a 2020 stats my friend.
Let's take a look here as far as the defense. Oh, I'm sorry. The key additions. We got to talk about the key.
They do. So they did add a few guys back fill these positions. Bud Dupree, Edge Russia, and we go archery. Edge Russia as well.
Brought in Genoris Jenkins from the Giants. He had in all right year last year, but I think he definitely brings that veteran presence. They needed that in this secondary. Kevin Johnson defensive back as well.
Matthias Farley, safety, BJ Bello, linebacker, and then Chris Jones, another defensive back. So overall, pretty solid haul, but it's still kind of juries out. What exactly were we going to see from these guys mainly? Bud Dupree coming off that injury last year.
He looked really, really damn good. But how well is he going to be? I'm a little concerned that it's kind of the same story as far as what I just said. These losses guys that you may know, but as they get through their career here in Tennessee, it might be kind of on the downhill of the career.
I still have some optimism for Bud Dupree, but a little worried. It's the same story here. Most of them in the draft. They got six guys in general.
Okay. The Farley defensive back out of Virginia Tech looks like he is going to get a media starting role here. Money, rice, linebacker out of Georgia, Elijah, molding defensive back out of Washington, Rashad Weaver defensive in out of Pittsburgh, Brady Bree's safety out of Oregon. And then they also got in the Juan Jones undrafted free agent.
So a little bit of solid pieces there. You know, with some of the blunders we've seen from the Titans over the course of the last few years, it's hard to really tell you. How good this draft hall is. I think a lot of these guys have the potential to be solid depth additions and then maybe even get the starting roles.
Maybe K. Lefarly earlier rather than later, but the rest of the guys sometime in the middle of the season who really knows maybe we don't even see him on the road. Right. That all being said, that is the key additions defensively here for the Tennessee Titans.
Let's talk about those key 2020 numbers. I just mentioned before we dive into the overall outlook for 2021. Now, the Tennessee Titans on defense were not good at all last year. We all know that we saw it time and time again.
They allowed opponents to average 5.9 yards per play. The opponent completion percent was at 67.28%. Their opponents converted in the red zone at a 67.65 clip and they converted on third down at a 51.98 clip. So obviously that red zone scoring is brutal.
The third down, not terrible. Obviously anything above 50%. You don't really like to see, but either way, they definitely were worse than subpar last year and they are going to have to make some serious strides. And if they don't make any strides at all this year, it's going to be another disappointing season for the Titans and Titans fans everywhere.
In my opinion, I hate to say it. I can't answer much else there, man. I am a little worried about the secondary. Most of all, Kevin Bard is the one guy that I have the most confidence in.
Sorry, go ahead. I just finished 2020 stats over there. So getting into the projected 2021 lineups real quick. Yeah, the after mentioned Kevin Bard, deep safety, a Monte Hooker strong safety.
Then the rest of the secondary that for mentioned Caleb Farley, Genore Jenkins and Christian Fulton. Christian Bolton was actually really doggone good and flew under the radar because he wasn't on the field very much last year. I'm not sure if you'd hear from him. So far as the front seven goes, they got Harold Landry, Jeffrey Simmons, Nick Wann Jones and then Bud Dupree.
Jerry's going to steal out how much we see from that offensive line and the front seven. What type of pressure can they generate? They got Jay on Brown behind them and then Rashaun Evans to do linebackers running out the front seven. So another major to write home about those linebackers.
I think overall this defense still kind of continues to struggle. Like you said, partner, there's some of the guys that, you know, their names, but I think they're going to be on their way out sooner rather than later. And do we really see that production from them in 2021? Yeah, I mean, a couple of what I was already saying there.
The only thing I had to add is that I think Bud Dupree should help. But like, what you were saying, I don't know if he gets back to what his full potential is. Even if he's 89, 80%, he should help his pass rush. I still just don't think they have enough depth as far as pass rushers are concerned.
And it's not going to cover up these holes that the secondary is going to create. I mean, if Caleb Farley comes in and he's a defensive player, the rookie defensive rookie of the year candidate, I think the ceiling goes a little higher. I'm definitely not expecting that. I think he's going to struggle in his first season.
But, you know, his ceiling, if he reaches his full potential here, the ceiling definitely goes up a little bit is what I'm thinking here. Most of I think this secondary does have that higher ceiling now, obviously the addition of Genore Jenkins too. They needed a strong veteran presence. I mean, they had a few veteran presence in the past, but I just don't think they were one that needed.
And I think potentially Genores is that guy. So, Dury's obviously still out on the defense, but that's our thoughts and opinions overall. How about the guys over at SFA, Parder? Front seven.
Yikes. So ranked as the 25th unit in the league and the secondary comes in ranked as the 23rd unit in the league. Obviously you get those numbers, blunt to your room for improvement. But not going either way.
I would personally flip those a little bit, but regardless, not good whatsoever. So there you go. That is the defensive side ball. Let's wrap up this team, break down with the entire coaching staff.
He got head coach now returning for his fourth season for the Tennessee Titans. Mike Rabel. Now he was hired to fix the defensive issues there in Tennessee, and so far that has not happened. So hopefully he can get that rock and roll in here this year with the help of new defensive coordinator Shane Bowen.
He was actually with the, he was with the Titans last year. He was their outside linebackers coach taking a peep at your notes over there seeing that. And then they actually also promoted downing the previous tied in coach. Now he is the offensive coordinator as well.
I mentioned just a little while ago. I'm a little concerned about this because Arthur Smith was the offensive mastermind in Tennessee. Deem Peas obviously retired and then kind of things went downhill and now Deem Peas rejoins Arthur Smith in Atlanta. So that's a little bit concerning there.
Obviously with tied downing and bullshame Bowen knowing the entire system, everything on that end of the spectrum, it definitely helps. But they cannot afford to sputter at all. If they do on defense, it is bad, bad, bad, bad news. And then if they sputter at all on offense, which I don't envision seeing, but it's going to put a shitload of pressure on the offense if they cannot get it done defensively.
Yeah, I mean, you have to imagine these guys are at least tied downing. Ching Bowen can certainly change up whatever he wants and it might be a benefit. As far as tied downing, you have to imagine they hired him to kind of pick up where Arthur Smith left off and he doesn't unless he's got some other tricks up. Yeah, exactly.
If he doesn't have any other tricks up his sleeve, then yeah, this offense might struggle a little bit because Arthur Smith really elevated Ryan's handheld's career and put him back fully, it's a blanked him back on the NFL map. So hopefully I've tied down and can pick up right where he left most steps. Speak up revolutions or revolutions. Tutski, shout out Sebastian Luck at Schilfiger Music for what has been decided.
Kind of our official intro song now. It kind of has stuck Strattonites is the name of that. If you didn't know, if you're not a fan of Wall Street, haven't seen it, but I highly doubt if you haven't heard that. So we absolutely love it.
We think it fit perfectly. So every morning you will be getting to just absolutely lose your mind. Yeah. Some strattonites.
Big shout out to Sebastian Luck Music for that intro. My friend will keep it for the time being. All right, let's move it right along. That is the entire team breakdown.
My friend's offensive, defensive and coaching staff. It's time for second segment of the day. The entire schedule breakdown. We are just clipping right along here, my friend.
Time to continue that and let the train steam on down the tracks. Without further ado, let's get into it. First things first, just so you guys all know, if you haven't seen, you haven't drafted your fantasy teams yet. Don't know why you haven't.
Holy shit, you better get after it. Week 13 is the Titans by week. Now we will skip going week by week opponent by opponent. If you are not familiar, if you just new, stop and buy the TTL pod.
What we'll do is give you our full predictions. We'll go by division. They're eight main non-divisional and in the remaining three. And then that generally kind of tends to segue us right into the season window in the entire betting preview.
So let's rock and roll. Actually partner, here's how I'm going to do it. I need that pen for this segment because if I don't have that pen for this segment, I'm going to have to do a lot of numbers. I've got some thoughts on the first.
You already know how my math is on the show. So that all being said, we know they're in the AFC South. That's where we're going to start. Pardon.
Give me your predictions for the Tennessee Titans in the division this year. Alright, AFC South. So obviously, there's a couple of teams in this division that you could probably chalk up at least four wins for these top two teams you have to imagine. And I'm going to do just that.
They did have trouble with the Jaguars last year in one of the games. And they had trouble with the Texans, obviously both games, but that's with the Sean Watson. Without Sean Watson, they should not have any struggles with those Texans. So I'm giving them a crisp two wins against the Texans.
I'll give them two wins against the Jags. I could see the game in week five at Jacksonville being a tough one. But I'll give them two wins there within the division. And then it comes down to the Colts, whatever one believes to be.
The two teams that are going to be neck and neck for this division. And I'm actually on the fence of a split and a sweep of these Colts. I'm going to go with the split. I'm going to go five at one in this division.
Last year they did exactly that. They split. And one of them, if you're looking back and you don't remember the game, you'll see the Colts won 34-17. You say, oh, they're kicking their ass.
But I actually remember that game. And I remember being much, much closer than that score will lead you on to believe. And the Titans shot themselves in the foot a couple of times. And it really, really choked that game.
And not only choked the game, but lost by 17. So that's kind of why I'm a little more on the fence. I kind of like this matchup for the Titans. But nonetheless, I in week eight, it is in India and I will give that one to the Colts.
Three, I think the Colts will still be dealing with some issues. So I'll give that one to the Titans. But wrapping that up, I've got five and one out of the division here for the Titans. Five and one out of the division.
You know, I would not have to disagree with you at all. Pretty much I go every single thing you said. No problem handling the Texans. No problem handling the Jags.
Maybe one of those games, maybe the game in Jacksonville. Yeah, that's kind of what I was thinking too. It is a three day disadvantage of rest. It might be a little interesting.
But I think for their chances to win the division, which I would have them winning this division. We'll talk about it more in the betting preview. But they're going to have to get that done. I think they do think that they split with the Colts.
For some reason, the books are loving the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium this year. And I think there's something to look into there. We'll talk about it some more on the betting preview. But same for me.
I'm going five and one in the AFC South as well. Yeah, I think they have to at least have five because of what we're about to talk about the rest of the season. You better believe it, my friends. So first four of their eight main non-divisional games come out of the AFC East partner.
I'll let you kick it off one more time. What are you feeling? All right. This one's a little tricky.
I will give them a quick win over the Jets. I'll give them the win over the Dolphins. I think I just like that matchup for the Titans. So I'll give them a win there.
That one is in week 17 in Tennessee. If it was in Miami, I'd probably be a little different, but they got a nice four-day advantage there. So I'll give them those two wins. I got to give them the loss to Buffalo.
That is a week six Monday night game. It isn't Tennessee, but I think this Buffalo pass offense is the wrong matchup for this Tennessee defense. I think the Bills could put up at least 30 if not 40 in that game. So give me the Bills there.
And I got to go with a split because this one against Patriots is week 12 in New England with the three-day disadvantage. I'm a little more on the fence than that one. But I overall, I think Old Bill Belichick pulls one out over Mike Raiball. A little rival read between coaches there.
So give me two and two out of the AFCA's partner. Yeah, I think I have to agree with you once again. I was trying to find another angle or somewhere else that I could go. I do think Bill gets the win in week 12.
The Titans come in with a three-day rest disadvantage. That's right before their buy week. So it could very easily not be prepared as they need to be, especially playing the Jags in week 14 after their buy on a seven-day rest advantage. So I think they get that win there.
And then I do think that the Bills in prime time are just unbeatable at this point. What keeps flashing in my head is that image of Stefan Diggs after they lost the AFC Division game, their division game. And he stands right at the edge of the field and watches all the celebration. And he just, he captioned it, using it all his fuel.
And that mentality is what I think the Buffalo Bills team is about this year. And I think they're going to be absolutely sick. So I would give him that win as well. And then, yeah, I think the Jets will be pretty damn easy.
And, you know, if the game was in Miami, much like you haven't give the Dolphins that one, but the Titans do also have a four-game rest advantage there. So I'm going to give him two and two as well out of the AFC East. Next four. My friends.
They have. Yikesie Kepikesie. Actually, if you haven't checked it out, we have actually a future play. From the legendary Joe D'Amico.
He was kind enough after we recorded episode one that airs tomorrow after the live show is over. He was kind enough to give us a couple extra bets. We cashed Cincinnati minus 22 and a half. Sure.
Then. And he gave us two future plays. One at the NFC West and one out of the NFC East. Very, very hyped on.
Both of those actually, the NFC West one is live on our website right now. You can see it in the featured content section of the homepage. Make sure you go check that out as well. But as far as the NFC West goes, that is the remaining eight there for these guys.
I think it's going to be one hell of a sled. I think it's going to be one hell of a one hell of a shot here if they have any chance of even splitting. Let's start things off easy. Let's start things off with the Cardinals.
I think that's going to be one of the easier matchups for them. That is their week one game. It is in Tennessee. The Cardinals are incredible against the number on the road.
And I am very concerned as to what this defense can do against Kyler Murray and all the pieces that they brought in wide receiver wise. I think Ron Delmore might sneakily have a hundred yard game. Nobody might even think about it. So I got to give that one to the Cardinals.
Even though it is in Tennessee, I have to give it to the Cardinals. I just think Kingsbury and Murray are going to be dangerous on the road. The Rams, I got to give it to the Rams. It is on the road in LA.
It's a Sunday night football game. Prime time, Matty Stafford's finally getting some real good prime time games. Now he doesn't only get the opportunity to play on fucking Thanksgiving. So I think he's going to dominate in that game on Sunday night football.
So 0-2 for me so far. Then I'd move into the C-squax. We do. I think that's going to be pretty damn rough as well.
That's the 12th man. Give me the squax in that one and then wrapping it up with the 49ers. What's going on in the squax? I don't know.
It's my new link. How about that? Hey, you know somebody mentioned to me when we're on the show, I just come up with all these words and all this stuff. So I just keep doing that one.
It's me. I just make up work. So then the 49ers, she, Taki mushroom. So that's another prime time game.
Thursday night football. They play some of their hardest games in prime time. Thursday night football week 16 at home. Boy, oh boy, I think that's going to matter a lot for the 49ers in their chances in their own damn division.
So, wow. Sorry, Titans fans. I'm going on for the NFC. Wow, is there?
I am singing similar tunes here. Not only is this brutal that they have to play this division, these are just bad match ups for them. At least three of them. I like you partner.
I'm giving the Cardinals a week one win. And the Seahawks in week two. I mean, we've seen this Titans team. Obviously, they're record-wise.
They started off nicely last year. But first three weeks of the season, not only last year, but the last few years, they started off slow. And like I said, you can look at their record and tell me I'm crazy. They only beat the Denver Broncos by two points last year.
A bad Denver Broncos team last year. Speaking of, we got to talk about the Denver Broncos at the end of the show. Sure, dude. Week two, they only beat the Jacksonville Jaguars by three in Tennessee.
And they beat the mediocre Minnesota Vikings by one in week three. So, I think we're going to see a slower start once again this year, whether it's defensively or offensively. And I'm going to give, and not only that, I think these two teams are just a bad match up for them, especially if they let Russell Wilson cook in that game. He's going to torch this defense.
If they, for some un-goddly reason, don't decide to do that. Then I could keep the Titans that win. But I don't think that's going to be the case. I think we got two wins from the Cardinals and Seahawks.
And much like you, I won't waste too much more time on the Rams. I get the Rams that one. But I'll give them the win over the 49ers here in week 16. I think Jimmy G is not the guy to carve up this Titans defense.
How do you know it's not Trey Lance? That's okay. That's fair. But still going to get the Titans.
That's one because contrary to what I was saying about starting slow, this Titans defense or this Titans offensive team does finish very well. And that one is in Nashville in week 16. And Derrick Henry later in the second half of these seasons has been King Henry, Trakter, Cito, whichever one you want to call him. He has been every bit of that.
And I think we see that again here. So I'm giving them that week 16 game. You said it's big for the Niners. I think it's going to be just as big for the Titans.
That's going to be a massive game for both teams. And I think the Titans get that one. So give me one in three. One in three.
All right. So, one for me, one in three from you remaining three for the Titans. So we give you our full predictions, Steelers, Chiefs, and Saints. It is not an easy sled here for the Titans if you are keeping up here in the ducting as we're going along.
The Steelers game is going to be tough. Now that game is in Pittsburgh, the old Steel City Pittsburgh baby boy, the Titans are coming in as underdogs too. We'll talk about that in the betting preview. But I.
Oh, I think there's got that game last year, 27 24 weeks. I got to give it to the Steelers. The Titans also have a three game rest disadvantage. I got to give it to the Steelers.
I think it's going to be crazy. Both of those teams, you know how they close out the end of the season. So it's going to be a cluster. The Chiefs.
No, thank you. I do not think in week seven that they're going to have any chance. Even if that game is in Tennessee, I see no regression from the Chiefs and the Saints. The Saints is going to be very, very interesting.
That game is in Tennessee. So I'll give it to the Titans, but I think we could see 400 yards from both Panathril and Squintz. Okay. I think it could be an absolute shootout in half.
I'll give them one to two. Okay. I'll save some time because I'm right alignment to it with you on these three. This, like I said, Steelers got them last year in Tennessee.
This one is in Pittsburgh on a three day disadvantage of rest for the Titans. And that one, I'm out of the fence on that one. I could see the Steelers offense. If they're as mediocre as I think they might be, then maybe the Titans get that one.
I'll save some time and overall I'll say they get the one win over the Saints out of these three for a one and two stretch. Like I don't fucking get it, mags. I don't fucking get it. All right.
As always, if you are riding with me. Eight, nine overall. You're riding with mags. You get one extra win in the NFC West.
You go nine and eight. See, here's the problem, ladies and gentlemen. And I think that's why we took up this career. Sure.
And I think that's why we enjoy sports betting so damn much. Because the Titans current season went total is set at nine wins and it opened up at nine and a half. So it's lots of the hook. We're both under it.
Max is right on it. We got a lot to talk about. I guess the season has fucking always because when I tell you the odds, you're going to be like, what the shit do I even do? So we have plenty to discuss there.
But for now, eight, nine for me, nine and eight for Max. She's unbelievable. All right. Ladies and gentlemen, one final pits out before we move into the real reason you guys come here.
We know you guys like to get all the information with the offense and defense and coaching staff. Get up to date. But hogwash, you don't really even care about the schedule. We'll see what the hell happens.
What you care about at the end of the day is cash in damn tickets and you come to the TTL pod on the regular for nothing but stone cold locks and running tickets to the window with the TTL crew. But coming up right now, we have an entire season betting preview. So running tickets to the window all season long on the Tennessee Titans is what we're about to school you up with. So for the third segment of the day, my friends moving right along, keeping the proverbial podcast train steaming down the tracks.
It is the full. All right, my friends, as always, we'll kick things off with going back to the past about 2020 numerals. We'll talk about a little bit of the average line, some shit like that. And then we'll come back to the future only short two days away, five days away when the Titans actually do play.
However, we'll come back. We'll talk about all the weekly lines. We'll give you a wait to really week when pick, even though it's not even way to wait to wait to wait to be able to wait to wait to wait to wait to wait to wait. That's just what it was dubbed when we started these things.
And then we'll talk about some future value as well because there is plenty of it on this team. But right now back to 2020, they had an average line. They're spread of 2.4. They were 2.4.
They were 2.4. Favourites. They were minus 2.4. In 2021, it has dropped down two whole points.
They are now only favored on average by 0.4 points. So something to think about there. Only favored in eight games and underdogs in nine games. So maybe the books do know a little something that we don't know or maybe me and my partner are right on target here.
As far as 2020 goes against the number they had a 7 and 8 ATS record to accompany their 11 and 5 straight up record. Good teams win. Great teams cover. And I think we see some issues again from the Tennessee Titans cover some numbers here again this year.
We saw they won the games. But it was a field goal. One point went two point went. And I think they repeat that again this year.
We'll talk about it here in just a second. As far as game totals go. They had an average total of 50.8 inch. 20.
It is now ticked down in 2021 to 49.1. So nothing drastic. But just a little bit. In 2020, they held an over under record overall of 10 and 3.
They were 6 and 1 to the over at home and 4 and 2 to the over on the road. As a favorite and as an underdog, I included playoffs in here to give you a little bit more because I think these are definitely an area where you can target. They were 5 and 1 to the over as a favorite and 7, 3 and 1 to the over as a dog. So a little bit of extra back in there, including the playoff games as well.
That does for game totals. Last but certainly not least. I've already been looking at them for this upcoming week. I've seen a lot of other handicappers.
I respect in the industry looking at them for this upcoming week. There's some key numbers all up and down Thursday, Sunday and Monday slate. What am I talking about? Build one of those good old fashioned Caesars, baby.
Tennessee Titans and 6, 7 and 10 point teasers respectively in 2020, 12 and 4, 12 and 4 and 12 and 3. So definitely worth an ad from time to time. But you're going to want to be very safe and get them through at least four key numbers if I do say so much so. So those don't think about their, but definitely worth an ad from time to time.
I may or may not already have a little four-legged cooking up. That might have a little five-legged, but I'm already cooking. I'm already cooking. I'm already.
We've been flipping it. I'm already honest. It's a losing half. 7 and a half.
No, but hey, don't put that out in this world. It was nothing. You did that. No, no.
We've been flipping it. You did nothing to do that. But you put it dropped into comments. Who brought the bad juju there?
Not me. Not me, pal. All right. Moving it right along.
Into or back into the future. 2021. Short two days away from the start. Short five days away from until we see these Titans actually play on the field.
In Tennessee, at the Nissan Stadium. That's right. I'm schooled up. I'm ready to go for the season.
Ladies and gentlemen, that'll be instead. Let's dive into the week by week line. Some of the key numbers, key spreads we're looking at. It makes things jump out at us early here.
All right. This one has ticked up. Sure enough. Week one.
The aforementioned game against the Cardinals in Tennessee. They are coming in as three-point favorites. It opened up as two and a half-point favorites in favor of Tennessee. So something about their week two.