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Welcome in to episode 98 of the Talking the Line Podcast, getting so ever closer to number 100, and as always, thank you so much for taking a few moments out of your day to come and kick it with the crew on this beautiful August 9th, 2021. Now we got a loaded show coming at you today, you know if you clicked on the show today already, you know it's all about the Dallas Cowboys, we got plenty to discuss. But before we do all of that, please take a few moments too. Smash that subscribe button on whatever platform you are currently ingesting the TTL pod on.
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You will find the Talking the Line dot com website as well as all of the TTL crews, social platforms and additional content so you can consume all of that. However, and whenever you please. Ladies and gentlemen and beautiful gambling people, everyone in between joining us on episode 98. Once again, I am your humble host, Colton, cold 45, and I can't thank you enough for choosing to stop by the talking the line podcast on this beautiful Monday.
The NFL special editions roll on, but I can't do these things all by myself. Can't ever do a daily show by myself. If you haven't been here before, you might not know, but I got a partner that helps me row the proverbial boat that is the TTL pod gently down the stream. He is also a young man that is more than elated that his white socks swept my cubbies in the cross town classic this weekend got out the brooms.
We were not in the windy city to watch it live and in action, but we will talk about that a little bit too. But enough for me, let's bring in the man, the myth, the degenerate gambling legend himself, Mr. Riley, R. Max, Magnuson.
Parter, how you doing over there today, pal? My man, it's a beautiful Monday on the inside here. It's a little stormy outside. So, you know, hopefully that power doesn't get juiced out here because the storm is coming, but you know, things are rolling along great here.
I'm excited to get into the Dallas Cowboys. Interesting team to dive into this afternoon here this morning, I should say, definitely afternoon, but they got some talent, man. But yeah, for those who are in the afternoon, but yeah, a lot of talent, but still a lot of question marks. So, I'm excited to dive in here.
Yeah, we got a lot of stuff to talk to, talk about. I'm glad you did mention the rainy day outside quite the storm going on right now in the windy city. So, fingers crossed, we don't lose any type of power or anything, but hey, you know the vibes here at the Talk in the Line podcast, making nothing but our own sunshine here and sending those rays your direction, whether you're listening, whether you're watching, you know, the vibes were laying down for you guys today. We had quite the weekend as a partner coming in, told you guys we were not in the windy city this weekend just a minute ago.
We were in the wonderful city of Milwaukee in the Deer District. We'll talk about that later on in the show once we get to our mag sidebar and some of the banter we have before I close it out with my motivation minutes. However, that all in between, we had an awesome weekend. Definitely will be bringing you guys a blog in relation to that.
We're going to do a vlog and put that out on YouTube, but we'll talk about that as well. Some of the things really didn't work with us to only be in the only two there. So, that all be instead. A couple of quick reminders for.
We tell you what's all coming up on episode number 98. If you are usually coming to the Talking to Line podcast for our best bets for all that nonsense, you can still get all of our best bets even though we aren't laying them down. Hey, don't worry about it. You can follow us on the Action Network app.
You can follow me at cash underscore with underscore cold and you can follow my partner at our mags in all caps. We actually both have already put out our picks today on the Action app. And then if you have, maybe you missed it there, maybe you don't have the Action app, whatever the case might be, we also put out all of our picks on the TalkingToLine.com website. So, you can find them all there and we actually make it super easy.
You can bet right from our landing pages on the website. So, you click right on the icon, whatever you see there, it'll take you right to a landing page. You can bet on your favorite sports book. We make it super simple for you guys so you don't have to have a bunch of different things open and trying to remember what we have.
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Outside of that, nothing all too major. We'll get you guys kind of filled in towards the end of the show as far as what to expect. The rest of the week, what to kind of expect as we get closer to the NFL and NCAA football seasons and as we kind of tail into the MLB playoff season here. Plenty of stuff to expect but we'll talk about that all on the end of the show plus plenty more.
So, be sure to stick around and also be bringing you my motivation minutes. Don't if you need a little inspiration, extra motivation for the day, don't skip out on those. Got a little message today on being thankful and having a grateful heart for you guys. So, maybe if that's what you needed to hear, stick on around for the very end of the show.
I'll be sure to bring it to you in my motivation minutes. But for today, you're done with all the band. You're done with all the rambling along. You came here for Dallas Cowboys Insights Analysis, betting preview, fantasy football advice and everything in between that we have been bringing you guys on the Daily Show now.
So without further ado, it's time to get into today's team of the day, the aforementioned Dallas Cowboys. Now, partner, you did mention it. There is a lot of question marks within this team. Sure is both offensively and hugely defensively.
There is a star studded offense in Dallas. We will talk plenty about that in some of our expectations for them but also defensively. We'll also get into the coaching staff, see what we think about Mike's or I'm sorry, Mags old guy Mike McCarthy double limbs there when he was in Green Bay. We'll talk about all of that.
Then we'll get into the schedule. We'll keep all that nice and tight. It's going to look a little bit different if you haven't come into the NFL special editions. The first two segments, the team breakdown and the schedule breakdown are going to be a little bit more tight and concise.
That way we can have a little bit more time for the betting preview and then all of our fantasy football advice. That will be the four segments as always on today's show all pertaining to the Dallas Cowboys. Then we'll talk a little nonsense, talk a little what's going on with the TTL Pod, TTL sports media in general. We'll let our mags dish out of sidebar of the day and then all wrap things up with the motivation minutes and we'll send you guys on about your way.
Hey, I'm a poet and I didn't even know it. So let's get into today's show without further ado, the first segment of the day, ladies and gentlemen, the full team breakdown. Now as always, we will start on the offensive side of the ball and then work our way to the defensive side of the ball and then wrap things up with the full coaching staff. As always, we'll look at some of the key additions and losses.
So we won't skip that. We'll also look at some of the key 2020 numbers. And then once we get through all of that, I will quickly run through the full offensive lineup and then defensive lineup respectively. Then we'll give our takes on those and then move right along.
Clean it up, concise it up just a little bit and then we'll have plenty more time to give you best bets and all of that stuff. Because at the end of the day, we are a daily sports gambling show. Tell me to, oh, that is what we're getting. We're sports betting animals.
How about that? All right. Without further ado, my friends, let's get on into it. Offensive side of the ball.
Some of the key losses for the Dallas Cowboys going into the 2021 season. Nothing major, nothing too important to write home about. They let in total six guys walk offensively and return most of those superstars as I mentioned earlier. Six guys that they let walk were Andy Dalton, Blake Bell, tight end.
Jamise, that's a good one. Jamise, Olawale, fullback, Joluni center, Cameron Irving, left guard and Greg Sinat. He's a left tackle. So nothing crazy there.
Like I told you guys, nothing, no names that you're really going to be. Oh my gosh, I can't believe the Cowboys let that guy go. Now, they did add a few guys via the draft via free agency via the trade market and my partners just about ready to tell you about that. No.
Yeah, about as much as, you know, light weight here as far as your losses are concerned, kind of the same here as the additions go. Some deep depth losses, some deep depth additions. Tie, niche key on the right tackle side of things. Going to be a depth play there.
Jeremy Sprinkle tight end could be the number three tight end. Still going to be some competition there. And then as far as the draft, they went pretty pretty heavy on the defensive side of the ball, did not draft an offensive player until the fourth round, off into tackle Josh ball and the fourth, fifth round, Cine Fajoko wide receiver and then seventh round, they took an offensive guard Matt Farnek. So kind of plug and play it onto some of those deep depth losses.
Not much to write home about. You know, they didn't have to do too much here, but you know, like, I guess I like the deep depth sprinkles on here. Yeah, I would definitely agree with you. Nothing once again to write home about in regards to the offensive ads.
Offensively, it's going to look pretty similar to what we saw in 2020. So what a segue into some of the key 2020 stats from these Dallas Cowboys. Now, as far as yards per play go, they average 5.3. So a little bit weak for all of the big names, but we do know that we lost Dak Prescott in week five to that gruesome ankle injury that we also alive.
I saw it live about lost my lunch. That was definitely something to write home about from last year. That all being said, we'll talk about the entire offense here in a minute, but it's they ran the ball on 38.63% of their plays where they passed the ball in 61.37 across the board. They're completion percent.
You know, they had that rotating quarterback carousel last year after Dak Prescott went out and then Andy Dalton, the completion percentage was at 64.63% across the board. Down conversion percentage. You want to see this stick up into 2021 40.47% and then in the red zone, they only scored about 50% of the time. So you definitely want to see the third down conversion percent and the red zone scoring tick up.
But I think a big majority of that was because Dak Prescott was out and then a lot of the offensive line was out. So we do see that offensive line return to full health in 2021. So once again, what a segue into the entire outlook into the offense here in Dallas. Now as far as that offensive line goes that I just mentioned, they have a lot of Collins on the right side, Zach Martins on the right guard that is Tyler Bladss or I do believe that hard hard name to pronounce their be out as I do believe that he's a center form.
Then you have Connor Williams left guard and then I mentioned to you as I was looking all this up. They have about 15 Trevins, Taylor's, Tevins all over the map. So just so I give this man the proper respect that he does deserve the left tackle for that looks like Tyron Smith. There you go.
So that's the offensive line. Obviously some of those guys are names that you saw on the injured list or out for the entire season last year. They're back to full health. I think that that is going to loom very, very large for the success of this offense across the board.
One of the main things for this offense is protecting their quarterback, Dak Prescott. That's QB1 once again. He's going to be healthy. They're obviously going to keep him off the field in the preseason, let that shoulder heal up, let him get back to full health.
And then Garrett Gilbert looks to be QB2 back and up going into the season. Now that offensive line also needs to open up some run holes and these running backs need to produce. Well actually RB2, Tony Pollard can keep producing at the same level he was, but Zeke Elliott needs to produce much better in 2021 coming off of a six fumble 2020. That was a career high for Zeke and we are not used to seeing that.
Never really saw that Ohio State and did not expect to see that in the NFL. Now also some other skill positions wrapping up the entire NFL, you know, the wide receiver room and the tight ends. Now as far as tight ends go, Blake Jarwin coming back, kind of a little bit of a tight in carousel there last year, but Blake Jarwin back, he got injured within 20, I think week once within 20 minutes, it was in the first game. So very interested to see how much of an impact that he'll be take off some of the heat from this receiver room because this receiver room is star studded.
They have Michael Gallup, CD lamb and once again coming in, roll tide, Amari Cooper. I like this wide receiver room just about as much as I was talking up the Browns and the Bengals. I think they're, I don't want to say underrated, but I think just because of where their team typically finishes, these guys don't get some of the love that they should. And I think that with Dak being back in the lineup this season, I think that that is going to be huge.
Now, as far as offensively, I think this team is going to be in a lot of shootouts again. We saw them in a lot of shootouts with Dak on the field and I don't think that they made enough improvements defensively that we'll talk about here in just a little while to be able to keep Dak out of the Superman role and having to make every single play every single time he's on the field. Now, that's kind of my thoughts overall on the offense part. I know I'm sure you got some piggy back points to some of the things that I said, but overall going into 2021, what are you thinking offensively here for those?
Yeah, we have pretty similar thoughts here, man. I totally agree with you. This wide receiver room as talented as they get. You know, it's going to be seen whether or not this offensive line, obviously they're going to improve if they stay healthy.
It's going to be, I'm curious to see if they get back to what they were 2018, 2019 type production or if they regress a little bit because a little bit of an age, you know, type of pickup here. But I really like the offensive line. Of course, you know, Zeke, I love Zeke, but at the same time, I don't know that he is as big of a producer as you'd wanted him to be for how much they're paying him. All that to be said, I think he's going to have a much better year as long as that offensive line stays healthy as long as Dax stays healthy because when even despite the offensive line, it wasn't necessarily the offensive line tailing off and getting injured that really screwed up Dax or excuse me, Zeke, season it was Dax Prescott getting hurt.
And of course, the offensive line didn't help, but it was really the lack of Dak Prescott there. So I think we're going to see a much better year from Zeke here. Just going to be still, Jerry's still out whether or not it's going to be enough to really verify how much he's actually getting paid that type of that's kind of what I'm seeing here. But I really think of Mark Cooper.
And I think we're going to see a huge season from CD Lam here. He still had both these guys still had really good seasons after Dax went out, but their ceiling was a little bit, it was a lot lower and their floor was even lower than that without Dax Prescott in there. So once he gets back there and stays in there consistently, I think weekend and week out we see CD and Mark Cooper putting up some really big numbers here. I think across the board, this offense is going to put up numbers this year.
I think with that offensive line being back to full health that Zeke Elliott's going to have a return to form rebound year. And not only do I think he will, he has to. Yeah, sure. There's no question about it.
And we'll talk about it a little later on, but I think Dax Prescott is definitely runner up for comeback player of the year. And I think that he's going to have a lights out season as well, which is only going to lead to more production from that wide receiver room that she was just talking about. So I think we see a very, very good offense from the Dallas Cowboys this year. Dax was leading in fantasy points and pretty much every statistical quarterback category before he got hurt in week five.
So I think he picks up right where he left off. But we'll talk about all that fantasy and all that stuff, all the additional value plays on this offense. But where I think the Cowboys are going to get into trouble is they're going to have to rely too much on that offense. And I told you, keeping them in those shootout games and trying to win those shootout games.
And that's because of this defense, we saw it last year. It was not good. They had defensive players saying in post game interviews to the media, what do you expect me to hustle on every single play? Probably something you don't want to hear from your starting defensive backs, but I don't know.
I'm not a head coach or NFL player. So what do I know? I just talk about it. However, across the board, I don't know necessarily that we see a major improvement here from Dallas on the defensive side of the ball.
But before we get into all of that, let's talk about just some of the key losses and key additions. Kind of flip the script here as we flip the script on the defensive side of the ball. Bart, do you handle the losses? So why don't you hit us with it?
What does Dallas have lost? Why is going into 2021 defensively? Yeah, handful losses here. And you know, unlike some of the other teams I was talking about last week where they were trimming the fat, you know, that does seem to be a little bit of what they did here.
They also lost some guys that were kind of contributing even despite the lack of defensive productivity. They lost Alden Smith, played 16 games last year after missing four straight seasons. He only had five sacks last year. So, you know, I do imagine that that's going to be a fillable hole there.
Antoine Woods, interior defensive line, played 14 games. Chidobia Ouzi, we talked about him in Cincinnati last week. He played eight games. Eli Anku, interior D line, played seven games.
Joe Thomas, linebacker 15 games. Justin, March, Lillard, linebacker, played 12 games. So that line back of core, they're going to have to rely on some of their newer guys that my partner is going to talk about to pick up a lot of the slack. They lost Xavier Woods, who was rated pretty poorly as far as SFA coach.
They played 15 games, but that might be an okay loss for them. Sean Lee, linebacker, longtime Dallas Cowboys. He's gone and Tyrone Crawford, interior defensive lineman, also played 16 games. Well, thank you, Butter, for the update on the losses category there.
Yeah, I mean, didn't send out some of the biggest names you could imagine, but the names that they did send out were some of the guys that really weren't producing. So, kind of made sense for him. However, you mentioned it a little earlier on in the show. They went heavy as all can be as far as it goes, either via trade, free agency, the draft, they targeted defenders regardless of position.
It was all across the board. So, in total, they picked up five guys on defense via free agency or the trade market. And then in the draft, they picked up eight guys in total. So, let me tell you about all of them.
As far as free agency and trades go, they picked up Keanu, Neil, safety, Terrell Basham off the edge, Brent Urban, interior defensive lineman, as well as Carlos Watkins, who is also on the inside on the defensive line, and then Demante Kazee, also a safety. Demante Kazee looks like he's going to get the starting spot right off the jump. And, you know, I like these ads, but honestly, nothing that I'm just absolutely losing my mind about by any means. Now, as far as the draft goes, they didn't do too bad, but I'm a little concerned that some of these guys with their big names that they have, they're going to have to depend on them a little too much in the rookie year.
And, with it being Dallas, they run the risk of potentially breaking these guys. I'm sorry, Dallas fans, if you're listening, if you're watching, whatever the case might be, but it's the stone cold on is truth. Now, before we talk about all of that, let me actually tell you about these guys, they picked up in the draft. Big name, Michael Parsons, linebacker out of Penn State, Kelvin Joseph, defensive back out of Kentucky, two names.
If you watch college football, you know those two guys. OSA, ODEZUWA, I hope I'm not butchering that, probably am defensive tackle out of UCLA. It's pretty decent. Defensive end out of Iowa.
Love that big 10 selection. Always love to see big 10 guys making it to the league. Neshan Wright, defensive back out of Oregon State. Great tape on him.
He's actually a very solid defender. I don't know how quick he will get into action though. Jabril Cox, linebacker, transferred to LSU last season, had a great season, picked him up. I think they might have to depend on him just a little bit too much, much like Parsons, but we'll save that for just a minute.
And then, Quentin Bohena, defensive tackle as well out of Kentucky. And then, Israel Muku Amu, defensive back out of South Carolina. So they went defensive back, linebacker and defensive line heavy. They went all across the board like I told you guys.
Overall, I don't necessarily know that that draft strategy is going to save them from last season or save the Dallas Cowboys from what we have known to become the mediocre America's team. They have not been high level even though some of the star studded names. I keep saying that damn word star studded, but some reason this team fails to always be star studded. And I know Mike McCarthy is not the one drafting these guys, but it reminds me a lot of the middle of this last decade of my Green Bay Packers where our offense was star studded, but our defense, you know, we had a couple of pieces.
And then we would draft eight guys in the draft that maybe one of them is successful. And then over time, you know, five or six of these guys are washed up and either on a different team in two, three years or totally out of the league in two, three years. I don't know that we see that necessarily from this Cowboys team. I mean, you mentioned Mike Parsons.
I don't think he has a huge impact this year. I like him down the road. As far as this year, I don't like the acquisitions to really make that much of a difference in this 2021 season. I could see it in two or three years, maybe even after what I just said, I could see a couple of these guys being really solid, but overall, man, I don't see it for 2021.
Yeah. And before we kind of dive into a full outlook there, some of the key 2020 numbers here from Dallas that I don't think really improve. As far as opponent yards per play, they allowed 5.9. I think those high go up just a little bit.
Their opponent completion percentage was at 63.9 4% opponents on third down converted 46.89% of the time and in the red zone, opponents scored 61.82% of the time. So third down, not terrible, but we really got to clean up that red zone there, Dallas, maybe down at least into the middle 50 range. However, you mentioned it, partner, I don't necessarily know that we see a whole lot of improvement here from Dallas. I don't know that this is going to be one that you really want to target even fantasy wise or anything like that, but we'll talk about that too.
They do have a few familiar faces returning to Marcus Lawrence, Neville, Gallimore. That is also Trev and Hill, I do believe on the defensive line and then as far as Tristan Hill and then Gregory. He's ready to go. So I wanted to make sure just so you guys see those.
And then Trev and Diggs, I do believe that is the quarterback. I know Diggs has him. He is one of the lower rated quarterbacks in the league, not a great outlook overall for this secondary. They also have Lewis and Brown on the opposite side of Diggs and then talked about Demante as he picked up via free agency.
He's going to get the start, looks like free safety and then it's strong, it's going to be Wilson. So I don't know. And then obviously in the middle, rounding up the front seven didn't talk about him, but Michael Parsons and then Smith as well. That is Jalen Smith, I do believe.
Yeah. So I think Jalen Smith will have a good season. I think Michael Parsons will have a good season. But I think there's just too much expected of these guys.
Some of these rookie names that are going to be planted in very early or expected to contribute wherever they do lie in the rotation. And I just think they are going to be relied upon way way too heavily for this defense to have any type of success. I mean, we saw it last year. They couldn't stop the run.
They couldn't stop the pass. It didn't really matter if it was a poor defense or a poor offense, a great offense across the board. This Dallas Cowboys defense just wasn't it. Now we'll talk about him here in a second, but they brought in Dan Quinn, new face, new new system.
But unfortunately, a lot of these players from their past don't fit into a Dan Quinn system. So that is also a little puzzling, not really too sure what is going to happen defensively, but in my humble opinion, I don't think we see any improvement here at all. And it might be the demise of the Dallas Cowboys yet again. As far as that goes, any wrapped up closing thoughts that you didn't get out there on the defensive side of all parties?
I mean, not to mention, you mentioned that these guys, some of these guys don't fit Dan Quinn system. Dan Quinn system hasn't really worked out in the past few years, even over in Atlanta, either way. So I really think this team is kind of as far as a coaching perspective. We'll talk about it in a second.
But I think they're behind the bill here. And as you mentioned, it's not looking good for me. I don't hate their front seven here, but I don't think they're good enough to hide the lack of skill that secondary holds because I think that secondary is going to be picked apart. And you know, when I say a little pressure here and there from Lawrence and Gregory, but overall, I don't think it's going to be enough to do anything good for this guy with defense.
I don't think it is either. And actually, it's funny that you kind of mentioned just kind of rankings a little bit in there. Kind of wanted to segue into that as well before we talk about the coaching staff and kind of put a full cap on the team breakdown. I don't think myself either that those few rushes here or there are going to be enough to save this secondary.
And I don't think that the few rushes here are there going to be enough to save the front seven either. And the guys over at SFA think exactly the same. This front seven is coming in ranked right now as the number 23rd, 23rd ranked front seven in the league right now and in the secondary is the 25th ranked. So much like my partner and myself, the guys over at SFA do not have high expectations at all for this Cowboys defense, especially under Dan Quinn.
Now, however, for the offensive side of the ball didn't mention it, but it does bear mentioning their star studded once again, I keep using the term, but it definitely is notable. And it definitely is worthy from this Cowboys offense. Number five ranked quarterback room, number three ranked offensive line, number nine ranked running back room and number two ranked receiver unit. They are solid.
The running backs could even improve from number nine because Tony Pollard was actually the better of the two running back last year as much as you hate to say that. And I think we see plenty of improvement from Zack Zeeck going into 2021. I think he's going to get fed and I think he's going to return to that just nonstop grind it out. Feed me Zeke football that we know.
And I think he cleans up those fumbles too. I think that's going to be one of his keys. So last but certainly not least, let's put a cherry on the proverbial Sunday. That is the team breakdown.
Last but certainly not least these guys need somebody to lead them into battle. Well, that is Mike McCarthy head coach also, Kellyn Moore offensive coordinator and then mentioned him a handful of times later, Dan Quinn, new defensive coordinator. Looks like Dan Quinn's going to be up in the box. He was for the first preseason game, but we'll see exactly what happens.
I mentioned a little bit that some of those guys that they picked up kind of to fill some of the holes of the guys they let walk really don't fit into a Dan Quinn system. And you mentioned a partner Dan Quinn system hasn't been very dog gone good over the course of the last decade. So I don't know that this was a great move for the Cowboys. This might have been yet another bonehead move and another coach that kind of pulled the wool over old Jerry's eyes and you know, the Jerry's got out there.
But the Jerry's also still out on Kellyn Moore. I don't know what exactly we see from him now. You might think, well, cult Dallas offense they produce they do well. Well, yeah, but they should produce a lot better for some of the teams that they play.
They should be scoring a lot more. Now you might have some of the glaring games stick out where they scored 30, 40, 50 points, but those are few and far in between. And some of those games where they needed to score those points, they made a lot of bonehead moves and a lot of that falls on Kellyn Moore's shoulder. So we'll see if we see improvement across the board.
I don't know what you're thinking partner, but as far as these coaches go, these might be another group of or at least group of two guys. I don't know maybe Dan Quinn, maybe they have him in and out, but I think all three guys are potentially on the hot seat with the weight Dallas is right now. Yeah, I agree, man. And I don't love the offensive play calling that we saw last year.
Obviously, you can put a lot of blame on the rotation of quarterbacks. They didn't do a lot to help those guys out. They really kind of stuck to the same thing through another guy in there and hope it was going to turn out differently. Now, of course, Dak Prescott is going to elevate that.
No question about it. But this offensive scheme is kind of living in the past, the 2010s, and before that, if they brought in a head coach that was kind of the new style of things, I think this might be the most lethal offense in the league. No question about it. And like you said, we're still going to see a lot of points, but it could be the ceiling could be much higher in my opinion.
ceiling very could be much higher, but you know, we'll see if it actually gets there at any point in time. But as far as that goes, I could not agree with you anymore there on all of those points. I'll put an official cherry on top of the proverbial team breakdown Sunday head coach Mike McCarthy comes in ranked as the 19th ranked head coach in the NFL right now. So pretty adequate.
I was pretty adequate middle of the pack a little bit on the back end of middle of the pack. And I think that's perfect spot for all double M's and much like the defense. I don't think we see improvement here either. No, I'm sorry, Dallas fans.
You guys might not like me, but I think it's going to be another mediocre Dallas season. And actually there, what a segue into their full season, their full schedule breakdown, ladies and gentlemen, that does it for all of the team breakdown. Let's get on into the schedule. Now first things first, just looking briefly when we first popped it up a few few days ago, first reading through this, you know, this is one of the first teams we've seen that has had a lot of green when it comes to strength of schedule for the guys at Sharp football analysis.
That is who we keep referring to as FAA if you aren't familiar. You know, I think that the Cowboys definitely have a serious possibility when a handful of games here. I threw it again last night and read through a few different things in addition to SFA season preview. I just, it's so hard for me to see the Cowboys not having yet another mediocre season and just struggling to hopefully limp into the playoffs and maybe get a win, but I doubt it.
And I know you might hate me again, Cowboys fans, but it's the cold, honest truth. Now before we get into kind of our divisional opinions, the main opinion opinions and then the other three as far as records go, let me just tell you where they're at, what we're looking at all the way week one all the way through week 18. Kick off the season with a formidable foe. No problem at all.
Kick one away in Tampa Bay against the box. Then on the road, they go to the opposite side of the country to LA to play the Chargers. Then okay, schedule maker said, I relax a little bit. We know we goofy up there weeks three, four and five all in Dallas against the Eagles, Panthers and Giants.
So definitely winnable games there could be three and two after week five. If they get, if they do lose to the Chargers, which man, you go, there's my opinion there, then week six, they go back on the road to New England play the Pats regular Sunday game by week is week seven for the Cowboys. And then they come out of the buy to play the Vikings in Minnesota in week eight week nine and ten both home games against the Broncos and the Falcons. Then yikes again.
They go on the road to play the Kansas City Chiefs. Come back home to play the Las Vegas Raiders and then go on the road three weeks in a row in week 13, 14 and 15. They play the Saints, the Washington football team and the Giants again. Then they go back home to play the Washington football team in week 16, then wrap up the season in 17 and 18 at home against the Cardinals.
And then they go to Philly special to play the Eagles. You know, as far as an opponent outlook goes, definitely winnable games. We said that last season. I'm pretty sure I said that the season before.
And damn near, I might have said that two, three seasons ago. Every year you look at the Cowboys and what they have and they somehow get one of the easiest schedules on the face of the planet earth. Right now as a forecast per start football analysis, they are to face the sixth easiest schedule of opponents. I 150% as I look at those opponents would concur with that just without doing any type of rankings or statistical analysis, stuff like that.
But as I said, just a little while ago, I think there's going to be so many dog on shootouts for this Cowboys team and they were really good in field goal games and one score games last year. And I think we see some aggression to the mean with that even with the return of all their firepower offensively. Now, before we get into kind of our record predictions part or anything you can pull, anything you can say right here off the bat. Well, I mean, as much of what you said piggyback enough of that as mediocre as you know, about half of that, least of the schedule is, it's, you know, a lot of these teams still have some formidable offenses that are going to put up some points on this Dallas defense.
And like you said, it's really going to be can deck out, score these teams. And in some cases, I think the answer is yes. And a couple of the cases I think the answer is no, I don't think so. I think you're very right on both ends of the spectrum there, man.
I was thinking it before I started doing a lot of research and diving deep into the Cowboys and I was thinking that Dak was going to have to do what he did last year. And the more that we talk about it, the more that we look at the opponents, the more that we do this, not only for our knowledge benefit, but for your guys is the more that some of my early season biases are starting to get backed up. And it's like, man, oh man, I hate to see this for Dallas yet again, but the way the cards are starting to stack up on the table, it's looking like a repeat of the last five seasons that we've come to know and love from the old team that reps the blue star on the surface. And not to mention the offense came out of the gates, sports and hot and they still started one and three should have been open for the rabbit out of their hats against the Falcons who were, you know, choked even harder every single game than the Cowboys did.
So, you know, I don't know, we'll see here. All right, we'll dive into the full schedule quickly. We will give you our predictions for some of their record within the division. There are eight non-divisional games that was previously mentioned and then the remaining three outside of that.
That's right. Remaining three 18 weeks, well, 17 official weeks on the schedule this year. And then we'll talk just a little bit about the 2020 schedule, just kind of comparison into 2021 and then we'll get into the nitty gritty, which you guys really came here for, the betting preview all of it for the Cowboys and then our best fantasy advice. But let's stick with the schedule for now.
First things first, partner, I got to ask you, man, and it's been on my mind since we started doing these special editions because we've talked about them a lot because they face a lot of the teams we already talked about. Is this going to be the NFC least again this year? We're going to see the return of the NFC beast. NFC beast?
No. I think it's going to be better than it was last year, but you know, I don't know if we'll have a tag for it like that because I don't think it's going to be an NFC beast by any means, but NFC East. I like that. I like that.
I like that. I like that. I like that. I'm going to roll with that.
I mean, unless they're terrible, I could absolutely see them, you know, the NFC East being the NFC East once again, I think, yeah, a couple of these teams will improve them. That's kind of where my thoughts are in general. You know, I look across the board and I think that the Cowboys should have light work of this division this year. I think that they should win it.
They did win it last year. If I'm not mistaken, watch it. Did I? Oh, yeah, that is right.
Watch it. Seven wins. Seven wins. You know, I think it's going to be a split with the Giants.
I think that's just going to kind of come down to I think they have a strong possibility of getting both over the Eagles. But once again, I could see a split happening. I very well could see a split happening. And then out of all of them, I'm most certain on a split between the watch the football team.
I think that they can limit this Dallas offense. And then I think that their offense has enough firepower to make that defense look a little goofy in return. I hate to say it. I've looked at it a few times, but I could see the Cowboys going three and three in the division.
Okay. I could very well see it. I got, I'm going four. You and I are right aligned with the Washington football team.
I think they split there. I like that defense a lot. And then I think, as you mentioned, in one of those games, their offense outscores them. And I think they sweep.
I'm leaning towards the sweep of the Giants and a split with the Eagles. I can see that flipping. However, the Eagles are both these teams are big as big of a question mark for me. I think the Giants are a little bit more of a better bet that they're going to be a bad team here.
So I've got to sweep of them and a split against the Eagles. So I'm going four. All right. Yeah.
And you know, the more you say that I do like a sweep of either the Giants or the Eagles. I just, I'm not confident. I don't know which one, but yeah, I think you get a sweep and a split. Yeah.
I think you do either way, but I'll side with you there. I would say four and two is all right. I think they could potentially win the division here, but it's going to take a lot for the outside a game for this Cowboys team. They face the AFC West and the NFC South in their main eight games outside of the division.
Broncos is going to be a shootout in my mind. Yeah, I really think it's going to be. That's coin flip and a half for me. That fucking game could end in a draw for all I know.
I like them against the Broncos, but I think it is going to be a shootout. I think it's going to be a shootout. I do think they lose to the Chiefs. I think it's going to be a shootout.
They potentially lose to the Chargers and they get the win over the Raiders. Whether either way, they either beat the Chargers or they beat the Broncos. I got them going to into in the AFC West. Yeah, I've got to, yeah, two and two as well.
I've got them losing to the Chiefs and Chargers and then being the Broncos, you know, I'm not super sold on them being the Raiders, but I will give them that win. I think that one might be the best bet for a ridiculous 45 42 type game on Thursday night football. I'll give them that win, but you know, I'm not sold on it. I'll give them the win though, two and two.
All right. Well, there's the AFC West. How about the NFC South? I think that they get the win over the Falcons.
Dan Quinn gets his lick back old former team. Hey, hey, hey, check me out on America's team. I get the win. There's man.
Ever since we talked about the Panthers, I have not gone back and forth more than any other. There's one man. I think I do too. The Saints, I still am staying pretty low on the Saints.
If you didn't know, we're not talking about them today, but Michael Thomas and not a pretty cryptic tweet. You know, some more injuries are happening. Things are not looking good in New Orleans. I do say so myself.
So I think they think a potentially get that win. Then I think they lose to the Bucks. So yet again, in the South, I got to go into it too. Yeah, I think I'm right there with you.
Definitely was into the Bucks. I like them in that game against the Falcons, you know, in other wild shoot out, but I'll take them there and I'm kind of right there with you. I'm leaning towards Panthers there. And then I don't want, I feel like the Saints might have some early struggles and then kind of figure themselves out once they get to that point.
So I'll give them two wins, but I'm not sold on it. I could see them going one and three out of the South. Very well. And that leaves three remaining games to wrap up all 18 weeks.
Patriots, Vikings and Cardinals. I see them losing, finding a way to lose to the Pats. I see them finding a way to lose the Cardinals. And I see them finding a way to beat the Vikings.
And I see them going one and two in their outside three games. I for the Pats, not offensively. That game will not be one offensively. That game will be one defensively for the Patriots.
And it'll be something goofy at the end. It'll end 23 to 17 or something stupid. Last second field goal or last second touchdown at the clock's expiring. I don't know.
I just see the Patriots getting that win. Okay. That's also on the road in New England. So I mean, that is just in my mind that that game's tough.
Okay. That's a tough game week six. That's tough. I'm flipping.
I can't, you know, I'm not super sold on it. So I'm not going to emphatically disagree with you. I lean towards the Cowboys getting that win. I like where your head's at.
I can't disagree with you too heavily. I think the Cowboys have a little bit of enough offense to get through that defense, whereas I don't love the firepower that the Patriots have to keep up with the Cowboys. So I think the Cowboys can edge that one out. So I'll give them two out of that one.
I like them to beat the Vikings there. Both teams coming out there by week in that game on what appears to be Sunday night. Vikings and Kirk Cousins do not fare well on prime time games. So I'm going to give the Cowboys that one another shootout.
And then I like the Cardinals in a week 17 shootout on the other hand. So I'll give them two and one on that one. You know, the Cowboys have to be the Cowboys at some point in time. And they have to flub up somewhere.
And I think that these three games that they are. So if you're sticking with me, kind of we're once again, kind of on the same page. You know, just a little bit different. It's just a little bit different.
However, I'm right at nine wins. I got them four and two in the division form four outside and then one and two in the remaining three. So that's nine and eight for the season as mediocre at best. And that's under the season when total level talk about here in a while.
What do you think? I had, you know, I earlier on in the day before we started, I was at nine. I just gave myself 10 there, which I guess I kind of flipped on the Saints game with the Cowboys winning that one. So, you know, we'll talk about it in a second, but this is my least sure that I've been on any season.
Yeah, absolutely. All that being said, final couple key points in regards to the schedule before we get into the betting preview because you can already tell we're jumping at the bit to talk about the season total and all the stuff that we love because we are sports betting analysts at the end of the day. We just love NFL to the core. As far as 2021 goes compared to 2020, definitely a little bit easier.
Definitely a lot less, a lot less question marks. Now the NFC West wasn't as high powered as it is going into this year. It was still good, but it just wasn't as good as it looks like it's going to be this season. The AFC North obviously was a little goofy, a little lackluster than it usually is.
The Brownies won the Doggon Division right now, loud. So, I mean, it was kind of the apocalypse last year in the AFC North. Obviously we had the NFC least. They couldn't figure out how to win the division with that.
And then they played the Vikings and the Falcons. So it was, it almost is kind of pretty equivalent in that it gets just a little bit easier into 2021 here. And you know, they have plenty of opportunities to get it done. But I just think that the Cowboys and his coaching staff are going to continue to shoot themselves in the foot as much as I hate to say it.
And not to mention, there's a couple of teams on the schedule that could very well exceed expectations here. The Falcons were not super high in them, but they could bounce back and beat the Cowboys in a shootout. As you mentioned, the Patriots could handle them well defensively. The Vikings, you know, we've both been very low on them, but they could both surprise us.
Yep. And then, you know, one of these teams in the NFC East might turn things around and not bet on that. But, you know, we'll see, man, we'll see. I think it is kind of what you're saying pretty similar to 2020 in many ways.
Absolutely. And then final couple closing thoughts. Last, but certainly not, well, I guess not last couple final. First thing, first thing here, if Zeke Elliott doesn't have a good season, it's on Zeke Elliott.
And the reason why I'm mentioning that now is because some of it does have to do with this schedule. And when we cast it right now, the Cowboys are facing the ninth easiest schedule of rush defenses. So Zeke should have more than enough opportunities to absolutely get bursted wide open. That all segues into this offense should have more than enough opportunities to do what they need to do.
It's just going to come down to if this defense can make the stops and they need to make the stops and allow these Cowboys to win the shootout games because that's what it looks like it's going to be. And I have no doubt in my mind that's what it's going to be. And they don't even have to be like a top 10, top 15 defense. If they're the 20th best defense, that might be enough.
I think it'll be enough for sure. I think it'll be enough. They don't need to be high power. They just need to get the job done.
Last but certainly not least, definitely worth noting because there are a couple spots here that the Cowboys are going to struggle in as far as game timing when it comes to rest and prep, my friends, very, very important from the guys over at SFA. I love that they put this in here for every team. They have four opponents that they're facing that has over a week to prep for them. And they only have one opponent that they're facing that has less than a week to prep for them.
So not great as far as a prep advantage goes there for the Cowboys. So that's a little something to think about. It's going to be some short turnaround weeks here for the Cowboys was them playing a lot of those prime time games. Then they have two rest disadvantage games and also two rest advantage games.
There's nothing to write about home there as far as rest goes. And then they play zero games on a short week road game and then they play one game off a road Sunday night or Monday night football game. And just so you guys do know that is the Monday night football game or the Sunday night, no, I apologize, the Sunday night football game against the Minnesota Vikings on to Denver in week nine. So some of the key things to be of note there.
I mean, they're looking good in some areas, but as far as the bye week kind of be a good thing for them, not looking great this year. And then as far as them having any type of prep against some of the key opponents that they're going to need to be not looking great in that department either. I would like the timing of this by week, but as I mentioned earlier in the show, the Vikings they play the Vikings in week eight, both teams have the week seven by week. So not an extra advantage there, but I do like as far as injury wise, looking your wounds, healing yourself off of that second half run.
I do like that, how that placement is concerned compared to someone seems to talk about having like week 12, 13 by weeks. So, you know, maybe a little bit of an advantage to compare to some teams, but we'll see. You're talking about as far as the by week goes. Yeah, like as far as the timing of it within the season, not so much, you know, as far as that week's opponent, I just mean as far as I like having the by weeks that seven eight range as opposed to later on in the season.
Got you. Yeah, maybe if you're limping into the by week, you got a little bit more time to fix some of the glaring holes that you have. But one problem with the coaching staff didn't have too much luck fixing the glaring holes and they just kept trying to fit square pegs into round holes. But as neither here nor there, we've already talked about all that.
And that officially does it for the entire schedule breakdown. Let's get into the good stuff. The stuff you guys come here for. We are a daily sports gambling show, my friends.
It's time for the entire Dallas Cowboys season, Ben and preview. Let's get after it. And as always, we will look at 2020 before we dive into 2021. First, the ATS record and the over under record for the Dallas Cowboys in 2020 and some of the keys trends and numbers in regards to that in 2020.
They had an average line. They were underdogs of 1.8 points. Now flip the script a little bit here going into 2021 and they're favored by 0.3 points on average, favored in eight games this year and dogs in nine games this year. But we'll talk about all that in the weekly betting line segment there too.
They were five and 11 ATS in 2020 with a six and 10 straight up record, one and six ATS as a favorite four and five ATS as an underdog home and away splits weren't anything to write about either. They weren't very good wherever you put them. Three and five ATS at home, 0 and 4 ATS as a home favorite and three and one ATS as a home dog. So maybe walk that statement back just a little bit.
They were decent as home dogs on the road. They were two and six ATS, one and two ATS as a favorite and one and four ATS as a road dog. So not good at all for them on the road. And you would actually expect to see better numbers, especially coming off of that 2020 season where there was no away crowds that you had to battle, right?
Very surprising to see that they were not able to have a little bit more success against the number, especially in the underdog spot. 24 ATS really surprises me, especially when they went three and one at home. That all being said, moving on into the over under. Now they had an average line in 2020 of 48.4.
It has ticked up just a little bit here, probably because of the return of Dak Prescott and how well he started last year, average line in 2021 of 49.6. And we will talk about the game totals here very shortly as well. This is also the highest average in 2021 over the course of the last four seasons. So are the books trying to trick some people in playing too many dog on over?
Or is this Dallas team really going to be in those shootouts that we're talking about here? Nonetheless, they were 10 and six overall over under and it looks like they're going to be an over team here again this season. They were seven and one over under at home, five and three to the under on the road, four and four over under as a favorite and five and three to the over as an underdog. So I think they're an over team here once again this season and I think we see it happen in a lot of those spots as an underdog.
And I think teams come in wanting to beat America's team. That's their Super Bowl and we're going to see those shootouts again. It might even be another seven and one to the over at home this season in 2021. That was exactly what I was going to say, my man.
I mean, I'm glad you mentioned that as far as not being a great over under team on the road despite the lack of home crowd. So I'm a little bit curious to what we see from this offense on the road. Having said that, like you said, seven and one is not out of the question at home again. Absolutely.
I think that's going to be one of the spots that you're going to want to talk to this Dallas team in. So keep an eye on it. If you don't follow us on the action app, you better fucking make sure you do so you don't miss any of those Dallas Cowboys overs if we do decide to play it. But also, hey, just check out the TalkingTheLine.com.
You got to follow shit maybe and get the app. Just hey, everybody's got a website browser talking the line.com. And if you can read English, you'll see all the nice tabs there. I'm telling you, it's super easy.
We got it all set up for you. So certainly not least before we dive into 2021 here, you scream, I scream, we all scream for teasers every single Sunday in the football season. I sit firmly in front of the couch as the great Doug Kazerian talks on the Daily Wager and I build my own teaser as they talk about some other places that I might put in. So for my benefit, but hopefully for you guys too, because you love a teaser, let me tell you a little bit about how these Dallas Cowboys were last year in six, seven and 10 point teasers respectively.
Now, we've been talking about a lot. Few of the last teams that we talked about. Hey, target them, stick them. You're trying to do a 10 point teaser, not always the best odds there.
You need an extra leg, get you some plus odds. Put that team in there. That was Cowboys may not be one of those teams. Six point teaser, 11 and five record as well as the same 11 and five in seven point teasers and then a little bit better in 10 point teasers, 12 and four.
But be careful. I think those fours were some of those ones where you couldn't get them all the way down through the key numbers and he's like, yeah, that's fine. They should be able to cover those. Just be careful when you're putting the Cowboys into any teasers.
Just some of those spots when you see those 11 and five and 12 and fours, those are those ones where you didn't get them down through enough key numbers and kind of screw the pooch, if you will, that being doused. Yeah, there's going to be a real specific spot for a teaser for me on the Cowboys because there's going to be some games where they put up 28 30 points and they still lose your teaser for you because that defense gives up 40 points. Yeah, and that's not something I'm looking forward to. So there you go.
There you have it. Be leery of the Cowboys in your 2021 teasers. All right. That's everything from 2020.
You guys are chopping at the bit. I've been shopping at the bit since we started episode number 98. Let's take a look at 2021 here. Now across the board, I told you guys they're favored by about an average of 0.3 points.
So nothing crazy there, but they do have good handful of underdog games, good handful of favorite games, eight favorite games, nine underdog games. And as far as just a general outlook goes, there's not a whole many spots that I'm running to the window at this time in general. I'll obviously run through them all here real quick. And partner, if you see anything or hear anything rather that kind of jumps out at you, something might have some value, you can more than welcome to stop me, but I'll just kind of super speed or run through the weekly betting lines.
And then we'll kind of talk about maybe some stuff to look at and then oh, obviously the way to early week one pick. Now told you already they're facing the boxing week one. They come in at six and a half point dogs and then week two, three and four. They are all right.
I apologize week two. They are on the road again to the Chargers, one and a half point dogs. I think that's very reasonable. One and a half points cross country trip week one week two Tampa Bay to LA.
Then week three, four and five, they're all at home. They are favored in all of those games. Six and a half points against Philly, five and a half against Carolina and five and a half against the Giants. Then right before the buy in week six, they face the Patriots as plus one and a half underdogs.
Then come out of the buying week nine as minus four. I apologize in week eight as two point dogs against Minnesota in Minnesota. Then week nine against Denver at home as four and a half point favorites. Then week 10 and 11, both underdogs coming in as five and a half point dogs in week 10 to the Falcons.
We saw that earlier on a couple of week or so ago at home in Dallas. That seems a little. That does seem so I think that might be five and a half point favorites in week 10 at home against the Falcons. Then this seems pretty dog on right seven and a half point dogs against Kansas City on the road in week 11.
Then week 12, 13 and 14. They come in as five and a half point favorites at home against the Raiders. Then three and a half point dogs on the road in New Orleans. Then it is a virtual pick and plus one and a half point dogs right now against the football team in week 14.
Then week 15, they are one point favorite at home against the on the road against the Giants. I apologize and then close out the weekend or the season week 16, 17 and 18 as five point favorites against the football team, one and a half point favorites against the Cardinals and one and a half point dogs against the Eagles. Like I said, I don't know about you guys, but just running through that in my mind. There is nothing or no numbers on that page that are making me want to absolutely run to the Dallas Cowboys.
Not even any really of the underdog numbers, maybe potentially three and a half in week 13, but the Saints could be scrapping for their proverbial lives at that time and something could very easily end in a one point game, not a one score, a one point game. I do like the two points in Minnesota and week eight coming out of the by. I think they'll have more than enough time to prepare and we all know that these Minnesota and Dallas games are always highly contested. Not to mention, I didn't mention earlier, Mike McCarthy coming out of the by, not a ton of success historically.
No, not really. I don't know the number, but I know I mean shit, I was with my Packers for a while. His bi-week success was not fantastic. Yikes.
Okay. Well, yeah, then in that case across the board, nothing that's really jumping off the board. I really feel like I need to hammer in at this point in time. Yeah, I mean, I might be interested in that Chargers, the Chargers in week two on the road there.
Kind of how we mentioned, I think they might struggle offensively on the road and compare to what they might do at home. I think they might be some of these home overs. I think so. And as you can kind of see, I think the books are pricing them or setting them pretty dog on accurately.
Now, you know, they're on the road week one and two. Both of those are set at 52 right now. And then they drop down because I think I think that week one and two might go under 52. They might have trouble scoring.
They might, they just might have trouble scoring right off the jump week one. And they might be some shootouts. And then week three, four and five, they drop the number down to 49 and a half, 49 and a half and 48 and a half. So I think those first two weeks, just from what I'm gathering, looking at numbers, no line movement, no money movement, I ain't seen shit yet.
That's what I know from handicapping. I think they're going to drop those down and then you're going to see three back to back to back over back to back to back and weeks three, four and five against the Eagles of Panthers and the Giants. I think it's just going to be three fucking shootouts in Dallas and it's, it's going to go over 49 and a half to eyes and 48 and a half. I'm not, I'm, you might be spot on those that might be spot on those early right now.
Right. You might be spot on that week two number. I'm, that's one I'm not sure of. We'll see what the Chargers and God was look like week one.
But I think you might be spot on with that. I, I can't see that week one game going way, maybe not way under, but you know, definitely under 52 on the low end of the spectrum. The very lowest one they have is actually week 18 closing out the season against the Eagles 43 and a half. So maybe they're thinking Dallas might have the division locked up or one of the teams have the division locked up.
Maybe these two are going to be the bottom. It's going to be kind of a cluster fucked up a game. I don't know what to tell you, but that's the lowest and then the highest that they do have as well is a 55 and 55 is actually against the Chiefs and week 11 in Kansas City. So I think that could be a shootout too, but I don't know, we all know Arrowhead as one of the more hostile environments in all of the NFL when it comes to stadiums.
So having a full capacity crowd back in action, it could bloom very large for the Chiefs making a deep playoff run once again. So there you go. Some of the outlooks for the game totals, but I think as far as 2021 goes, the Dallas Cowboys are going to be a total play team. You're probably going to want to stay away from them against the number for the time being probably all of 2021 unless they surprise the shit out of us actually actually do something against the number, but I don't think they do.
I don't think so either. There might be. I'm sure I'll have at least one or two games where I think they have a clear advantage over a team and I think they absolutely what they're asked, but I'm right in line with you are Barnard. Show enough.
Well, there you go. Weekly lines and game totals. Let's keep it moving and grooving with another total, but for the season, okay, the season when going over that Dallas Cowboys, if you do it just a little while ago, you heard us say our predictions. I saw personally, I'm under, but let me tell you about it here first.