Ukraine: The Upcoming Winter War

Published: 2024-11-18Updated 2024-11-19: Maps and references added.Here’s the summary in southern Donetsk where the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (AFRF) have made considerable advances over the last month or two and where they are trapping the Armed Forces of Ukraine:Now, the fronts moving from the eastern Zaporozhe (to the south and east of the above), back to southern Donetsks, up (northward) to Pokrovsk, then to its east norwards up the fronts finally to Kupiansk:[Zaporozhe][southern Donetsk][Pokrovsk][Toretsk - wide view][Toretsk - detail][Chasiv Yar - wide view][Chasiv Yar - detail][Siversk][southern Kupiansk (east of Okslo river) front][zoomed out central and north Kupiansk fronts showing the AFRF on the eastern bank of the Oskol diving the territory into two.][Kupiansk city — AFRF penentration of the city’s urban area occurred around 2024-11-12][Kursk. Note the smooth shape. All of the “limbs” of the invasion have been pushed back and concentrated at its core.]or support this work via Buy Me A Coffee or Patreon.SourcesCollapsing Empire: China and Russia Checkmate US Military, Kit Klarenberg, Kit’s Newsletter, 2024-10-29Commission on the National Defense Strategy:“Congress created the Commission on the National Defense Strategy in the Fiscal Year 2022 National Defense Authorization Act as an independent body charged with assessing the 2022 National Defense Strategy. Its members are non-governmental experts in national security. The Commission released its final report on July 29, 2024. RAND contributed analytic and administrative support.”* Report, RAND Corp, 2024-06-29* Executive Summary, RAND Corp, 2024-08-22Europe is not enough, if the US stops helping Ukraine the war is over, Stephen Bryen, Weapons and Strategy, 2024-11-14“Incidentally, the plan for the Kursk operation was cooked up by the British, but it did not contemplate a stalled operation and failure to reach key objectives, particularly the Kursk nuclear power plant.”About 51,000 Ukrainians Have Deserted Armed Forces This Year, Kyle Anzalone, Natylie's Place: Understanding Russia (originally Libertarian Institute), 2024-11-11The Battle of Kursk, YesXorNo, 2024-08-10The Rout of [the AFU in] Avdiivka, YesXorNo, 2024-02-23Putin Tells German Leader That Ukraine Peace Deal Possible, Kyle Anzalone, Antiwar, 2024-11-15New Electric War Missile Raid On Sunday - The Putin Pause Passed, John Helmer, Dances with Bears, 2024-11-17Russia hits Ukraine’s energy infrastructure in huge drone, missile attacks, Al Jazeera, 2024-11-17Joe Biden - one foot in the grave and he wants to take the rest of us with him, Gilbert Doctorow, Gilbert Doctorow, 2024-11-17Why Putin won't go nuclear following ATACMS decision, Ian Proud, Natylie's Place: Understanding Russia, 2024-11-18Is Biden Trying to Start a War with North Korea?, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, 2024-11-17“Given the flood of apparently false stories published by the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal in recent days — e.g., Musk met with Iran’s UN Ambassador (now, strongly denied by Iran) and Trump called Putin — it would not surprise me that this is just one more piece of propaganda in a seemingly never-ending US psychological operation.”Col. Jacques Baud： WW3 on the Horizon in Ukraine？ - Israel'\''s Downfall [JlzO02NwSbY], Alkhorshid interviews Baud, Dialogue Works, 2024-11-18Russia WON the War. But Can It WIN The Peace？ ｜ Prof. Glenn Diesen [YSOY4icGfzE], Lottaz interviews Diesen, Neutrality Studies, 2024-11-15Help for a community member: Obtaining the audioDOWNLOAD it.Copyleft: CC0 Get full access to YesXorNo at yesxorno.substack.com/subscribe