汪诘杂谈 | 疫苗能彻底终结疫情吗?情况比你以为的更复杂 episode artwork

EPISODE · Feb 3, 2021 · 12 MIN

汪诘杂谈 | 疫苗能彻底终结疫情吗?情况比你以为的更复杂

from 汪诘:科学有故事(主打)

在大多数普通人看来,疫情能否彻底结束,取决于疫苗的有效率,更专业点儿的说法是“保护率”。但是,这个认知其实很浅,因为在流行病学家看来,疫情能否彻底结束,并不只取决于疫苗的保护率,还有三个极为关键的变量,也就是:感染者基本繁殖数R0值、无症状患者的传染率、疫苗的接种率。

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汪诘杂谈 | 疫苗能彻底终结疫情吗?情况比你以为的更复杂

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