Warsh, Weekend Trading & the $300M Hack: Crypto's Inflection Points

Recorded April 23, 2026. This episode was recorded live via X Spaces - audio quality varies in places.In the second CF Benchmarks live X Space, Head of Research Gabe Selby is joined by Kraken Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo, CF Benchmarks Head of Product Thomas Erdosi, and Research Analyst Mark Pilipczuk for another packed markets discussion. The team breaks down Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation hearing and what a shift away from forward guidance could mean for rate volatility. They dive into Strategy's accelerating Bitcoin purchases - now at a 16-month high - and whether the NAV premium can sustain the buying machine. The conversation turns to CME's landmark move to 24/7 crypto futures trading from May 29th, and Kraken's acquisition of Bitnomial, giving it the full CFTC license stack that brings regulated perpetual futures to the U.S. for the first time. A deep dive into the Kelp DAO's $292M bridge exploit opens up a broader discussion on AI's dual role as both threat and defence in DeFi security. The team closes with their Q1 factor performance breakdown and a look at the key catalysts ahead.Chapters:00:00 – Intro & Team Welcome02:27 – Warsh's Confirmation Hearing: What Did We Learn?05:58 – Killing the Dot Plot? The Forward Guidance Debate09:07 – Why Less Transparency Could Backfire on Rates10:06 – Balance Sheet Reduction: Tough Talk, Tougher Execution12:19 – Strategy's Bitcoin Buying Spree Hits a 16-Month High14:52 – NAV Premiums, STRF & the Sustainability Question18:00 – CME Goes 24/7: A Watershed Moment for Crypto Futures21:40 – The Weekend Gap Problem24:27 – Kraken's CFTC License Stack: Spot, Margin & Perps Under One Roof26:21 – Perpetual Futures Go Regulated in the U.S.29:31 – Will Perps Eat Fixed-Term Futures' Lunch?31:51 – On-Chain Innovation: CF Benchmarks Oracles & Tokenised Indices34:15 – Deep Dive: The Kelp DAO $292M Bridge Exploit38:36 – DeFi's Hidden Counterparty Risk Problem43:00 – AI as Defence: Patching Vulnerabilities Before the Hackers Do44:19 – Q1 Factor Performance: What Worked & What Didn't48:14 – Week Ahead: PCE, GDP, Fund Flows & the Clarity Act52:28 – Closing Remarks