Was Q3 GDP Rigged Just In Time For The Election? Ep. 206

* Yesterday we finally got the release of the initial estimate for Q4 GDP * The Atlanta Fed had originally come out with an estimate of about 3.8 and had steadily reduced their estimate * They got down as low as 1.9 before ratcheting it up a couple of times and their estimate was at 2.1 when we got the official release * And the number came out at 2.9; not only much higher than Atlanta Fed's estimate, but much higher than the consensus forecast at 2.5 * I am very suspicious of this number * This is the strongest number in over 2 years and it comes out less than 2 weeks before the election * Of course one of Donald Trump's issues has been the weak GDP growth, which has averaged just 1% for the last 3 quarters * All of a sudden it's 2/9? * Does anybody really believe that suddenly the U.S. economy in the fall of 2016 was 3 times as strong as the last 3 quarters? * I dont' think so.  I don't believe that for a second * I do believe that after the election when we get the revisions we will get a downward revision to this number * But, even if this number were real; even if it holds up * If you average the last 4 quarters to get the entire year, looking back, you're just below 1.5% for the entire year, which is still extremely weak growth * Once you look beneath the surface of this 2.9, it's very easy to see how they rigged it, to use Donald Trump's expression * Not that it's some kind of a conspiracy * Look at these numbers - there was a 10% spike in exports - this the biggest gain in exports in 3 years * It's not in manufactured products that we're exporting, where you've got some high-paying jobs * It was primarily let by a one-time surge in soybean exportsOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy