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EPISODE · Nov 7, 2018 · 55 MIN

Week 11 Preview

from Stanford Steve & The Bear · host ESPN, Chris Fallica, Steve Coughlin

Sanford Steve and the Bear react to the week 2 CFP rankings then make their Week 11 picks, including a steamer! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Nov 7, 2018

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Week 11 Preview

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The underdog is howling This is steadfast and the bear. Oh, yes a home team getting points. What's better than that? Week 11 that's right week 11 also week two of the college football playoff rankings bear How we feeling on this fine Wednesday?

We're doing all right now. I don't get on a plane this week, which is a welcome At this time of year how how fired up or lack there is the crew to go to Boston You've been there in a long time. Yeah, but like people that don't like Boston and now like they're still celebrating the red socks Like that's gonna get annoying. That's your misconception right there about BC It's not you got a lot of New York.

You've got a lot of Philly. You know a lot of Northeast It's it's not just like this Boston red sock self-expedriates like it's not all that you got a good a good mix there You also have a lot of people that don't even realize that the show will be in that city that I would agree with that I would agree with but on campus will be there there there yeah, and shout out to the Eagles Chestnut thrill hitting that over already. I was gonna say you're catching that one which is which is nice Unfortunately the dookies got your canes last week to help us out there Yeah, well, I mean for your team We got a little work to do on a couple others on it. Yeah, well we got a great route and Monro with a huge Exactly South Alabama they're touchdown favorite on the road this week.

They still got a Louisiana We'll just call them Louisiana not you la fayette or Louisiana la fayette Louisiana they got them at the end of the year So hopefully they can win one of those two and that'll get the over Missouri the outright win so that's a little sketchy now Yeah, but well you might be able to work yourself into a situation where money line parlay last game of the year You can head that off well that's what I think I got to do with Maryland this week It's exactly it. This is it and I said that at the beginning of the year that was this game This is the game so we could touch on that back And we have a little fun with some money line parlays and stuff like that money line picks both hit last week um But we've gone back I've had some guys on the internet reach out and tell me how well I've done in the noon say wow Oh, wow, so I got to go back by the way I can't read pause that don't don't pause the podcast but just pause you God love the person who went and like went back through with your start times Yeah, and look that looked up that how great you have been in noon and kick off This podcast is for people like that Yeah, they're doing their homework and someone brought up to me as well about how like the last certain number of games And I've picked underdogs like more than 15 points or something. I'm like five and ten or something It's like they pay we are people pay attention damn it. They're doing ourselves scout They are you know, so I appreciate that we can only get better from what we learn and there's only too many hours There's only so many hours in a week that is correct.

I discovered that last week the hard way all right well last week's over Oh, I'm I'm going for this week I want to look at the noon site this week to give it to give the people one because I want to discuss the rankings that came out last Line with you because I know you do not like some of the stuff we've we've seen from the committee So a couple questions, okay, but you got it you got a noon pick I got it I do have a noon pick I will preface with this this is the toughest week of the year for me in terms of finding games I can't find many underdogs to latch on to I Had a hard time coming up with four games as of right now when we're we're recording this and Wednesday afternoon that I really like One of them isn't noon on Saturday. It's a team that I was very strongly against last week And now they're home and they're laying eight and a half or nine at home against Wisconsin That's Penn State right I still think Penn State is a really good team Bad situation awful spot last week against the Michigan team hell bent on revenge tough first half Wisconsin now We hinted on it before the year about Wisconsin that suspensions and now some injuries and Warner Brook being out that Maybe under on their season one total would be the way to go But I still think Wisconsin going on the road now You got Penn State it's early another week to help heal up how the defense just got run over at times last week They fought for a while but ultimately just often couldn't get anything going into a really good Michigan front I think their their offense finds it a little bit easier this week and while Hornet Brook has him in great The fact he's not gonna play you got calling the freshman coming into play now while a lot of people don't think that's a downgrade I think it is it's still a freshman hasn't played much football You saw him really struggle on the road in the one game you played I think at home Penn State coming back off of that Poor performance of the of the things that I saw that kind of stuck out a little bit this week I think it was one yeah without a doubt By the way this line I believe was three at the start of the year really in the look at headlines to the season I brought this stuff over here a lot of stuff like that I wanted to get into yeah Look at you just consider that for a second look ahead line of the year was Penn State minus three and Penn State now It's three losses hasn't been the team a lot of people thought they were same for Wisconsin. Yeah, and now it's nine so Yeah for sure and there's a bunch of other thing Georgia down there Oklahoma was 11 and look ahead now. It's 19.

No names got beyond it was three and a half now. It's 14 and a half Oklahoma was 11 now it's 19 or Tennessee was favored over Kentucky minus one now Kentucky six and Notre Dame was seven now Would you rather have Tennessee this week of Kentucky won or lost last week one That line of weeks one because you know the reason why would be the least would already be wrapped up Yeah, so really big spot for Pruitt in the vials this week if they could get that one that would be like a season that's That's like when it's going to a bowl game. All right I'm gonna go back to team that burned me last week three and two Is our only loser at the noon slate and that's urban Meyer and the Buckeyes have a question for you Do you think during that bi-week Ohio State was looking ahead of Nebraska to this game with the Michigan State? No Me neither me neither But here's the deal with Ohio State Understand Michigan State leads a country in rush defense.

I think urban and Ryan day are smart enough where they're not gonna try and Run the ball because they haven't been able to this year I think they're gonna go their strength with Wayne Haskins I think they're gonna throw the ball they have the guys to win on the outside I think they want to try and get this game as up tempo as possible And I know I know Michigan State is great as an underdog I just think from a town perspective here Ohio State is leaps and bounds better than them I think the defense will be fine against the Michigan State offense. It's a noon kick It's not like a night game in East Lansing I know Dantone like you know he'll play it off like he doesn't love this role. He absolutely loves more than Especially against Ohio State. Yep, and but Ohio State's done alright.

I want to say at East Lansing It's when it's in Columbus years ago. They were a big favor and only one by one I mean your name is just a head to yeah, yeah But I'm gonna lay the three and a half with Ohio State I think talent over lies everything and if this is I say I still think has everything to play for and we'll touch on the rankings right here They're at 10 So I think this is a spot for Ohio State where they take it and get it roll disclosure Well, I did not see the times on all these games. I did not realize that this was a nooner. Yeah, I am in agreement unsolicited agreement here I Ohio State was one of the four that I had written down as well run defeat I was a few is our defense of Lee.

Yes, and without felt and Davis I just don't know if Michigan State has the offense to be able to exploit some of those issues that Ohio State has in the back Seven, I'm with you. Oh eventually they're gonna put together I don't think they've covered the last five weeks Eventually, they're gonna put together a game that kind of resembles the sum of the parts and they're gonna play well We'll see if I often finally got it going against the brassica slow to start Mm-hmm, but I don't think that what you're gonna get from Michigan State offensively resembles anything close to Adrian Martinez in the brassica. No, certainly not more in Purdue. Exactly and that's that's the main the main I'm with my point series.

Well, so Ohio State it is Ohio State is at 10. I want to touch on rankings I want to go up to the top obviously all those teams moves up I'll shoot move down. We'll touch on LSU at seven in a bit, but I noticed Michigan is ranked ahead of Georgia. They are what do you think about that both teams control their destiny?

I was Georgia wins out therein Michigan wins out therein right as a right now though But I was surprised a little bit surprised to see Georgia behind Michigan. Okay, if you look at efficiency ratings Yep, all three of Georgia's units offense defense special teams are rated in the top 10 nationally Okay, so you can make an on-the-field case right there that Georgia is a better football team you look at Georgia's best wins right now on the road at current number 11 Kentucky versus current number 15 I believe Florida 15 16 whatever away from home. Yep, it's two better wins than anything Michigan has Okay, so I'm gonna answer you with this if you're looking at the committee just is watching teams and saying you know what? I've all tell you know what I think they look better than Georgia.

That's fine and perfectly fair But I think if you're looking at resume which would include the wins Georgia's got two better than Michigan's best and the rate stats The efficiency stats makes the case for Georgia's wall. Does it ultimately matter? No But just just curious how both of like tangible things you can look at on a sheet of paper point to Georgia and the committee has Michigan wants and this is what I you know You throw at me last year all the time with the teams that I wanted up there with Wisconsin You know and I said you know drop them when they lose and eventually they did and they didn't make it which I Which was my whole point the whole season, but this is what I understand when people say eyeball test Okay, Michigan eyeball test over Georgia Of course, Michigan's gonna have the eyeball test because they don't play as good at teams as Georgia plays So yeah, when you watch them, they're gonna look better than Georgia looks So this whole eyeball testing needs more explanation and I think they should just say it when they're asked especially about Michigan and Georgia Oklahoma Oklahoma still has a couple trips. They go to work in Kansas.

They go to Kansas or they get Kansas at home this year They would go to Kansas. Yeah, no, no, no, no, they have Kansas at home. They remember last year Baker with the birds and all that was great Wonderful, so I've a trip to Morgantown And there's really ranked three spots ahead of the Mountaineers. I'm a little bit surprised that there's three spots ahead of West Virginia Why I get why I think you look at some of the games in that they played in the big 12 West Virginia just went to Austin and won mm-hmm West Virginia went to Lubbock and beat Texas Tech a lot more convincingly and soundly than Oklahoma did got you Alabama Doesn't get part in a freak injury.

I think that wins the game. Mm-hmm I think you have those two things now. I know West Virginia did go to Ames and get absolutely annihilated and Oklahoma did go there, but I don't know if it's as clear cut We kind of hinted on it a little bit that yeah, Oklahoma's defense. It looked pretty good They played TCU and Kansas a two really crappy offenses.

Yeah, and last week it was like oh wow we've seen this act before in it I'm not so sure that Oklahoma should be three spots again They're gonna play in Morgan down in a couple weeks and there's a chance they could play again in Arlington for the big 12 Title, but I was surprised to see a three spot differential air Are you I don't want to say surprise. How do you look at I think the? Committee has given a way more benefit to the big ten in ACC than they should you agree I don't get the love affair with the ACC coastal. I mean the Atlantic rather No love affair with the coastal but except for people claiming pit now as a win, but hey, you're You're you're convinced you're gonna you're gonna sell me right now the NC State BC and Syracuse are top 20 teams I was talking with Brad Edwards before about this genius.

Yes lots more than you and I combined correct you can go down the college We'll play off rankings from 11 through 21 okay and say In talking 11 they're overrated UCF 11 and they're overrated Syracuse 13 They're overrated NC State 14. They're overrated Florida 15 over rated Mississippi State 16 really are overrated BC 17 State 18 Texas 19 Penn State, Iowa 21 really Compared to what we normally would expect out of a top 20 team all those none of those teams really resemble what we're used to seeing In terms of that but yes the ACC Atlantic getting that love surprises me And I guess that couples with the with the big 10 to get have what five the top 21 that was a little surprising to me as well considering how Wisconsin's been a major disappointment. He's been a major disappointment Michigan State's been a major disappointment correct If NC State was gonna play by the way how about tying NC State together with the team to talk about before how about that? NC State in West Virginia played in that game in September how big could that wing potentially event or loss be for NC State Virginia?

Yeah, you're right. That's a great point and they're not gonna reschedule out no we can't like That's gonna happen we still never see even the bear our budget we can't get that same We get like a non-sanctioned ballgame or something. We're still gonna need to find a guy We're still gonna need to find a a pawn in front of a corner word on December first all right get the word out What was the big 12 title game? If NC State was gonna play UCF this week in Dallas take the home crowds out of it What do you make the line and who you picking?

What do I make the line? Oh gosh? You see you have an NC State in Dallas. I'd say I'm looking some efficiency ratings right now Let's see you have 12 offense NC State six offense UCF 57 defense on the side of his head No, I'm actually I'm not a high-level shooter paper right here and see state 61 defense.

So it tells me Yeah, and see states got the better offense by no change C State minus two. We pick it I probably take UCF me to meet no doubt about it. Um, so you want to ask me the other questions? Are you going there yet?

Well, it's yes. I know yeah Yeah, so we talked about this like jumping off point and bear out a little homework for a week and I Asked bear to talk to his people out in Vegas and get a line because we were talking about the group of five Um, or what is what is the American conference call them? The p6 p6 all right and a lot of talk this week about a Fresno State and UCF and what did your homework about to be sir courtesy of my good friend Vinny Malio low one time Vegas bookmaker Now it's not point. I asked him what Fresno State and UCF would be if they played on a neutral field this week because I was Talking with you with some other people and just really surprised that UCF was 12 spots ahead 11 spots ahead of Fresno State and I think you can make a lot of arguments that Fresno State is better If you look at power ratings like SAGRIN S&P plus FBI Fresno State is better than them in all three of those rankings if you look at efficiency metrics Fresno State is one of six teams in The top 25 nationally both offensive and defensive efficiency so that there are arguments to be made that Fresno State is better got you and Mr.

Malio low said he would make Fresno State a three point favorite of UCF Wow So I feel I feel somewhat vindicated for the abuse that I have taken by making a suggestion that Fresno State has an argument To be the best group of five team now, of course that being said But a point tonight and lose it boy He's home Friday night Friday night. Yes, I'm sorry. I got excited because that it of all the games this week That's the game. I'm looking forward to the most real you will find me in my hotel room Friday night in Boston locked in the Boise Fresno Late East Coast.

I don't care. I'm watching you're staying up. I'm watching with you That's a site nobody needs to say actually we can do what we did a couple years ago And he just hang out in the bar there we go. That terrible Colorado Washington Yeah, um Fresno State should make state champion t-shirts.

I'd buy should I buy one and I get people are all they lost to Minnesota Question yes, how many got how many people on the committee? Do you think know what happened in the Fresno State? So zero come on zero you think they know you think they pop the Fresno State Minnesota game back in and solve Fresno State throw Interception in the end zone on an unbelievable play by Winfield in the final minute of the game You think they know that you think they can even name Marcus McMarrey and Jeff Allison you think they can do that Maybe people you playing at a pack 12 school and there are people who claim East Coast West Coast by I don't pick this is an example of that I don't nobody on the East Coast knows anything about Fresno State and they are really good for ball team Yeah, stay champs. I think and they're eight and one went to UCLA and absolutely night later in the room It's more so than Cincinnati did from the American speaking Cincinnati more on them later.

They should be ranked They're in one with one. We only lost that overtime loss winner. Yes. Thank God Yeah, that turned the season around for me by the way I'm ever since then I'm 72 on the board like 11 and 3 in the column that one game right there did it for me All right last question before we get to the picks who's the best three-loss team in America best only look at my All right, Florida, Mississippi, Florida is right.

There's no way. I have a pick Your you want to know who it is? I You think so I was a I don't think because their losses early in the year team without party quarterback They're a much different team with perdiate quarterback offensively than they then they were well The three in the lost column is a three losses with pretty what they've lost once I think No, I wasn't sure if you came in the second quarter or second series a game at still water Okay, and they rolled since then I love that there's your answer best three lost in the country Iowa State I can't agree with you all right. We got I'm a homer a really bad.

I'm Washington. Yep. I am I am because I'm as frustrated as I am with them as anybody I can't imagine with their fan bases how frustrated they are they make their season a couple weeks They sure can and why do I you feel on if they if you had that season when total But wasn't it released offshore somewhere early? I thought it was somewhere like eight and a half with huge juice.

Can you imagine sweating that right now? No? No, no, no So three lost team, you know what I want to put up there and say if I know the team right below them and they've I think there are darn good team and they've had two rough losses and that's to Penn State two weeks ago and Purdue last year last week Iowa. I think that's a fair statement because they did beat me I was it early in the year.

Yeah, that's okay. That's a fair I think that's a really really good football team and they're given they're given a lot this week to the By the way, how about that Northwestern can lose this week to Iowa which double-digit dollar They probably should be Illinois sink the boat go to big 10 championship game at 75 And we got a change we got to change the conference we do and this not only does Everyone made fun of the big 12 that whole one true champion And then they brought back the conference title game Yeah, but the way they're doing it is right you put your two best teams in the conference title game for the regular season Too best teams but you're guaranteeing one of those two teams wins the title and you put yourself in a better position whereas In the in the ACC you're gonna get Clemson is what a 24 point favorite against Pitt as long as Clemson doesn't stumble Huge favorite repeat pack 12 title games gonna be a joke And the big 10 you can have Michigan looking to make a college football playoff statement at 11 and 1 and they'll be a rematch against a 75 Northwestern team. Yeah, that's much rather see Michigan play Ohio State again or whoever wants to be in second in the in the big 10 Easter much rather see How you got even know the second best team in the ACC would be is it BC is it is it sir? Cuse is an NC State?

I know It's tough one but the divisions it's time for to get ready divisions one big conference If you want to keep your divisional rivals as they are now and have the other teams rotate it off the schedule That's fine, but division designations are totally rooting these conference championship games Alright, that's our take on the rankings our noon pick more picks after this And then in a big-time steamer condo pick it you can bet your condo on back Back good for the people it's good for the people that again last week was a little Teotyotic we had some technical issues in different locations and we had one last year last week. It was a loser It was a loser so we saved you some money last week, but he's back and he's checking in and he's going to the SEC West Okay, and he's taking the number one team in the country given 23 and a half And of course he is coach Jimmy D is on the tide roll tight What do you think no defense in the country is allowed for you were touched down as a Mississippi State for passing Touch down and went to his at least two touchdown passes every game So look if you were to play the game I guess this would be the way I would play it because Alabama does come out and get ahead and Mississippi State can't run who knows what's gonna happen when Fitzgerald starts throwing the ball Yeah, that's gonna be a problem. Yep. Yep.

Um All right, so you got your steamer condo pick to start things off here. I'm gonna go first bear I'm gonna go to historic nipper stadium Saturday night. I looked up the weather because this is when you know that time of year Yes, box or back I think this stuff kind of matters especially when we're talking about a fraudulent seven-year-old team that was the USF Bulls They are going to store a nipper stadium. They're catching 14 and the Bearcats come in as hot as anybody I mentioned before they should be ranked Tough loss at temple, but other than that they've been as impressive and I would say great I think they were the first team to hit their season win total over they might have been Hawaii I think why why you might have been the same Um, but Luke's pickleman like I heard people from Ohio State saying they would do anything to have him back as Dc Like good for him It's gonna be 20 around 22 degrees at kickoff of this game between the Bearcats who should be ranked in the Bulls I don't shouldn't be ranked.

I don't should never have been ranked I don't think USF wants any part of this game since now these defenses been unbelievable USF has given up over 40 points a game in their last five contests and for the year They're averaging giving up over 440 yards For the Bulls defense especially in the running game We can explain and They probably gave my worst loss of the year destroying my mitties from Navy Wow that was the wrong size took me about two minutes And then I came realize that that was a loser. Yeah, and it'll probably will be the same way this week with Navy going I've you see after I'll poorly you see it while you see poorly Defensively how poorly they played the answer to and seven a big deal They bounce back, but I think Navy just to touch on that game. I was at that game. Yeah, total It's a lay, but I think Navy could score.

I think maybe could score in 20s And they keep you see up out of the 50s. Yeah, yeah We go long possessions. Yeah, I think they could do that they always have one of those a year when you're not expecting it too So that's that's a little different put getting back to that give me Cincinnati minus 14 Saturday night historic and percated Touching on Cincinnati and I said it before this is not one of the best cards to go betting At least a CS and to borrow a borrow a line from my good friend Gil Alexander who got if you're betting a T s this week You're the you're the square. I don't like a lot of games But I think there are a lot of money lines here with a lot of big favorites that I have a hard time thinking They're gonna lose you can probably get a money line in all these games.

Yep Syracuse, Clemson Eastern Michigan, Oklahoma Cincinnati Dwayne Marshall, Nevada, Georgia, Missouri, Nebraska, Appalachian State, FAU They're all big favorites and I think they will probably each of those teams should win the game So I think if you take a few of those teams and or all of them or all of them Or I put them in a money line parlay risk whatever you want to risk to root to win whatever you want to win And try and just have some fun this weekend, but not go too crazy because I'm not interested in the light teams Did you just ride a lot of over 13 one two three four five six seven eight 13 13 money line parlay there's a 13 team favorite money line parlay right there about that Laying some big numbers all right That's what much that's that's betting advice number one This is how many please put that in the column is one of your I Shit, I wonder if the money lines are up here there there were word count actually that'll be great I'm gonna have to look and see if they're the money lines up on these games yet. I'm sure there are perfectly definitely Perfect, I'll put the put the money line to the money like how to put in the calculator $100 to win 14 One of the games I didn't one of the games that are in there that I do like is Georgia you do I think I like in the 14 and a half. Okay. I wonder how Auburn's gonna score and I know they a little bit of momentum coming double digit come back late last week Somehow they won the game But I think the fact that Georgia had that little bit of a break after the LSU loss came back played well against Florida Went to Kentucky played well Yeah, you could worry a little bit about a let down off of those two games But I think the fact that swift is now healthy.

They're playing more guys The offensive line is getting healthier the defense is starting to grow with it with the new new starters from this year I Like all of that together and I'm not again It's just you're probably like saying who is this guy hosting with what's he this week because he's picking those teams with a Minus number in front of it. I don't even know who he is, but it's one of those weeks and I think I Take Georgia by the way You got the top seven and the eight people are all at least 12 point favorites The top six are all favored by 14 points and more the top four are all favored by at least 17. It's one of the Who's the biggest breath of loose out of those teams this week got the top four yeah top four yeah top four top five I'm six Alabama minus 24 against Mississippi State Clemson minus 20 against my seat Well, I'll nugget started 2016 that's two seasons there have been 22 games were 18 favored by 20 points or more has lost outright Clemson Virginia Tech has done it twice the other team to do it twice. It's just last time a top 20 team was an underdog Bigger than this on their home field 1996 Arizona State 19 Gaining two-time defending national champion Nebraska zero what a game that was I remember watching that in Knoxville It was the same day as Florida, Tennessee, Whirlpool go for it on fourth down.

I kill you to cross. I'll you to ring I forget what I think was I kill you middle touchdown boom ball game over later that night was the breast I will never forget being a freshman in college. I think we played at Wisconsin that day New game fly back the night It was a Fox Sports West Nebraska Arizona State game and I'll never forget watching that defense that night just completely Destroy Scott Frost in the brass golf fence and saying to myself we have to play this team Like it was Pat Tillman running around Right now running around pull yeah, I forget five automatic that team so good and I know people out east and youngsters don't even know I love that God would a team what a team fun to us on devil's were that here? Incredible incredible team that was that close to Roseville went to over a hushday Anyway, I do remember that game and that was destruction if BC could ever do that this week holy moly that would flip One other one other note on that like we Kirk last week in our show brought up the fact that you got these teams that are in the top Of the rankings that aren't having necessarily felt pressure watching state struggled against Cal Mm-hmm.

Tucky lost West Virginia. He went out on the road one show Like the top five pressure is real you go back in the playoff era pre November AP top five teams favored by 14 points or more Huh 128 and five in August September and October okay November 44 and 6 Six losses and not pre November anymore. I'm not anymore. So there been six games in the last no It's it I don't know if I don't want I'll ask you what do you know what the six games are in the playoff era?

We've had a top five team as a 14 point favor to more lose Oregon Now I was it that was 12 Yeah, shoot and Arizona game was pre November. Yeah, September and Thursday night playoff So what is that for your 14 15 16 17 November November losses top five team 14 point favorite more Ohio State last year in Iowa Louisville and 16 gosh, it's crazy to think that team was a 16 point favorite at Houston right now And then when they lost Wow 2016 Michigan Iowa 2016 Clemson versus Pitt that's the one I was 2015 Ohio State versus Michigan State And then 2014 Auburn was a 23 and a half point favorite home against a number lost Wow, those are your six top five teams losing that and that world so you're saying there's a chance So I want to know you know the old game day commercials were heard crazy thing one of those weekends were crazy things can happen Doesn't look like it's one of those weekends, but you never know all right Did you give a pick? Yes, I gave George somehow we got from Georgia minus 14 and a half that all right you're up All right, perfect. I'm gonna stay in the SEC I'm gonna go to a team that hasn't played a home game since October 6th That is your Texas A&M Aggies haven't played a home game since October 6th took out on the P2 Kentucky that night They need a home game right about now Yeah, and that's exactly what I said noon kickoff Eastern Oh miss comes in with one of the worst defenses I've ever seen I can't believe we had a South Carolina last week No business with that game.

I think this is just what the doctor ordered for a and m. Oh miss horrible defense They're giving up over there a yard shy of giving up 500 a game yards over 210 on the ground I think Traving on Williams runs wild. I think a and m is funny. I was looking at some of the numbers like time possession I was watching a and I'm game last week and I think it was it Right here in the job and they they don't the other team doesn't get the ball And you can thank Kentucky for not running a play on the other side of the field for a large Yeah, but this so I think that mixture of a and I'm coming home Oh miss horrible defense a and m tough loss last week on the road coming back home get familiar a and m minus 12 I'll lay the 12 against almost I could certainly see that might that number might go up to slide.

Yeah, I was like it's gonna go to 13 and a half The other game this week that I was looking at that I feel Somewhat good about as good as I can feel about anything this week is used in laying four and a half against temple You wonder how much that game last Thursday night took out a temple rock on him's dead Again, really tried to gut his way through it. Who knows there's no way he's 100 percent right now after that game You still laid an egg against SMU last week. You come home all over getting healthy off the loss last time you're on that field You in veris, South Florida You still control your destiny to get to the the AAC title game feel like a lot of good reasons to like Use in this game even though the temple team's good and there but you saw you see up put up a huge number at home Against them Houston's got a better defense and UCF offensively. I think they're right there with them If you four and a half seems People short to me, but I'll take you all right I'm really interested to see the temple like everybody watch temple UCF last week and a great Thursday night game And temple you could just tell was not afraid watch that a rough and that refinos last week You little dog my favorite restaurant on the college tour and it was so depressing getting text from everyone in Baton Rouge last week There were the red fish red fish barbecue shrimp right out the spin allis cut never stop I was my man rough and good.

He is all bad was he sweating. He was he was sweating pretty good But that's our guy offensive line exactly shout out to rough and love him miss refinos ran a landry walk on the whole crowd Walkers was lunch. Yeah, of course it was a profit rate defect was pretty good Then they had like the cajun case of the year. Yeah as well.

Yep Brantic I get another one. Yep, and there it is. It's ready in five minutes man. I need bad planning on me I did my trips early in the air Baton Rouge.

I'll be back. Sorry, but All right moving on what where are we? Well, I gave you my we're right. Oh temple temple.

You see temple was really Not afraid of that you see I've defensive show like they just kept attacking You know, they were I thought it was you know on the road It thought maybe they'd play keep away a little bit, you know with armstead running the ball and they just kept going They stayed in attack with the whole time interested if they try and do that against Houston You know like that's because I wonder that I think you see his defensive front might be able to get a little bit more pressure That's I'm saying so and then run game like you said that's it's it the tempo of that game is very interesting because I mean Houston plays As fast as anybody in the country and shoot they've been they've been as good as anybody so Houston What's that minus four and I have okay? All right? I have two others. I know Notre Dame has been horrible This is very simple.

This is off the eye test What was it against pit huge right number? Yeah, I mean historically as a double digit Maybe you favorite didn't cover at home. They've been not good everything to play for everything to play for senior day And I look at the other side and I talked about him numerous times before the season They were the biggest wild card in the country to me for you know And I just if they're gonna go to Raleigh and NC State who talked about it nauseous podcast I were not impressed by them. Eventually states gonna put 47 Okay, and win by 19.

Why can't know like green book is you know There's so much better than what the wall pack had this year And this is one thing I was gonna say with the eye test and this is and I Previous years I've probably been one of these people these people that just keep saying Notre Dame 2012 like you haven't watched Not completely different you can't say that you just can't say it's so much better It's not even close how much better this team is so I'm gonna take the home team Like I said senior day whether not gonna be as a Florida day Let's just say that and self-man and you know obviously 93 we do it's on the show remember 93 You are remembering 93. Where were you in 93? I was actually that day I see Miami had a home game at the Orange Bowl against Brian Forte and records That's really I remember watching the end of Florida State Notre Dame We open the press box in the print the press box Do we work it for whoever is working for that day On the stack room and I remember watching the end of the Florida State on the orange ball press box TV I remember we were for I remember watching game day earlier in the morning What is this guy's guy pretty cool? Well, I watch the show in the hallway Hall of Fame I believe it was I think you're right for ball of fame.

Who was I rooting for that day at the time Miami still? Like was kind it in it So I wanted Florida State to lose which they did then I think the next week Miami went up to West Virginia Robert Walker now when the years beat the canes and then in the all-time Inside information just feel just tell your friends and family game of Eternity Arizona Fiesta Bowl money line against Miami and 29 nothing later. It was it was over so yes, I'm a swarm I mean, I do well on Arizona No, it was good to have two of those games in my in my tenure year The last game of my tenure at Miami was that Fiesta Bowl And then the end of my freshman year was the Cotton Bowl against Texas where my I was like a three-point favorite over Texas I just kind of told like this is not gonna happen. It's gonna be ugly.

It's gonna be bad Um, so there's some reminiscence. Yeah, that was never an end of following week BC went to Notre Dame and won, right? Yeah Speaking of 93 with nuts. You talked about Florida State.

Yeah first time since 1982 Well that the Knowles were another dog in three straight games So this is like before see last time they were throwing three seconds was before they were really far to stay Wow Yeah, I'm gonna ride the lightning here with Notre Dame everything to play for I think they're Head and shoulders above blackman played last week for Florida State. I don't like that mix I think Notre Dame destroys Florida State's offensive line. It'd be curious to see though the last three times Notre Dame is taking the field against the power five team Where Western was tied at halftime Stanford. They were up by a touchdown When they down a point against pit or up a point was a one-point game I believe it happens seven I think so last three last three games against power five teams at halftime the games have been in doubt They continue to start slow somehow Florida State's defense decides to stop someone and it's a game and Florida State remembers I have athletes who knows but I have a hard time seeing Notre Dame losing home to Florida State.

You're up, sir I don't have anything else I like in terms of that but I have a suggested playful They're chapters you're gonna love this. Okay. I believe this week or last week or recently I believe it was Caesar's Reposted odds to win conference titles. Oh, okay.

I think it is worth taking a little bit of a shot Okay with USC to win the pack 12 at 8 to 1 Here is why all four of those games in the South have three losses correct Utah just lost their running quarterback And they have Oregon this week and they go to Colorado. Oh chance to lose one of those games. Absolutely Arizona State's got UCLA they go to Austin Well, they'll probably lose and they got territorial Cup in Tucson It's our Arizona State will lose one of those games correct Arizona goes to Wazoo They'll lose up there and they have the Arizona game USC They got Cal and they got UCLA There's a really good chance USC is gonna be sitting there at 6 and 3 as the only team in the pack 12 South with three losses They would draw from the North Washington who is hardly world beaters this year and Wazoo They've already beaten you're gonna get it plus 800 on the money line if they reach back to the title game No might be worth a little bit of shot. All right, get it out there people USC The Trojans to win the pack 12.

I have one more. It's pretty simple. It's Oregon State Stanford has no business given 23 and a half points to anybody Oregon State's not even rice maybe rice tried coming back last week. He did they tried Yeah, I don't know about rice We're gonna have too much information on Stanford team But those those intricate Stanford blocking schemes up front the average like 3.2 yards per carry this year not pretty and then last week It's not pretty either But I just I don't think they're 23 and a half points better than anyone in the conference So Oregon State in Palo Alto, which would be a huge massive crowd I like to be over there money line money line give me my best being all voice Colorado Against against the Cougs Last time they were on this field they blew a 31 3 lead to Oregon State who think we're still gonna get under two and a half They're gonna be good But in a week where I had a hard time latching on to a dog Give me give me color by the way back to USC Could you imagine the SC fans if they are 75 with a with a lost to Notre Dame in the final game with a regular season?

They go to the patch 12 title game and win and they're eating five and they wind up in the Rose They're gonna be so irate because they want like changes galore in the coaching stuff And they got a team of last three years won the Rose Bowl and they repeat his patch 12 chance You talk about conflicted heavy going crazy that would not be pretty. Oh, wow. What is this gusty? All right, what is it?

You keep looking for money lines, and I'm gonna roll off some preseason conference title odds that I found just went through the standings and Why do 75 to one to win the pack 12 before the year? Wow? Pit was 60 to one they're not gonna win the ACC, but they were 60 to one you toss eight eight to one to win the Mountain West West Virginia eight to one to win the big 12 Iowa State 25 to one and I haven't playing in the pack in the big 12 title games That's pretty good. Northwestern was 51 to win the big 10 Cincinnati or Bearcats 75 to one where they win They win in Orlando at the airport next week.

They're gonna be in the game Buffalo 10 to one to win the Mac. I might know somebody who has that ticket by the way next week Buffalo What Buffalo at Ohio you and Athens that is a great mid-week game and we're recording this podcast on Wednesday tonight? Ohio you goes to Miami, Ohio and Slice favorite there might be some people rooting for Miami of Ohio to give Ohio you that second loss Which gives buff all a little bit of a buffer and doesn't make next week a must win where then they would just have to win It's only green the week after that and then I want information about information and Georgia Southern was 15 to one to win the Sun Bill Yeah, tough loss last week. Yeah, that's a Exactly now they got a I was on a platter who they got this week.

Yeah, I was Think I think choice like minus one or whatever. Yeah, they are Eagles already did as good a ticket tickets in the mail Sam I don't know Northwestern I guess no, I'm gonna ride my pirates East Carolina Have you seen him? Yes, I watch the UCF game I'm in the truck and like why is it Mackenzie Milton playing and why did like nobody know any of this and then I watch the game And seeing this guy run around over the place like this guy. Yeah, whole nailers.

Let's go pirates I need some ECU gear. They got the old pirate back that thing looks hard. So you give me Jeff Blake old Yeah, peach ball Atlanta Fulton County Stadium gets NC State give me that anything better. No chance You know what you know, what's better?

You know what's better this morning at the gym and poop started last night They were showing Penny hardaway highlights with the old Memphis state basketball. That's just memo Memphis It's like a pyramid it's a pyramid state with them on the front of the Jersey just Awesome. I hate the fact that I just memphis. Yeah, just the Memphis state just brought even though Memphis is in the state It isn't it?

I mean, it's a state. It's like the state University of New Jersey record. Correct. All right, so 40 40 point dog I looked at Michigan.

I'm not gonna lie. All right for the big my Can you think you can do it again? Yeah, is he gonna do it again? Yeah, he's gonna do it again?

Yeah Hey Clemson could have done a lot more last week. Yeah, by the way and people people asking about Clemson and are they as good as they are This Trevor Lawrence came back that way for us game. He's been a fully healthy number one nationally offensive efficiency number one nationally defensive efficiency Yep, it's all you need to know. How do you feel right now about your your group of five CFP five versus the field?

Uh, Alabama to repeat for my Alabama Clemson Ohio State in Oklahoma. I'm real good I need those team one of those teams to win a title I feel good obviously no name in Michigan and Georgia or my if they win it that makes me a loser So if people want to beat those teams again, Oklahoma magic I can get all four to play off That's what happened the first year that the first year that Chris Andrew did in South Point every team from the five Why did it make in the playoffs? I was at the winner a winner before Before it was a winner. All right, the big Mike happy recap I am going Cincinnati minus 14 Texas a and M minus 12 Ohio State minus three and a half Notre Dame minus 17 and a half Oregon State plus 23 and a half user the Georgia minus 14 and a half Ohio State minus three and a half of the match Yep, Penn State minus nine and Houston minus four and a half and Colorado money line and a 13 team money I'm a 13 team money on partly in USC to win the patch 12 at eight to one and see this week I'm sure there will be God.

I still can't believe accelerate beat me on Saturday I was that was just the the story of my Saturday. I'll be put it with with the travel to Ann Arbor Breeders Cup Saturday with the classic. We just lock on on. There was a lot going on a lot going on All right, I think that's gonna do it.

You got anything else? Boston here you come drive us dinner Friday night. Oh, we don't know where we're going Friday I know where I believe we're gonna let me show on Thursday North end. All right, that's the plan.

We know we're still up I go that wherever I go. All right. Just want to keep it sure very good. Shout out to all the people again in Baton Rouge last week for Text me and while in me.

You're welcome. That was pretty sure. That was fun. All right.

Uh, take us out What were your last week? What do you want here now? 35 13 and one and here I am 36 25 and one and I feel good about myself and you are just so that's what 35 36 71 71 38 and two were public were up. We're up like 34 units between the two of us pretty good kidding me So with that mind the less you bet the more you lose when we win See you later people

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This episode is 55 minutes long.

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This episode was published on November 7, 2018.

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