EPISODE · Mar 13, 2026 · 16 MIN
What do rising geopolitical risks and crude moves mean for the USD?
from The MUFG Global Markets Podcast · host MUFG EMEA
With the conflict in the Middle East set to extend into a third week, Derek Halpenny Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to Andrew Mitola, Director in FX Corporate Risk Solutions in New York about three scenarios for how the conflict unfolds from here and what the implications for the US dollar would be based on potential future moves in crude oil prices. Derek also discusses the central bank reaction function to possible inflation pick-ups and what to expect from the central bank meetings taking place next week. With USD/JPY close to the 160-level is the MoF in Tokyo ready to intervene?
What this episode covers
With the conflict in the Middle East set to extend into a third week, Derek Halpenny Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to Andrew Mitola, Director in FX Corporate Risk Solutions in New York about three scenarios for how the conflict unfolds from here and what the implications for the US dollar would be based on potential future moves in crude oil prices. Derek also discusses the central bank reaction function to possible inflation pick-ups and what to expect from the central bank meetings taking place next week. With USD/JPY close to the 160-level is the MoF in Tokyo ready to intervene?
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What do rising geopolitical risks and crude moves mean for the USD?
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